Follow-the-Perturbed-Leader

We study online learning with directed weakly observable feedback graphs and propose a Follow-the-Perturbed-Leader (FTPL) policy that achieves best-of-both-worlds guarantee with nearly linear expected time complexity. To preserve the simple structure of FTPL, we develop a novel graph-based loss estimator that combines forced exploration, conditional geometric resampling and adaptive learning rates with surrogate probabilities. Our policy achieves $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(δ_*^{1/3} T^{2/3})$ regret for adversarial regimes as well as $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(δ_* \log T / Δ_{\min}^2)$ regret for stochastic regimes, where $δ_*$ and $Δ$, respectively, denote the fractional weak domination number and the suboptimality gap. These results show that refined guarantees for problems with minimax regret of $Θ(T^{2/3})$ can be obtained through appropriately designed adaptive learning rates and loss estimators without sacrificing the simplicity of FTPL.

We give the first adversarial linear bandit algorithm based on Follow-the-Perturbed-Leader (FTPL) that achieves $\sqrt{T}$ regret over general action sets. Our algorithm attains $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(d^{5/4}\sqrt{T})$ regret using only linear optimization oracles, and the near-optimal $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(d\sqrt{T})$ regret when an optimal-design exploration distribution is further available. This improves on the $T^{2/3}$ regret of the FTPL algorithm of Dani and Hayes (2006) for general action sets, and generalizes the $\sqrt{T}$ regret of Lévy et al. (2026) over two special action sets (hypercube and Euclidean ball). Compared to previous oracle-efficient linear bandit algorithms based on continuous exponential weights, the FTPL approach generally has better computational efficiency, and is much simpler to implement. The key algorithmic element is a perturbation distribution that adapts to the past reward estimators. Its simplest form, an adaptive Gaussian perturbation, is straightforward to implement and already attains the regret bound above. We further extend it to two general constructions, random-weighting and elliptical perturbations, each covering distributions from light tails (Gaussian) to heavy tails (Student-$t_2$). On the technical side, we develop a systematic way to analyze the stability term in the FTPL regret through the Fisher information of the perturbation distribution. This builds a general framework for FTPL beyond existing ones such as the hazard rate and the FTRL-FTPL duality.

Online learning is an attractive framework in many domains because it permits well-defined learning even when data are dependent or chosen adversarially. This generality, however, comes at a steep price, introducing significant statistical and computational barriers. Recently, smoothed online learning has emerged as a promising framework that interpolates between the fully adversarial and fully stochastic settings by assuming that the conditional law of each covariate has density at most $1/σ$ with respect to some fixed base measure $μ$, and it is known to match the statistical and computational guarantees of classical learning while still allowing for much of the flexibility of online learning. However, existing oracle-efficient algorithms require either (i) sampling access to the base measure $μ$ or (ii) labels that are perfectly predicted by a fixed hypothesis. Both assumptions limit the applicability of these algorithms, in contrast to statistical learning, where empirical risk minimization (ERM) learns efficiently in the agnostic setting without any knowledge of the data distribution. We show that neither assumption is necessary, giving the first oracle-efficient algorithm that achieves sublinear regret in the agnostic setting without knowledge of $μ$. Our algorithm, based on Gaussian Follow-The-Perturbed-Leader, is parameter-free: it requires no knowledge of $μ$, the smoothing parameter $σ$, or the horizon $T$, and it achieves regret $\widetilde O(d\sqrt{T/σ})$ for binary classes of VC dimension $d$ with a single call to an ERM oracle per round, which is optimal up to a $\sqrt{d}$ factor. En route to establishing the regret bound, we introduce several new techniques that may be of independent interest.

We consider binary prediction with i.i.d. contexts from an unknown distribution and adaptively chosen losses. We show that a simple Follow-the-Perturbed-Leader algorithm using a Gaussian perturbation for each observed context achieves $\widetilde O(\sqrt{T\log N})$ regret for a class of $N$ experts, while requiring one optimization-oracle call per round and no explicit enumeration of the class. For an infinite hypothesis class $\mathcal H$, the same algorithm achieves $\widetilde O(\sqrt{T\operatorname{VC}(\mathcal H)})$ regret. This resolves an open problem posed by Lazaric and Munos (2012), showing that hybrid classification is computationally as easy as statistical learning. As an application, we reduce the problem of contextual bandits with $K$ actions to classification through uniform exploration, achieving $\widetilde O(K^{2/3}T^{2/3}(\log N)^{1/3})$ regret. This matches the best known dependence on the horizon while removing the context-distribution access required by prior oracle-efficient methods.

U-calibration studies online forecasting algorithms whose predictions can be consumed by any unknown downstream agent, guaranteeing sublinear regret simultaneously for all proper loss functions. Existing U-calibration algorithms achieve worst-case optimal $O(\sqrt{T})$ regret for every bounded proper loss, but they fail to adapt to easier losses: as we show, even for smooth losses such as squared loss, they incur $Ω(\sqrt{T})$ regret instead of the optimal $O(\log T)$ regret. In this work, we show that this limitation is not inherent. Specifically, we design a single forecast algorithm that simultaneously achieves $\tilde O(\sqrt{T})$ regret for every bounded proper loss and $O(\log T)$ regret for every bounded smooth proper loss. More generally, our algorithm also attains logarithmic regret for losses that are smooth relative to the log-barrier, which include several non-Lipschitz examples. Our approach is based on a novel variant of Follow-the-Perturbed-Leader (FTPL) in which perturbations are applied directly in the prediction space using self-concordant noise. The resulting analysis also departs substantially from prior FTPL analyses due to the complex nature of this noise and may be of independent interest.

Follow-the-regularized-leader framework has shown effectiveness and flexibility in online learning problems, where the choice of learning rates are known to be crucial. Recently, adaptive learning rates defined in terms of the arm-selection probabilities, obtained by solving convex optimization, have achieved improved best-of-both-worlds (BOBW) guarantees in various bandit problems. In contrast, BOBW guarantees for its computationally efficient alternative, follow-the-perturbed-leader (FTPL), remain relatively limited since its optimization-free nature ironically makes the design of adaptive, probability-dependent learning rates non-trivial. To address this challenge, we propose an adaptive learning rate for FTPL by introducing surrogate probability functions that can be computed only from the available quantities, without requiring the exact probabilities. Based on these learning rates with surrogate functions, we provide the BOBW guarantee for FTPL with Pareto perturbations for any shape parameter $α>1$, generalizing prior results restricted to specific choices of $α=2$. We further show the BOBW guarantees for FTPL with adaptive learning rates in the bandit problem with expert advices. Our approach preserves the computational simplicity of FTPL while enabling probability-dependent adaptivity, and the surrogate-based methodology may be of independent interest in other algorithmic frameworks beyond FTPL and learning rate designs.

Curvature adaptivity is a classical theme in online optimization: for convex Lipschitz losses, adaptive methods interpolate between the optimal $O(\sqrt{T})$ regret for general convex losses and $O(\log T)$ regret under strong convexity. Recent work has shown that Follow-the-Perturbed-Leader (FTPL) achieves optimal $O(\sqrt{T})$ regret even for online non-convex Lipschitz losses, assuming access to an approximate offline-optimization oracle, but these guarantees do not exploit curvature. We show that FTPL can be made curvature-adaptive in the non-convex setting, without knowing in advance how curvature will accumulate over time. Our algorithm replaces the fixed perturbation scale of standard FTPL with a time-varying scale chosen using only past information. We give a simple follow-the-leader tuning rule for this scale and show that it competes, up to constants, with the best choice in hindsight. The resulting method achieves $O(\sqrt{T})$ regret for arbitrary non-convex Lipschitz losses and improves as cumulative curvature grows; with sufficiently accurate oracle calls, it achieves $O(\log T)$ regret when cumulative curvature grows linearly, which includes the classical strongly convex regime. We complement these upper bounds with matching lower bounds for prescribed cumulative-curvature sequences, already for one-dimensional convex losses, showing that the tradeoff between worst-case non-convex regret and curvature-driven fast rates is intrinsic.

Most work on sequential learning assumes a fixed set of actions that are available all the time. However, in practice, actions can consist of picking subsets of readings from sensors that may break from time to time, road segments that can be blocked or goods that are out of stock. In this paper we study learning algorithms that are able to deal with stochastic availability of such unreliable composite actions. We propose and analyze algorithms based on the Follow-The-Perturbed-Leader prediction method for several learning settings differing in the feedback provided to the learner. Our algorithms rely on a novel loss estimation technique that we call Counting Asleep Times. We deliver regret bounds for our algorithms for the previously studied full information and (semi-)bandit settings, as well as a natural middle point between the two that we call the restricted information setting. A special consequence of our results is a significant improvement of the best known performance guarantees achieved by an efficient algorithm for the sleeping bandit problem with stochastic availability. Finally, we evaluate our algorithms empirically and show their improvement over the known approaches.

This paper studies the optimality and complexity of Follow-the-Perturbed-Leader (FTPL) policy in $m$-set semi-bandit problems. FTPL has been studied extensively as a promising candidate of an efficient algorithm with favorable regret for adversarial combinatorial semi-bandits. Nevertheless, the optimality of FTPL has still been unknown unlike Follow-the-Regularized-Leader (FTRL) whose optimality has been proved for various tasks of online learning. In this paper, we extend the analysis of FTPL with geometric resampling (GR) to $m$-set semi-bandits, which is a special case of combinatorial semi-bandits, showing that FTPL with Fréchet and Pareto distributions with certain parameters achieves the best possible regret of $O(\sqrt{mdT})$ in adversarial setting. We also show that FTPL with Fréchet and Pareto distributions with a certain parameter achieves a logarithmic regret for stochastic setting, meaning the Best-of-Both-Worlds optimality of FTPL for $m$-set semi-bandit problems. Furthermore, we extend the conditional geometric resampling to $m$-set semi-bandits for efficient loss estimation in FTPL, reducing the computational complexity from $O(d^2)$ of the original geometric resampling to $O(md(\log(d/m)+1))$ without sacrificing the regret performance.

We consider the adversarial linear bandits setting and present a unified algorithmic framework that bridges Follow-the-Regularized-Leader (FTRL) and Follow-the-Perturbed-Leader (FTPL) methods, extending the known connection between them from the full-information setting. Within this framework, we introduce self-concordant perturbations, a family of probability distributions that mirror the role of self-concordant barriers previously employed in the FTRL-based SCRiBLe algorithm. Using this idea, we design a novel FTPL-based algorithm that combines self-concordant regularization with efficient stochastic exploration. Our approach achieves a regret of $\mathcal{O}(d\sqrt{n \ln n})$ on both the $d$-dimensional hypercube and the $\ell_2$ ball. On the $\ell_2$ ball, this matches the rate attained by SCRiBLe. For the hypercube, this represents a $\sqrt{d}$ improvement over these methods and matches the optimal bound up to logarithmic factors.