cs.LGMar 17, 2026

Simplex-to-Euclidean Bijection for Conjugate and Calibrated Multiclass Gaussian Process Classification

Authors: Bernardo Williams, Harsha Vardhan Tetali, Arto Klami, Marcelo Hartmann

Organizations: Department of Computer Science, University of Helsinki, Finland

Abstract

We propose a conjugate and calibrated Gaussian process (GP) model for multi-class classification by exploiting the geometry of the probability simplex. Our approach uses Aitchison geometry to map simplex-valued class probabilities to an unconstrained Euclidean representation, turning classification into a GP regression problem with fewer latent dimensions than standard multi-class GP classifiers. This yields conjugate inference and reliable predictive probabilities without relying on distributional approximations in the model construction. The method is compatible with standard sparse GP regression techniques, enabling scalable inference on larger datasets. Empirical results show well-calibrated and competitive performance across synthetic and real-world datasets.

Figures & tables

Appendix figures & tables6 assets

Supplementary material from the paper’s appendix.

Appendix

Explore similar work

Mar 11, 2026

GGMPs: Generalized Gaussian Mixture Processes

Conditional density estimation is complicated by multimodality, heteroscedasticity, and strong non-Gaussianity. Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a principled nonparametric framework with calibrated uncertainty, but standard GP regression is limited by its unimodal Gaussian predictive form. We introduce the Generalized Gaussian Mixture Process (GGMP), a GP-based method for multimodal conditional density estimation in settings where each input may be associated with a complex output distribution rather than a single scalar response. GGMP combines local Gaussian mixture fitting, cross-input component alignment and per-component heteroscedastic GP training to produce a closed-form Gaussian mixture predictive density. The method is tractable, compatible with standard GP solvers and scalable methods, and avoids the exponentially large latent-assignment structure of naive multimodal GP formulations. Empirically, GGMPs improve distributional approximation on synthetic and real-world datasets with pronounced non-Gaussianity and multimodality.
May 11, 2026

Scalable Gaussian process inference via neural feature maps

We present a theoretically grounded Gaussian process framework that leverages neural feature maps to construct expressive kernels. We show that the learned feature map can be interpreted as an optimal low-rank approximation to a Gram matrix derived from an implied RKHS, from which we establish consistency of the GP posterior. We further analyse the spectral properties of the induced kernels and introduce product feature-map kernels to address oversmoothing. This simple yet powerful approach enables fast, scalable, and accurate exact GP inference with minimal upfront work. The flexibility of kernel design supports seamless application to both regression and classification tasks across diverse data modalities, including tabular inputs and structured domains such as images. On benchmark datasets, this approach surpasses pre-existing methods in terms of accuracy and training and prediction efficiency.
Jul 27, 2026

Multiclass Classification without Labels via Posterior Simplex Geometry

In many classification problems, reliable instance-level labels are unavailable. However, it is often possible to construct weakly enriched unlabeled samples: datasets selected by different cuts, sources, populations, or experimental conditions that change latent class proportions without revealing them. Classification without Labels (CWoLa) shows that, in the binary case (K=2K=2), a classifier trained to distinguish two impure mixtures with different class proportions can recover an optimal class discriminator without knowing the mixture proportions. We extend this principle to multiclass learning from several unlabeled mixtures (K>2K>2), where the learner observes only mixture identity and neither latent class labels nor class-prior matrices. We prove that, for a multiclass mixture model, the Bayes-optimal mixture classifier g⋆g^\star maps data points into a (K−1)(K-1)-simplex embedded in mixture-posterior space. The KK vertices of this simplex are induced by the latent classes through the unknown mixing matrix. Leveraging this geometry, we propose prior-free procedures that train a standard classifier to distinguish mixture identities and then extract latent class structure using either post-hoc simplex fitting or a bottleneck architecture. Experiments on MNIST, CIFAR-10, and Galaxy10 DECaLS show that mixture identity alone can recover latent classes and their fractions in the mixture. By narrowing the gap between weakly supervised and fully supervised performance, we provide a mathematically grounded, scalable tool for multiclass discovery in label-scarce domains.