cs.AINov 6, 2026

Learning Whom to Trust About the Unseen: Source Credibility and Reliability Transfer in Language Models

Authors: Ruijia Guan

Organizations: Symbolic Systems Program, Stanford University

Abstract

A source who has been right before deserves attention, but about what? We ask how far a demonstrated record of reliability travels in language models when the new claim cannot be checked, and whether the answer depends on the kind of claim. Three behavioral studies across six models approach the question from three angles. Study 1 adapts the Einstein-effect paradigm and finds that models, unlike the human sample, favor a spiritual leader over a scientist for the same obscure statement, and that the preference largely reverses when the statement is reworded in the vocabulary of physics. Study 2 adapts a paradigm in which a trusted expert calls a scientific or religious explanation unknown or a mystery; models reproduce the human domain asymmetry in exaggerated form. Study 3, the central test, gives two fictional informants different records on checkable river forecasts and then has them endorse matched claims about hidden natural and spiritual causes of the same village events. Most models carry the record to natural causes and barely at all to spiritual ones; one model transfers it weakly to either. Telling the model that the reliable informant forecasts by spiritual guidance rather than by measurement lowers that informant's influence on natural claims in every model and produces no comparable gain on spiritual claims in any. Demonstrated reliability thus has a scope in these models, and the account a source gives of how they came to be reliable can narrow it. Whether this reflects a judgment about relevance or the low prior credence of spiritual claims is the question the design leaves open, and we outline the experiment that would settle it.

Figures & tables

Appendix figures & tables2 assets

Supplementary material from the paper’s appendix.

Appendix

Explore similar work

Sep 29, 2026

Authority Bias in Language Models: Source Deference and User Agreement Are Not Interchangeable

Language models tend to agree with whatever a user asserts, and post-training increasingly targets this sycophancy so that models evaluate claims on their merits rather than deferring to the user. Yet the same models are far more compliant when a wrong answer is attributed to a verified source, which is how retrieval results, tool outputs, and grounded-search content often present information. We measure this gap across five open-weight families and three closed APIs. A single verified-source note endorsing a wrong answer flips 45-88% of baseline-correct responses in seven of eight models, and compliance rises with how authoritative the note sounds. Source deference and user agreement are not behaviorally interchangeable inside the model: on matched items with the same wrong answer, causal interventions can selectively suppress one without equally affecting the other. In three open-weight families, removing a fitted source direction lowers source compliance by 65-80 percentage points while removing a user or assistant direction has far smaller effects, and removing the user direction shows the reverse preference. A separately fitted intervention derived from source-versus-user cue activations moves compliance in both directions while leaving the prompt text unchanged. An authority direction fitted on trivia also transfers to PIQA and multi-turn SYCON dialogues without refitting, and removing it lowers wrong-source compliance by tens of percentage points in four of five families with no detected change in MMLU-Pro or GSM8K accuracy at our evaluation sizes. Source deference and user agreement therefore need separate evaluation.
Oct 22, 2026

Invisibilization as a Source of Probability Bias in Language Models

Language models are aligned to avoid using protected attributes such as race, ethnicity, and gender to inform their responses. Therefore, they increasingly refuse or hedge when such attributes appear in a prompt. However, if a system must decide how much to learn from what people tell it, it is costly to refuse valuable information because of its source. In this article, we measure the cost of declining information in a two-urn game with an exact Bayesian answer. We present leading LLM models from two developers (OpenAI and Anthropic) with a prompt that requires them to decide how far to trust an unverifiable report from a participant whose description we randomize across ten configurations (6,600 sessions). We show that leading models often decline to assess the reporter, treating information as worthless at rates set by the description rather than by the evidence. At its widest, models decline a Black-described reporter 46% of the time and a white-described reporter 9%; yet, when they do assess the information, the Black-described reporter receives slightly more trust. The bias is invisible to audits that compare average trust or look only at assessed cases. It grows with reasoning effort, follows words rather than categories (models invoke race for "Black" but not for its Spanish translation negro, and never for "Indigenous"), and worsens under warning instructions a practitioner would try first. We also present a scoring option that reduces the refusal rate bias. When a model's trust is scored against revealed truth over repeated rounds, it credits identical records equally. In four of five configurations from Anthropic and OpenAI, the racial gap in trust falls below 0.02 by the last rounds.
Jun 3, 2026

Trust, but Don't Verify: Epistemic Blind Spots in LLM Source Evaluation

Language models increasingly act as epistemic proxies, synthesizing evidence from multiple sources to inform decisions. Whether they evaluate the quality of that evidence, or merely aggregate it based on surface presentation, remains poorly understood. We show that models possess the capability to detect fabricated statistics in isolation but do not recruit this capability during multi-source synthesis, producing similar numeric estimates whether the statistics are fabricated or valid. Specifically, source influence is governed by a methodology-register gate that responds to the distributional register of analytical text but not to numeric validity: for example, statistically impossible confidence intervals receive the same weight as valid ones. The behavioral dissociation replicates across six models from four families (Anthropic Claude, Qwen, OLMo, and OpenAI GPT-5.4) and three professional domains. Mechanistic analyses, including causal tracing, linear probes, and component-level attribution, converge on the same account: the model encodes and causally uses a methodology-register representation that transfers across domains, while numeric-validity signals, decodable in isolation, are suppressed to chance during multi-source synthesis. Prompting-based mitigations, even an oracle checklist naming the exact statistical checks, produce blanket skepticism rather than selective discernment, and the post-training pipelines we examine reinforce the shortcut without building numeric verification. Unlike sycophancy, which tracks user preference, this failure tracks whether a source presents as analytically credible, not whether its claims are consistent. We term this epistemic alignment: like preference and safety alignment, the question is not capability but deployment.