Assessing Cognitive Biases in LLMs for Judicial Decision Support: Virtuous Victim and Halo Effects

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used for high-stakes decisions, yet their susceptibility to spurious features remains poorly characterized. We introduce ICE-Guard, a framework applying intervention consistency testing to detect three types of spurious feature reliance: demographic (name/race swaps), authority (credential/prestige swaps), and framing (positive/negative restatements). Across 3,000 vignettes spanning 10 high-stakes domains, we evaluate 11 LLMs from 8 families and find that (1) authority bias (mean 5.8%) and framing bias (5.0%) substantially exceed demographic bias (2.2%), challenging the field's narrow focus on demographics; (2) bias concentrates in specific domains -- finance shows 22.6% authority bias while criminal justice shows only 2.8%; (3) structured decomposition, where the LLM extracts features and a deterministic rubric decides, reduces flip rates by up to 100% (median 49% across 9 models). We demonstrate an ICE-guided detect-diagnose-mitigate-verify loop achieving cumulative 78% bias reduction via iterative prompt patching. Validation against real COMPAS recidivism data shows COMPAS-derived flip rates exceed pooled synthetic rates, suggesting our benchmark provides a conservative estimate of real-world bias. Code and data are publicly available.

We examine whether large language models (LLMs) can predict biased decision-making in conversational settings, and whether their predictions capture not only human cognitive biases but also how those effects change under cognitive load. In a pre-registered study (N = 1,648), participants completed six classic decision-making tasks via a chatbot with dialogues of varying complexity. Participants exhibited two well-documented cognitive biases: the Framing Effect and the Status Quo Bias. Increased dialogue complexity resulted in participants reporting higher mental demand. This increase in cognitive load selectively, but significantly, increased the effect of the biases, demonstrating the load-bias interaction. We then evaluated whether LLMs (GPT-4, GPT-5, and open-source models) could predict individual decisions given demographic information and prior dialogue. While results were mixed across choice problems, LLM predictions that incorporated dialogue context were significantly more accurate in several key scenarios. Importantly, their predictions reproduced the same bias patterns and load-bias interactions observed in humans. Across all models tested, the GPT-4 family consistently aligned with human behavior, outperforming GPT-5 and open-source models in both predictive accuracy and fidelity to human-like bias patterns. These findings advance our understanding of LLMs as tools for simulating human decision-making and inform the design of conversational agents that adapt to user biases.

Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in high-stakes decision-making contexts. While prior work has shown that LLMs exhibit cognitive biases behaviorally, whether these biases correspond to identifiable internal representations and can be mitigated through targeted intervention remains an open question. We define LLM cognitive bias as systematic, reproducible deviations from correct answers in tasks with computable ground-truth baselines, and introduce LLM CogBias, a benchmark organized around four families of cognitive biases: Judgment, Information Processing, Social, and Response. We evaluate three LLMs and find that cognitive biases emerge systematically across all four families, with magnitudes and debiasing responses that are strongly family-dependent: prompt-level debiasing substantially reduces Response biases but backfires for Judgment biases. Using linear probes under a contrastive design, we show that these biases are encoded as linearly separable directions in model activation space. Finally, we apply activation steering to modulate biased behavior, achieving 26--32% reduction in bias score (fraction of biased responses) while preserving downstream capability on 25 benchmarks (Llama: negligible degradation; Qwen: up to $-$19.0pp for Judgment biases). Despite near-orthogonal bias representations across models (mean cosine similarity 0.01), steering reduces bias at similar rates across architectures ($r(246)$=.621, $p$<.001), suggesting shared functional organization.