Accurate time series forecasting underpins decision-making in many domains, yetconventional ML development often faces data scarcity, distribution shift, anddiminishing returns from manual iteration. We propose Self-Evolving Agent forTime Series Algorithms (SEATS), a framework that autonomously generates, val-idates, and optimizes forecasting algorithm code through an iterative self-evolutionloop. Our design combines three mechanisms: (1) Metric-Advantage MCTS(MA-MCTS), which replaces fixed rewards with a statistically normalized advan-tage score for search guidance, (2) code review with running prompt refinement,so every successfully executed solution is reviewed and the running prompt encodescorrective patterns for later iterations, and (3) global steerable reasoning, whichcompares each evaluated node to global best- and worst-performing solutions forcross-trajectory transfer. A MAP-Elites archive maintains architectural diversity.Across four datasets and two metrics, SEATS wins seven of eight comparisonsagainst strong baselines TimeMixer, Timer, and SEMixer
Time series agents answer analytical questions by calling external tools, and which tools they carry is decided by people before the agent runs. However, we identify two failures in this setup. Human-Agent Tool Misalignment: a library of 21 expert-curated tools helps on some tasks and hurts on others, dropping anomaly accuracy under every backbone we test. Silent Harm: one round of generic self-revision changes 147 answers and breaks 56 of them, while the final score moves by less than a point. Both follow from the same gap: whether a tool helps is decided question by question at runtime, while tools are supplied in advance and judged by a single average. To address this, we propose TimeEvo, which clusters an agent's diagnosed failures into capability gaps, plans a measurement for each, synthesizes evidence-only tools that fill them, and admits the candidate library only through a paired admission gate. Experiments on ten time series QA tasks and three backbones show that TimeEvo, starting from an empty library, improves accuracy on every task and every backbone, and that a library grown on a cheap model still gains when it is installed into stronger ones. Code is available at https://github.com/Muyiiiii/TimeEvo.
We present AgentGA, a framework that evolves autonomous code-generation runs by optimizing the agent seed: the task prompt plus optional parent archives that initialize a fresh workspace. The outer loop searches over these reusable starting conditions rather than editing code directly. Each generation launches a fresh autonomous run in an isolated workspace, while selected parent archives provide inherited artifacts that descendants can inspect and reuse. AgentGA couples a population-level genetic algorithm with long-horizon agents; selection uses deterministic 1:1 elite tournaments and operator allocation is adapted online with a modified Hedge controller. We instantiate the approach for tabular AutoML on the 16-competition Weco-Kaggle Lite benchmark. Across the full benchmark, AgentGA averages 71.90% Exceeds % of Human versus 51.38% for the AIDE reference, winning 15/16 competitions. Within AgentGA runs, descendants conditioned on inherited parent archives win 51.9% of 1,680 parent-child tournaments versus 8.6% for de novo proposals. These results support agent-seed optimization as a practical design choice for autonomous code-search systems.
Agentic time series forecasting concerns systems whose underlying mechanisms evolve, making the relative effectiveness of numerical models, reasoning strategies, and intervention rules inherently time-varying. Consequently, a time series agent must adapt the forecasts it produces and the orchestration policy that determines which components to trust and how to coordinate them. The deployment process naturally provides supervision for this adaptation as forecast horizons elapse and realized targets reveal the effectiveness of earlier decisions. Committing all numerical expert forecasts and candidate agent paths before target observation allows each realized outcome to evaluate the entire alternative set, providing delayed feedback without additional annotation. However, existing time series agents primarily incorporate prior experience through forecast refinement, reflection, or retrieval, without systematically converting realized outcomes into persistent updates to the joint orchestration policy governing later origins. To exploit this delayed feedback systematically, we introduce TimEvolve, a frozen-backbone time series agent that converts each realized outcome into persistent joint updates of expert trust, agent path selection, and intervention strength. A temporally ordered predict, reveal, and update protocol applies this feedback to subsequent forecasts. Experiments across eight Time-MMD domains show that TimEvolve achieves the best average MSE and MAE ranks among fifteen methods and the lowest errors on both metrics in seven domains. These results demonstrate the value of learning forecasting policies from the futures encountered during deployment.