Direct Estimation of Tree Volume and Aboveground Biomass Using Deep Regression with Synthetic Lidar Data

Urban tree biomass remains less spatially explicitly quantified than biomass in managed forests because many estimates rely on inventories or coarse products that cannot resolve individual crowns or fine-scale heterogeneity. We present a crown-level above-ground biomass (AGB) framework for an 810km$^2$ landscape in Ontario, Canada, using leaf-off airborne LiDAR (8--10pulsesm$^{-2}$) and near-infrared RGB orthophotography (0.16--0.20m) from 2018 and 2023. A dual-stream cross-attention network trained on rule-based pseudo-labels produced semantic marks for buildings, needleleaf trees, and deciduous trees, supporting crown delineation and functional-type assignment. On independently annotated withheld tiles, global/mean precision, recall, and Dice scores were 0.86, 0.83, and 0.84. Crowns were delineated with multiscale watershed segmentation in mapped tree areas, and AGB was estimated from a crown area--height power-law proxy calibrated to species-specific allometry (Lambert et al., 2005) for 21,921 inventory trees. For 18,713 inventory--segment matched pairs from a 90,726-tree held-out test set, AGB prediction achieved $R^2=0.609$ using inventory crown geometry and $R^2=0.570$ under operational segmentation, identifying crown delineation as the remaining uncertainty source. Aggregated to 30m, estimates yielded total AGB stocks of 1.73Tg in 2018 and 1.81Tg in 2023 (811--850GgC), local densities up to ${\sim}140$Mgha$^{-1}$ along the Niagara Escarpment, and a net carbon gain of 39Gg~C over five years. Deep-ensemble uncertainty maps highlighted high-epistemic-uncertainty areas linked to underrepresented land covers and guided assignment of uncertain crowns to a pooled allometric equation. The framework uses standard provincial data, requires no manual annotation, and produces a public bitemporal crown-level AGB database for trees outside forests at management-relevant resolution.

Spatially continuous quantification of forest above-ground biomass (AGB) is what makes carbon accounting credible and mitigation strategies actionable. While field inventories provide high localized accuracy, they are spatially sparse; conversely, spaceborne LiDAR from the Global Ecosystem Dynamics Investigation (GEDI) offers broad biomass samples but lacks spatial continuity and systematic underestimation of high-biomass forests. This paper presents an operational framework centered on a single globally trained convolutional neural network (CNN) that is seamlessly adapted to each new landscape through a lightweight empirical field-calibration workflow. The global model combines optical (Sentinel-2), C-band SAR (Sentinel-1), L-band SAR (ALOS-2 PALSAR-2), and terrain (DEM) data. It is trained once against GEDI Level-4A biomass reference data spanning multiple regions and both wet and dry seasons so that it learns the persistent woody-structure rather than a single-date appearance. To avoid retraining for every landscape, the framework applies a small number of local field plots to fit a scale-and-bias correction that aligns the global prediction with ground truth in each region. The pipeline harmonizes sensor data onto a shared 10 m grid, derives vegetation indices and polarimetric ratios, computes per-band normalization stats, and trains the CNN with a hybrid log-domain SmoothL1 with RMSE loss for skewed biomass distribution. On held-out validation the global GEDI-based model achieved R^2 approximately 0.78 and RMSE approximately 22 Mg/ha. A subsequent field calibration combining Random Forest fine-tuning under a 10-fold cross-validation eliminates localized regional biases. This improves local validation performance to R^2 approximately 0.82 and reduces RMSE to approximately 15 Mg/ha, outperforming both the uncalibrated global model and the ESA CCI Biomass product against field plots.

Accurate quantification of forest coverage and combustible biomass (fuel load) is critical for wildfire risk assessment and ecosystem management. However, traditional methods relying on airborne LiDAR or field surveys are cost-prohibitive and time-intensive, while satellite imagery often lacks the vertical resolution required for canopy volume analysis. This paper proposes a novel, automated pipeline for rapid forest inventory using virtual remote sensing data derived from Google Earth Studio (GES). Our approach first generates low-altitude orbital imagery and camera poses for a target region. For dense 3D reconstruction, we employ Pi-Long, developed within the VGGT-Long framework. This model serves as a scalable extension of the Pi-3 feed-forward Transformer architecture. To address the inherent scale ambiguity in monocular reconstruction, we introduce a metric recovery module that aligns the reconstructed trajectory with GES ground truth poses via Sim(3) Umeyama optimization. The metric-scale point cloud is then orthogonally projected into Bird's-Eye-View (BEV) height and density maps. Finally, we employ a watershed-based segmentation algorithm combined with height variance analysis to classify tree species (conifer vs. broadleaf), calculate Leaf Area Index (LAI), and estimate total fuel load. Experimental results demonstrate that this pipeline offers a scalable, cost-effective alternative to physical scanning, enabling near-real-time estimation of forest biomass with high geometric consistency.