Covariance-Aware Transformers for Quadratic Programming and Decision Making

In this paper, we develop a rigorous optimal control-theoretic approach to Transformer training that respects key structural constraints such as (i) realized-input-independence during execution, (ii) the ensemble control nature of the problem, and (iii) positional dependence. We model the Transformer architecture as a discrete-time controlled particle system with shared actions, exhibiting noise-free controlled McKean--Vlasov dynamics, and we show that lifting the dynamics to probability measures produces a fully-observed Markov decision process (MDP). Positional encodings are incorporated into the state space to preserve the sequence order under lifting. Using the dynamic programming principle, we establish the existence of globally optimal policies under mild assumptions of compactness. We further prove that closed-loop policies in the lifted problem is equivalent to an initial-distribution dependent open-loop policy, which are realized-input-independent and compatible with standard Transformer training. To train a Transformer, we propose a triply quantized training procedure for the lifted MDP by quantizing the state space, the space of probability measures, and the action space, and show that any optimal policy for the triply quantized model is near-optimal for the original training problem. Finally, we establish stability and empirical consistency properties of the lifted model by showing that the value function is continuous with respect to the perturbations of the initial empirical measures and convergence of policies as the data size increases. This approach provides a globally optimal and robust theoretical alternative to gradient-based training without requiring smoothness or convexity.

Sequential decision making in non-stationary and partially observable environments requires rapid adaptation to latent regime changes. However, existing Transformer decision models face a structural bottleneck in the retrieval mechanism: even when reward is used for training or exposed as an input token, attention retrieval remains primarily driven by observation-derived similarity. We formalize this limitation as feedback-blind retrieval, and formally show that, on feedback-informative tasks, observation-equivalent histories with different action-reward outcomes cannot be distinguished by any observation-only attention, resulting in suboptimal choice. To address this mismatch, we propose the Utility-Augmented Transformer (UAT), a new feedback-conditioned retrieval attention architecture in which a compact utility state modulates the query, key, and value projections, allowing action-reward history to directly alter context retrieval during the forward pass. UAT also enjoys an exact zero-gate degradation property that recovers the Vanilla Transformer when feedback is uninformative. Under finite-horizon compactness and Lipschitz assumptions, we prove that UAT strictly enlarges the observation-only Transformer class and can uniformly approximate feedback-dependent decision maps. Across four non-stationary benchmarks: synthetic navigation with hidden goal shifts, non-stationary sepsis treatment, cross-market portfolio allocation, and delayed-feedback recommendation, UAT consistently improves performance over observation-only, test-time adaptation, and input-level feedback baselines, with particularly large gains in noisier regimes that require stronger adaptation.

Sparse tangent portfolio optimization aims to learn an interpretable, low-cardinality portfolio in the tangency direction of the mean-variance frontier. However, the associated cardinality-constrained formulation is NP-hard, and standard predict-then-optimize pipelines often misalign forecasting accuracy with downstream portfolio quality. We propose an end-to-end decision-focused learning framework that reformulates Sharpe ratio maximization as a Disciplined Parametrized Programming (DPP)-compliant convex programming layer and replaces discrete selection with a smooth top-$k$ operator enforcing an exact cardinality $k$. This enables gradient flow through prediction, asset selection, and re-optimization, allowing the predictive model to directly optimize portfolio performance. Across four major equity markets, our method achieves competitive and often superior out-of-sample Sharpe ratios compared with historical and prediction-focused baselines, with particularly strong gains in larger asset universes. Our code is publicly available.