Recent advancements in machine learning have largely been driven by foundation models (FMs) trained on large, diverse datasets, enabling them to generalize effectively to new, related tasks. However, extending this paradigm to reinforcement learning (RL), where an agent interacts with an environment to select actions, remains a significant challenge. Most existing approaches train FMs directly on sets of control tasks, but developing diverse RL environments and scaling training across them can be costly and complex. In this study, we explore a simpler alternative approach based on a classical reduction from RL to regression. We demonstrate that a foundation model pre-trained for regression tasks, when used as an in-context regression (ICR) model, can be directly applied to RL problems. Building on this insight, we introduce a gradient-free method, ICR-RL, that requires no additional training and leverages an ICR foundation model to tackle RL tasks. We evaluate our approach by applying the ICR model with the recently proposed TabPFN, which is trained on a wide range of regression tasks. Experiments conducted on the Gymnasium classic-control benchmark indicate that ICR-RL can compete with commonly used methods, including DQN, PPO and TRPO. These results show that ICR foundation models can effectively solve RL tasks without fine-tuning, demonstrating their potential as a foundation for RL-oriented models.
Foundation models for language and vision are powered by internet-scale data, while structured domains such as tabular prediction are powered by synthetic data. This substitute shifts the challenge from collection to prior design. Such priors already exist for many structured tasks: TabPFN and its successors solve tabular classification with a transformer pretrained on a synthetic Bayesian prior. We make two points. \textbf{First}, reinforcement learning is the conspicuous gap: sampling a synthetic MDP is as feasible as sampling a synthetic tabular dataset, yet no in-context RL work treats prior design as a primary objective. \textbf{Second}, MDPs admit a fixed-size sufficient statistic, independent of the episodes observed and tabular in shape, which makes them directly amenable to the attention-based architectures used for tabular foundation models, with a policy head replacing the supervised target. Together these define the agenda for an RL foundation model. As a proof of concept, we train a Graph Attention Network entirely on synthetic MDPs and show that, with no task-specific tuning, it solves held-out tabular benchmarks in context, both online and offline: online, in far fewer episodes than UCB-VI and tabular Q-learning, and offline, competitively with VI-LCB.
In-context reinforcement learning (ICRL) refers to the ability of RL agents to adapt to new tasks at inference time without parameter updates by conditioning on additional context. Recent empirical studies further demonstrate that Chain-of-Thought (CoT) generation can amplify this ICRL capability. This paper is the first to provide a theoretical understanding on how CoT interacts with ICRL. We conduct our analysis in a policy evaluation setup with linear Transformer. We prove that with specific Transformer parameters, the CoT generation process is equivalent to repeatedly executing temporal difference learning updates. Additionally, we provide finite sample convergence analysis showing that the policy evaluation error decreases geometrically with CoT length and eventually saturates at a statistical floor determined by the context length. We also prove that the desired Transformer parameters are a global minimizer of the pretraining loss, providing a theoretical understanding on the empirical emergence of those parameters.
We investigate the ability of transformers to perform in-context reinforcement learning (ICRL), where a model must infer and execute learning algorithms from trajectory data without parameter updates. We show that a linear self-attention transformer block can provably implement policy-improvement methods, including semi-gradient SARSA and actor-critic, via explicit parameter constructions. Beyond existence, we design a teacher-mimicking training procedure, analyze its gradient-flow dynamics, and establish the first convergence guarantee in the ICRL literature: under suitable richness conditions on the training MDP distribution, gradient flow converges locally and exponentially to an optimal parameter manifold corresponding to the desired RL update. Empirically, training transformers on randomly generated tabular MDPs confirms these predictions: the learned models recover the parameter structure of our explicit constructions and, when deployed on unseen MDPs, deliver strong in-context control performance. Together, these results illuminate how transformer architectures internalize and execute classical reinforcement learning algorithms in context, bridging mechanistic understanding and training dynamics in ICRL.