Adaptive Uncertainty-Guided Surrogates for Efficient phase field Modeling of Dendritic Solidification
Organizations: Intelligent Information Systems, Tekniker, Iñaki Goenaga 5, Eibar (20600) Spain · Faculty of Informatics UPV-EHU, Paseo Manuel de Lardizabal 1, Donostia (20700) Spain · Department of Computer Sciences and Artificial Intelligence, UPV-EHU, Donostia (20700) Spain · Advanced Manufacturing Technologies, Tekniker, Iñaki Goenaga 5, Eibar (20600) Spain
Abstract
The high computational cost of phase field simulations remains a major limitation for predicting dendritic solidification in metals, particularly in additive manufacturing, where microstructural control is critical. This work presents a surrogate model for dendritic solidification that employs uncertainty-driven adaptive sampling with XGBoost and CNNs, including a self-supervised strategy, to efficiently approximate the spatio-temporal evolution while reducing costly phase field simulations. The proposed adaptive strategy leverages model uncertainty, approximated via Monte Carlo dropout for CNNs and bagging for XGBoost, to identify high-uncertainty regions where new samples are generated locally within hyperspheres, progressively refining the spatio-temporal design space and achieving accurate predictions with significantly fewer phase field simulations than an Optimal Latin Hypercube Sampling optimized via discrete Particle Swarm Optimization (OLHS-PSO). The framework systematically investigates how temporal instance selection, adaptive sampling, and the choice between domain-informed and data-driven surrogates affect spatio-temporal model performance. Evaluation considers not only computational cost but also the number of expensive phase field simulations, surrogate accuracy, and associated emissions, providing a comprehensive assessment of model performance as well as their related environmental impact.
Figures & tables
| Parameter | Definition | Min value | Max value |
| Characteristic time scale | |||
| Interface thickness | |||
| Diffusion constant | 1 | 3.6 | |
| Related to anisotropy | 0.001 | 0.04 | |
| j | Dendritic symmetry | 4 | 6 |
| Constant related to thermodynamic driving force | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| Model | ID | Max (classical) | n (classical) | Train t (classical) | Sample t (classical) | n (adaptive) | Train t (adaptive) | Sample t (adaptive) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XGB | ID1 | 0.899 | 500 | 514.18 | 7479.67 | 213 | 850.77 | 2750.05 |
| XGB | ID2 | 0.936 | 500 | 677.12 | 7479.67 | 282 | 1426.40 | 3553.86 |
| XGB | ID3 | 0.963 | 500 | 786.60 | 7479.67 | 652 | 3434.85 | 7919.31 |
| CNN | ID1 | 0.833 | 700 | 6726.77 | 13877.10 | 140 | 7981.12 | 2390.51 |
| CNN | ID2 | 0.906 | 500 | 6311.46 | 7145.37 | 140 | 10237.30 | 2392.34 |
| CNN | ID3 | 0.957 | 500 | 8131.22 | 7145.37 | 70 | 1727.71 | 1139.70 |
Surrogate Modeling
Surrogate modeling builds faster or more interpretable approximations of expensive simulations and black-box models.
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