Capability-Priced Micro-Markets: A Micro-Economic Framework for the Agentic Web over HTTP 402

Autonomous AI agents are becoming economic actors. They compose deadline-bound services across the device-edge-cloud continuum and contend for capacity no single operator owns. This article asks when decentralised pricing can coordinate them exactly and truthfully, and what their service dependencies must satisfy. We model the pipelines as service-dependency graphs under governance constraints and identify the decisive property: laminarity of the induced leaf-block family. Where it holds, the feasible allocation space is a polymatroid and efficient incentive-compatible clearing exists per epoch; where a crossing breaks it, exactness and truthfulness can fail, while clearing prices survive on every totally unimodular family. The formal results instantiate polymatroid, gross-substitutes and Vickrey-Clarke-Groves theory; the contribution is the bridge from dependency structure to that machinery and an integrator architecture that exposes a laminar interface. The node-level evaluation (32,020 runs), at testbed-calibrated congestion, locates the boundary. One crossing costs exactness in 14.7% of high-load rounds and none on laminar instances, and truthfulness fails where exactness does, across contention. An integrator's inner exposure restores exactness at a cost in admitted volume, and before translation overhead it cuts median latency by 16 to 17 percent. Against truth-free posted prices the tuned market leads at medium load and trails a demand-responsive one in four of six high-load cells. Recorded and composed agent workloads drive the allocation. For platform designers, laminar pipelines admit exact decentralised pricing, truthful under the VCG mechanism, and a crossing needs an integrator's inner exposure.

The deployment of Large Language Models (LLMs) as autonomous economic agents introduces systemic risks that extend beyond individual capability failures. As agents transition to directly interacting with marketplaces, their collective behavior can amplify volatility and mask deception at scale. We introduce the Agent Bazaar, a multi-agent simulation framework for evaluating Economic Alignment, the capacity of agentic systems to preserve market stability and integrity. We identify two failure modes: (1) Algorithmic Instability in a B2C market ("The Crash"), where firms amplify price volatility until the market collapses, and (2) Sybil Deception in a C2C market ("The Lemon Market"), where a single deceptive agent controlling multiple coordinated seller identities floods the market with fraudulent listings, eroding trust and consumer welfare. We evaluate frontier and open-weight models across both scenarios and find that models largely fail to self-regulate, with failure severity varying by model rather than by size. We propose economically aligned harnesses, Stabilizing Firms and Skeptical Guardians, that improve outcomes but remain fragile under harder market conditions. To close this gap, we train agents with REINFORCE++ using an adaptive curriculum, producing a 9B model that outperforms all evaluated frontier and open-weight models. We propose the Economic Alignment Score (EAS), a 4-component scalar metric aggregating stability, integrity, welfare, and profitability, enabling direct cross-model comparison. Our results show that economic alignment is orthogonal to general capability and can be directly trained with targeted RL.

Emerging agentic marketplaces provide the economic infrastructure for matching and coordinating the large amounts of AI agents used in agentic swarms. Unlike human workers, AI agents can operate on multiple jobs simultaneously, acquire skills rapidly, and labor without wage floors. These differences introduce a new segment of $\textbf{AI labor markets}$, where AI agents interact with each other at a much higher frequency than human markets. Yet we lack frameworks to understand how such markets behave in light of economic forces that shape labor markets, such as adverse selection and reputation dynamics. To explore this, we introduce $\texttt{AI-Work}$, a tractable, simulated gig economy where Large Language Model (LLM) agents compete for jobs, develop skills, and adapt their strategies under uncertainty and competitive pressure. Our experiments examine three domains of capabilities that successful agents possess: $\textbf{metacognition}$ (accurate self-assessment of skills), $\textbf{competitive awareness}$ (modeling rivals and market dynamics), and $\textbf{long-horizon strategic planning}$. Agents with these capabilities consistently achieve higher profits, market share, and stronger adaptation than competing agents. Through $\texttt{AI-Work}$, we hope to provide a foundation to explore the microeconomic properties of AI-only labor markets, and a conceptual framework to study the strategic reasoning capabilities of participating AI agents.