SenTSR-Bench: Thinking with Injected Knowledge for Time-Series Reasoning

Time series reasoning tasks often start with a natural language question and require targeted analysis of a time series. Evidence may span the full series or appear in a few short intervals, so the model must decide what to inspect. Most existing approaches encode the entire time series into a fixed representation before inference, regardless of whether or not the entire sequence is relevant. We introduce ARTIST, which formulates time-series reasoning as a sequential decision problem. ARTIST interleaves reasoning with adaptive temporal segment selection. It adopts a controller-reasoner architecture and uses reinforcement learning to train the controller role to select informative segments and the reasoner role to generate segment-conditioned reasoning traces and final answers. During inference, the model actively acquires task-relevant information instead of relying on a static summary of the full sequence. We use a novel hierarchical policy optimization approach for post-training that allows the model to excel in both segment selection and question-answering behavior. We evaluate ARTIST on six time-series reasoning benchmarks and compare it with large language models, vision-language models, and prior time-series reasoning systems. ARTIST improves average accuracy by 6.46 absolute percentage points over the strongest baseline. The largest gains appear on rare event localization and multi-segment reasoning tasks. Supervised fine-tuning improves performance, and reinforcement learning provides additional gains by optimizing question-adaptive segment selection. These results show that selective data use drives effective time-series reasoning.

Timeseries multimodal large language models (TS-MLLMs) have recently begun leveraging the reasoning capabilities of large language models (LLMs) for question-answering tasks. However, these models often fail to capture dynamic temporal patterns, providing only implicit reasoning that lacks the underlying explanations critical for high-stakes applications like healthcare. While reinforcement learning (RL)-based timeseries language models aim to address this, they often fall short because they are trained on narrow, in-distribution data and struggle with out-of-distribution compositional questions. To address these challenges, we present TimeThink, a synthetic framework for eliciting compositional timeseries reasoning. Core timeseries primitives (e.g., trend, seasonality) are domain-independent and can be deterministically generated. Guided by this premise, TimeThink first designs a synthetic data generator that produces atomic and composite question-answer pairs, providing objective ground truth with reasoning traces. Building on this framework, TimeThink employs a reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR) training strategy that encourages explicit reasoning. Unlike template-reliant methods, this approach enables the model to learn the underlying logic of composition rather than simply imitating traces. Extensive experiments show that TimeThink, trained only on synthetic data, significantly outperforms strong baselines on both synthetic and real-world benchmarks.

Time series analysis has recently been coupled with Large Language Models (LLMs) to leverage their reasoning and world knowledge capabilities, yet gains remain limited. We attribute this to a fundamental mismatch between existing task formulations and LLM strengths: most settings reduce time series understanding to curve-fitting systems, focusing on low-level prediction while ignoring the semantic, contextual, and reasoning-intensive nature of real-world temporal decision-making.To address these limitations, we introduce TSCognition, a multimodal benchmark for multi-dimensional time series reasoning. It collects real-world time series and textual information from 15 public sources and constructs approximately 41K QA samples around five cognitive reasoning tasks: Decoding, Grounding, Inferring, Extrapolating, and Acting. Building on this, we further propose TSAlign, a unified framework that encodes time series into compact patch-level representations and aligns them with semantic directions in the LLM embedding space via gated residual injection and multivariate fusion.Experiments show that TSAlign outperforms existing LLM, VLM, and time series QA baselines on TSCognition and the publicly available TimerBed benchmark while substantially reducing computational cost.Code is available at: https://github.com/EIT-NLP/CognitiveTSR