econ.GNMar 31, 2024

Algorithmic Collusion by Large Language Models

Authors: Sara FishYannai A. GonczarowskiRan I. Shorrer

Organizations: †School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Harvard University · ‡Department of Economics and Department of Computer Science, Harvard University · §Department of Economics, Penn State University

Abstract

We conduct experiments with algorithmic pricing agents based on Large Language Models (LLMs). In oligopoly settings, LLM-based pricing agents quickly and autonomously reach supracompetitive prices and profits. Variation in seemingly innocuous phrases in LLM instructions ("prompts") substantially influence the degree of supracompetitive pricing. We develop novel techniques for behavioral analysis of LLMs and use them to uncover price-war concerns as a contributing factor. Our results extend to auction settings. Our findings uncover unique challenges to any future regulation of LLM-based pricing agents, and AI-based pricing agents more broadly.

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