MM-ISTS: Cooperating Irregularly Sampled Time Series Forecasting with Multimodal Vision-Text LLMs
Organizations: East China Normal University, Shanghai, China · Centre for Artificial Intelligence and Robotics, Hong Kong Institute of Science & Innovation, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Hong Kong, China · Department of Computing, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China
Abstract
Irregularly sampled time series (ISTS) are widespread in real-world scenarios, exhibiting asynchronous observations on uneven time intervals across diverse variables. Existing ISTS forecasting methods often solely utilize historical observations to predict future ones while falling short in learning contextual semantics and fine-grained temporal patterns. To address these problems, we propose MM-ISTS, a multimodal ISTS forecasting framework augmented by vision-text large language models, which bridges temporal, visual, and textual modalities. MM-ISTS encompasses a two-stage encoding mechanism. In particular, a Cross-Modal Vision-Text Encoding module is proposed to automatically generate informative visual images and textual data, enabling the capture of intricate temporal patterns and comprehensive contextual understanding, in collaboration with multimodal LLMs (MLLMs). In parallel, ISTS encoding extracts complementary yet enriched temporal features from historical ISTS observations, including multi-view embedding fusion and a Temporal-Variable Encoder. Further, we propose an Adaptive Query-Based Feature Extractor to compress MLLM token embeddings while preserving useful knowledge, which in turn reduces computational costs. In addition, a Multimodal Alignment module with Modality-Aware Gating is designed to alleviate the modality gaps. Extensive experiments on real data offer insight into the effectiveness of the proposed solutions.
Figures & tables
| Dataset | PhysioNet | MIMIC | Human Activity | USHCN | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | MSE | MAE | MSE | MAE | MSE | MAE | MSE | MAE |
| DLinear | 41.86 0.05 | 15.52 0.03 | 4.90 0.00 | 16.29 0.05 | 4.03 0.01 | 4.21 0.01 | 6.21 0.00 | 3.88 0.02 |
| TimesNet | 16.48 0.11 | 6.14 0.03 | 5.88 0.08 | 13.62 0.07 | 3.12 0.01 | 3.56 0.02 | 5.58 0.05 | 3.60 0.04 |
| PatchTST | 12.00 0.23 | 6.02 0.14 | 3.78 0.03 | 12.43 0.10 | 4.29 0.14 | 4.80 0.09 | 5.75 0.01 | 3.57 0.02 |
| Crossformer | 6.66 0.11 | 4.81 0.11 | 2.65 0.10 | 9.56 0.29 | 4.29 0.20 | 4.89 0.17 | 5.25 0.04 | 3.27 0.09 |
| Graph WaveNet | 6.04 0.28 | 4.41 0.11 | 2.93 0.09 | 10.50 0.15 | 2.89 0.03 | 3.40 0.05 | 5.29 0.04 | 3.16 0.09 |
Appendix figures & tables9 assets
Supplementary material from the paper’s appendix.
Appendix
| Dataset | #Samp. | #Var. | Miss.% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Human Activity | 5,400 | 12 | 75.0 |
| USHCN | 26,736 | 5 | 77.9 |
| PhysioNet | 12,000 | 41 | 88.4 |
| MIMIC-III | 23,457 | 96 | 96.7 |
| Group | Dataset | Vars. ( ) | Max Hist. ( ) | Pixels/Ch. ( ) |
| Main benchmarks | Human Activity | 12 | 98 | 1,176 |
| USHCN | 5 | 205 | 1,025 | |
| PhysioNet | 41 | 128 | 5,248 | |
| MIMIC-III | 96 | 280 | 26,880 | |
| Additional datasets with thier own texts | FNSPID | 6 | 23 | 138 |
| ClusterTrace | 11 | 228 | 2,508 |
| Layer Position | MSE | MAE |
|---|---|---|
| Last | ||
| 3rd-to-last | ||
| 5th-to-last | ||
| 7th-to-last |
Irregular Time-Series Modeling
Irregular time-series modeling learns from observations that arrive at uneven times, across variables, or with missing values.
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