Rapid Forest Fuel Load Estimation via Virtual Remote Sensing and Metric-Scale Feed-Forward 3D Reconstruction

Remote sensing is increasingly relied upon to deliver actionable science for forest and wildfire risk management across large landscapes. Wall-to-wall, annually updated maps are a persistent need for effective forest management. Many planning systems and data collections combine disparate data sources with different purposes, vintages, and prediction quality, which leads to confounding behavior in operational planning systems. We introduce the VibrantForests framework, developed and applied to map forest attributes and provide a coherent foundation for effective forest and wildfire planning. VibrantForests includes a satellite-based forest structure model trained on lidar-derived samples and applied across the contiguous United States to concurrently generate estimates of canopy cover, canopy height, aboveground live tree biomass, basal area, and quadratic mean diameter at 10-meter resolution. We demonstrate predictive capability spanning the full spectrum of forest conditions ranging from sparse-canopy/low-biomass to dense-canopy/high-biomass. Results show that our model extends the range at which saturation is commonly encountered in comparable passive-sensor models, and reduces regression-to-mean behavior that commonly produces overestimation of forest attributes in small/sparse conditions and underestimation in large/dense conditions. The VibrantForests framework addresses a key limitation in large-area forest and wildfire planning by delivering coherent wall-to-wall estimates of management-relevant attributes at annual cadence and 10m resolution.

Accurate 3D terrain maps are essential for emergency response when assessing wildfire hazards. However, wildfire-prone regions often span vast areas where conventional reconstruction methods underperform. Airborne LiDAR systems provide high-resolution terrain data, but they are expensive and infrequently updated. Image-based methods offer a lower-cost alternative, but struggle due to sparse visual features and limited image overlap. We propose a multi-modal reconstruction framework leveraging outdated Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) as geometric priors for image-based 3D reconstruction. Our key innovation is physics-based pixel-pixel alignment between images and DEM data, dramatically reducing computational complexity by eliminating expensive feature matching procedures. To validate our approach, we developed a large-terrain simulator based on a real wildfire-prone area, generating realistic images enabling a comprehensive evaluation. Given posed images and legacy DEMs, our method produces high-fidelity depth maps while maintaining real-time performance. We find significant improvements in reconstruction accuracy and computational efficiency over existing techniques, offering a scalable solution for wildfire response.

Urban tree biomass remains less spatially explicitly quantified than biomass in managed forests because many estimates rely on inventories or coarse products that cannot resolve individual crowns or fine-scale heterogeneity. We present a crown-level above-ground biomass (AGB) framework for an 810km$^2$ landscape in Ontario, Canada, using leaf-off airborne LiDAR (8--10pulsesm$^{-2}$) and near-infrared RGB orthophotography (0.16--0.20m) from 2018 and 2023. A dual-stream cross-attention network trained on rule-based pseudo-labels produced semantic marks for buildings, needleleaf trees, and deciduous trees, supporting crown delineation and functional-type assignment. On independently annotated withheld tiles, global/mean precision, recall, and Dice scores were 0.86, 0.83, and 0.84. Crowns were delineated with multiscale watershed segmentation in mapped tree areas, and AGB was estimated from a crown area--height power-law proxy calibrated to species-specific allometry (Lambert et al., 2005) for 21,921 inventory trees. For 18,713 inventory--segment matched pairs from a 90,726-tree held-out test set, AGB prediction achieved $R^2=0.609$ using inventory crown geometry and $R^2=0.570$ under operational segmentation, identifying crown delineation as the remaining uncertainty source. Aggregated to 30m, estimates yielded total AGB stocks of 1.73Tg in 2018 and 1.81Tg in 2023 (811--850GgC), local densities up to ${\sim}140$Mgha$^{-1}$ along the Niagara Escarpment, and a net carbon gain of 39Gg~C over five years. Deep-ensemble uncertainty maps highlighted high-epistemic-uncertainty areas linked to underrepresented land covers and guided assignment of uncertain crowns to a pooled allometric equation. The framework uses standard provincial data, requires no manual annotation, and produces a public bitemporal crown-level AGB database for trees outside forests at management-relevant resolution.