Protein Structure Prediction

Overview

Protein structure prediction aims to infer how amino-acid sequences form three-dimensional structures, which helps explain protein function and interactions. Approaches range from evolutionary information in multiple-sequence alignments and protein language models to geometric neural networks and generative methods such as diffusion; experimental restraints from cryo-EM or cross-linking can further guide predictions. Evaluation spans structure-accuracy benchmarks such as CAMEO and tests of complexes, binding, and physical plausibility. Models now tackle large assemblies and multiple conformations, but balancing accuracy, inference cost, reliable evaluation, and realistic dynamic behavior remains challenging.

Latest papers

40 papers10 papers in the last four weeks, against 1 the four weeks before. 0.1% of all new papers.

May 5, 2026

ProtDBench: A Unified Benchmark of Protein Binder Design and Evaluation

Recent advances in de novo protein binder design have enabled increasing experimental validation, yet reported in silico metrics remain difficult to interpret or compare across studies due to non-standardized evaluation protocols. We introduce ProtDBench, a standardized and throughput-aware evaluation framework for protein binder design. ProtDBench defines unified benchmark tasks, evaluation protocols, and success criteria, enabling systematic analysis of how evaluation design influences observed performance. Using a large wet-lab annotated dataset, we analyze commonly used structure prediction models as evaluation verifiers, revealing substantial verifier-dependent bias and limited agreement under identical filtering protocols. We then benchmark representative open-source generative binder design methods across ten diverse protein targets under a fixed evaluation protocol. Beyond per-sequence success rates, ProtDBench incorporates throughput-aware metrics based on a fixed 24-hour budget, as well as cluster-level success criteria to account for structural diversity. Together, these results expose systematic differences induced by filtering rules, success definitions, and throughput-aware evaluation between computational efficiency, success rate, and structural diversity. Overall, ProtDBench provides a fair and reproducible evaluation pipeline that supports systematic and controlled comparison of protein binder design methods under realistic evaluation settings.
Apr 20, 2026

ConforNets: Latents-Based Conformational Control in OpenFold3

Models from the AlphaFold (AF) family reliably predict one dominant conformation for most well-ordered proteins but struggle to capture biologically relevant alternate states. Several efforts have focused on eliciting greater conformational variability through ad hoc inference-time perturbations of AF models or their inputs. Despite their progress, these approaches remain inefficient and fail to consistently recover major conformational modes. Here, we investigate both the optimal location and manner-of-operation for perturbing latent representations in the AF3 architecture. We distill our findings in ConforNets: channel-wise affine transforms of the pre-Pairformer pair latents. Unlike previous methods, ConforNets globally modulate AF3 representations, making them reusable across proteins. On unsupervised generation of alternate states, ConforNets achieve state-of-the-art success rates on all existing multi-state benchmarks. On the novel supervised task of conformational transfer, ConforNets trained on one source protein can induce a conserved conformational change across a protein family. Collectively, these results introduce a mechanism for conformational control in AF3-based models.
Apr 15, 2026

Polyformer: a generative framework for thermodynamic modeling of polymeric molecules

The classic paradigm of structural biology is that the sequence of a biomolecule (protein, nucleic acid, lipid, etc) determines its conformation (shape) which determines its biological function. Protein folding programs like AlphaFold address this paradigm by predicting the single best conformation given a sequence that defines the molecule. However, biomolecules are not static structures, and their conformational ensemble determines their function. We present the Polyformer -- a generative framework for thermodynamic modeling of polymeric molecules. Given the sequence and temperature (or another thermodynamic variable), the Polyformer generates conformations faithful to the molecule's thermodynamic conformational ensemble. It is the first generative model that solves three problems simultaneously: how does a molecule fold, what is its conformational ensemble, and how does the conformational ensemble change as we change physical temperature. As a concrete test case, we apply Polyformer to protein domains with 50-111 residues and report good agreement of model predictions to Molecular Dynamics (MD) trajectories.
Apr 6, 2026

Towards protein folding pathways by reconstructing protein residue networks with a policy-driven model

A method that reconstructs protein residue networks using suitable node selection and edge recovery policies produced numerical observations that correlate strongly (Pearson's correlation coefficient < -0.83) with published folding rates for 52 two-state folders and 21 multi-state folders; correlations are also strong at the fold-family level. These results were obtained serendipitously with the ND model, which was introduced previously, but is here extended with policies that dictate actions according to feature states. This result points to the importance of both the starting search point and the prevailing condition (random seed) for the quick success of policy search by a simple hill-climber. The two conditions, suitable policies and random seed, which (evidenced by the strong correlation statistic) setup a conducive environment for modelling protein folding within ND, could be compared to appropriate physiological conditions required by proteins to fold naturally. Of interest is an examination of the sequence of restored edges for potential as plausible protein folding pathways. Towards this end, trajectory data is collected for analysis and further model evaluation and development.
Mar 31, 2026

Sampling at intermediate temperatures is optimal for training large language models in protein structure prediction

Using a statistical mechanics framework, we investigate the parameter space of transformer models trained on protein sequence data. We sample the loss landscape at varying temperatures using Langevin dynamics to characterize the low-loss manifold, and to understand the mechanisms underlying transformers' superior performance in protein structure prediction. We find that, at variance with networks not based on the attention mechanism, the lack of a first--order--like transition in the loss of the transformer produces a range of intermediate temperatures with good learning properties; this is true both for synthetic and natural protein sequences. We also show that the parameters of most layers are highly conserved at these temperatures if the dimension of the embedding is optimal, and we provide an operative way to find this dimension. Additionally, we show that the attention matrix is more predictive of the contact maps of the protein at higher temperatures and for higher dimensions of the embedding than those optimal for learning. Finally, we showed that the models sampled at intermediate temperatures can predict the free-energy variation upon mutation, better than models obtained through standard optimization techniques.
Mar 19, 2026

From Snapshots to Symphonies: The Evolution of Protein Prediction from Static Structures to Generative Dynamics and Multimodal Interactions

The protein folding problem has been fundamentally transformed by artificial intelligence, evolving from static structure prediction toward the modeling of dynamic conformational ensembles and complex biomolecular interactions. This review systematically examines the paradigm shift in AI driven protein science across five interconnected dimensions: unified multimodal representations that integrate sequences, geometries, and textual knowledge; refinement of static prediction through MSA free architectures and all atom complex modeling; generative frameworks, including diffusion models and flow matching, that capture conformational distributions consistent with thermodynamic ensembles; prediction of heterogeneous interactions spanning protein ligand, protein nucleic acid, and protein protein complexes; and functional inference of fitness landscapes, mutational effects, and text guided property prediction. We critically analyze current bottlenecks, including data distribution biases, limited mechanistic interpretability, and the disconnect between geometric metrics and biophysical reality, while identifying future directions toward physically consistent generative models, multimodal foundation architectures, and experimental closed loop systems. This methodological transformation marks artificial intelligence's transition from a structural analysis tool into a universal simulator capable of understanding and ultimately rewriting the dynamic language of life.
Mar 16, 2026

Fold-CP: A Context Parallelism Framework for Biomolecular Modeling

Understanding cellular machinery requires atomic-scale reconstruction of large biomolecular assemblies. However, predicting the structures of these systems has been constrained by hardware memory requirements of models like AlphaFold 3, imposing a practical ceiling of a few thousand residues that can be processed on a single GPU. Here we present NVIDIA BioNeMo Fold-CP, a context parallelism framework that overcomes this barrier by distributing the inference and training pipelines of co-folding models across multiple GPUs. We use the Boltz models as open source reference architectures and implement custom multidimensional primitives that efficiently parallelize both the dense triangular updates and the irregular, data-dependent pattern of window-batched local attention. Our approach achieves efficient memory scaling; for an N-token input distributed across P GPUs, per-device memory scales as O(N2/P)O(N^2/P), enabling the structure prediction of assemblies exceeding 30,000 residues on 64 NVIDIA B300 GPUs. We demonstrate the scientific utility of this approach through successful developer use cases: Fold-CP enabled the scoring of over 90% of Comprehensive Resource of Mammalian protein complexes (CORUM) database, as well as folding of disease-relevant PI4KA lipid kinase complex bound to an intrinsically disordered region without cropping. By providing a scalable pathway for modeling massive systems with full global context, Fold-CP represents a significant step toward the realization of a virtual cell.
Mar 11, 2026

Multi-objective Genetic Programming with Multi-view Multi-level Feature for Enhanced Protein Secondary Structure Prediction

Predicting protein secondary structure is essential for understanding protein function and advancing drug discovery. However, the intricate sequence-structure relationship poses significant challenges for accurate modeling. To address these, we propose MOGP-MMF, a multi-objective genetic programming framework that reformulates PSSP as an automated optimization task focused on feature selection and fusion. Specifically, MOGP-MMF introduces a multi-view multi-level representation strategy that integrates evolutionary, semantic, and newly introduced structural views to capture the comprehensive protein folding logic. Leveraging an enriched operator set, the framework evolves both linear and nonlinear fusion functions, effectively capturing high-order feature interactions while reducing fusion complexity. To resolve the accuracy-complexity trade-off, an improved multi-objective GP algorithm is developed, incorporating a knowledge transfer mechanism that utilizes prior evolutionary experience to guide the population toward global optima. Extensive experiments across seven benchmark datasets demonstrate that MOGP-MMF surpasses state-of-the-art methods, particularly in Q8 accuracy and structural integrity. Furthermore, MOGP-MMF generates a diverse set of non-dominated solutions, offering flexible model selection schemes for various practical application scenarios. The source code is available on GitHub: https://github.com/qian-ann/MOGP-MMF/tree/main.
Mar 6, 2026

Enhanced Protein Intrinsic Disorder Prediction Through Dual-View Multiscale Features and Multi-objective Evolutionary Algorithm

Intrinsically disordered regions of proteins play a crucial role in cell signaling and drug discovery. However, their high structural flexibility makes accurate residue-level prediction challenging. Existing methods often rely on single-view representations or rigid manual fusion strategies, which fail to effectively balance the complex interplay between local amino acid preferences and long-range sequence patterns. To address these limitations, we propose D2MOE, a Dual-View Multiscale Features and Multi-objective Evolutionary Algorithm, which consists of two stages. First, a dual-view multiscale feature extraction method is introduced. This method integrates evolutionary views with deep semantic views and employs multiscale extractors to capture structural information across diverse receptive fields. Second, a multi-objective evolutionary algorithm is designed to adaptively discover optimal fusion architectures. By co-evolving discrete feature selection and continuous fusion weights, the algorithm adaptively explores optimal cross-feature architectures to enhance predictive accuracy while maintaining model compactness. Experimental results across three benchmark datasets demonstrate that D2MOE consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods. D2MOE combines the feature extraction capabilities of deep learning with the global search advantages of evolutionary algorithms, enabling efficient feature integration without manual design, and providing a robust computational tool for protein disorder prediction.
Feb 5, 2026

Two Stages of Folding: Convergent Mechanisms in AI Protein Folding Trunks

How do protein structure prediction models fold proteins? We investigate this question through causal interventions on the folding trunks of ESMFold, OpenFold, and Boltz-1. Across all three models, we find a shared two-stage computational structure. In the first stage, early blocks initialize pairwise biochemical signals: features like charge propagate from sequence into pairwise representations through architecture-specific pathways. In the second stage, late blocks develop pairwise spatial features: distance and contact information accumulate in the pairwise representation. We verify these mechanisms causally by showing that steering charge and distance features induces predictable structural changes. Furthermore, these representations are functionally interchangeable: pairwise states can be linearly aligned and substituted across models. Together, these results suggest that folding trunks with different architectures, inputs, and training procedures converge on a shared representational organization for mapping sequence chemistry into spatial geometry.