Improving Signals, Declining Encoder: A Known-Answer Test of Label-Free Monitoring in Self-Supervised Learning

We argue that learning visual representations without labels requires a training signal jointly complete across three non-overlapping objectives: semantic invariance across augmented views, patch-level spatial prediction, and representational non-degeneracy. We formalize these as the observation, prediction, and regularization principles and prove (i) that combining observation and prediction without regularization admits the constant encoder as a global minimizer under negative-free alignment; (ii) that the two objectives are gradient-complementary and structurally non-conflicting at the encoder output; and (iii) that the momentum encoder converges to the same fixed point as the online encoder and provides no collapse guarantee at convergence. Contrastive alignment provides only self-limiting collapse resistance, formalized via an explicit gradient-decay argument. Dropping prediction withholds the spatial training signal by construction; dropping observation forfeits cross-view semantic invariance by construction; at the scale we study, no pair substitutes for the third. Every major self-supervised method is a special case of a single unified energy decomposition. We pair every theoretical claim with a controlled experiment, including a patch-retrieval evaluation for the spatial consequence of prediction.

Self-supervised learning has achieved remarkable empirical success in learning robust representations without explicit labels, most recently demonstrated within the framework of Joint-Embedding Predictive Architectures (JEPA). However, a fundamental question remains: what analytical principles drive these encoders toward specific distributional states? In this paper, we demonstrate that the preference for normal distributions in self-supervised encoders is a direct consequence of the Information Bottleneck (IB) principle. By recasting the IB objective as a rate-distortion problem over the predictive manifold, we provide a theoretical basis for why optimal, target-neutral, latent representations should tend towards isotropic Gaussian states. Under this framework, we show that latent representations correspond to soft clustering of inputs sharing similar predictive distributions, organized within a natural simplex structure. This perspective unifies a wide range of existing supervised and less-supervised objectives and provides a principled explanation for commonly used regularization schemes. Furthermore, we derive practical loss objectives that approximate this structure and demonstrate their effectiveness on standard benchmarks. Ultimately, our framework offers a geometric lens to understanding representation collapse and it establishes a mathematical system for regularization strategies to be used to ensure high-entropy, informative embeddings in modern self-supervised models.

We evaluate JEPA-style predictive representation learning versus reconstruction-based autoencoders on a controlled "TV-series" linear dynamical system with known latent state and a single noise parameter. While an initial comparison suggests JEPA is markedly more robust to noise, further diagnostics show that autoencoder failures are strongly influenced by asymmetries in objectives and by bottleneck/component-selection effects (confirmed by PCA baselines). Motivated by these findings, we introduce gated predictive autoencoders that learn to select predictable components, mimicking the beneficial feature-selection behavior observed in over-parameterized PCA. On this toy testbed, the proposed gated model is stable across noise levels and matches or outperforms JEPA.