Fast localized urban microclimate emulator: wind and temperatures in unseen urban morphologies

Rapid and accurate prediction of urban wind and temperature fields is important for urban microclimate design and climate adaptation. Large-eddy simulation (LES) effectively resolves these instantaneous fields, but its application is limited in iterative design of urban microclimate applications due to high computational cost. Existing regressive data-driven models offers quick outputs, but they produce only deterministic point predictions that inherently fail to represent turbulent stochasticity. This paper adopts a novel generative framework of Conditional Flow Matching (CFM) that uses building geometry and mean flow as guidance to generate plausible three-dimensional instantaneous velocity and temperature fields for urban microclimate in seconds. To overcome the GPU memory bottleneck of pixel space 3D generation, the model operates in parallel on overlapping pixel space through a shared-noise initialization that preserves high spatial continuity of flow structure across the entire domain. Against reference LES data, the CFM surrogate can rapidly and accurately restore the first-order statistics with Normalized Root Mean Square Error (NRMSE) of 2.99% for wind and 1.77% for temperature, second-order turbulence metrics with NRMSE of 7.17% for wind and 8.84% for temperature, turbulent kinetic energy with NRMSE of 7%, probability density function and vertical profiles in representative locations. Wind engineering application of local gust prediction demonstrate that the speed and accuracy of CFM, supporting the use of generative AI for making turbulence-aware resilient urban design and climate adaptation more computationally feasible.

Pedestrian-level wind prediction is essential for urban design and wind-comfort assessment, but high-fidelity simulations such as LES remain computationally expensive for rapid evaluation. This study develops a two-stage U-Net framework for efficient prediction of time-averaged pedestrian-level wind speed over realistic urban morphologies. The model is trained and evaluated using the UrbanTALES dataset, which contains realistic city configurations under different approaching wind directions. In the first stage, a baseline U-Net model (M1) predicts wind fields patch-by-patch from normalised building height and fetch information. This formulation allows application to urban domains of arbitrary size, but independent patch inference can introduce discontinuities at patch boundaries. To address this, a second U-Net model (M2) is introduced as an inpainting-based refinement model. M2 uses a larger contextual window containing the initial M1 prediction and local morphology to reduce discontinuities using neighbouring flow information. During full-field inference, M2 is applied iteratively using a Gauss-Seidel scheme until convergence. Results show that M1 captures the main spatial distribution of pedestrian-level wind speed and performs well in low- and moderate-velocity regions, although high-velocity peaks are less accurate. M2 substantially reduces patch-boundary artefacts and improves spatial coherence. Across unseen urban cases, the framework reproduces mean velocity and spatial variability reasonably well, while maximum velocities remain underestimated. Overall, the proposed framework provides an efficient and flexible surrogate model for high-resolution pedestrian-level wind prediction across realistic urban morphologies.

Air flow modeling at a local scale is essential for applications such as pollutant dispersion modeling or wind farm modeling. To circumvent costly Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) computations, deep learning surrogate models have recently emerged as promising alternatives. However, in the context of urban air flow, deep learning models struggle to adapt to the high variations of the urban geometry and to large mesh sizes. To tackle these challenges, we introduce Anchored Branched Steady-state WInd Flow Transformer (AB-SWIFT), a transformer-based model with an internal branched structure uniquely designed for atmospheric flow modeling. We train our model on a specially designed database of atmospheric simulations around randomised urban geometries and with a mixture of unstable, neutral, and stable atmospheric stratifications. Our model reaches the best accuracy on all predicted fields compared to state-of-the-art transformers and graph-based models. Our code and data is available at https://github.com/cerea-daml/abswift.