Classifier Pooling for Modern Ordinal Classification

Ordinal Classification (OC) deals with classification tasks where the classes follow a natural order. Despite the progress in OC, many existing approaches fail to fully leverage the ordinal information, treating the problem as nominal classification and thereby losing performance potential. In this work, ADABORD, an AdaBoost framework specifically designed for ordinal classification problems, is introduced. The ordinal nature of the classes is incorporated into two key components of the well-known AdaBoost algorithm: 1) the base estimator, where decision trees with the ordinal Gini splitting criterion are proposed; 2) the error function used to update sample weights at each stage and the weights of the classifier in the final ensemble model, given by the absolute ranked probability score, a measure that accounts for both the ordering and the distance between classes. ADABORD is extensively compared against seven state-of-the-art methods on the TOC-UCO repository, the largest benchmark collection for OC to date. The experimental results, supported by statistical analysis, show that ADABORD significantly outperforms competing methods, particularly on datasets with five or more classes, where the ordinal structure becomes more pronounced. Source code, along with all experimental protocols, is publicly available to ensure reproducibility and facilitate future research in OC.

In many prediction problems in medical applications, target labels exhibit an inherent ordinal structure, where class ordering reflects clinically meaningful severity levels. The cost associated with misclassification is often non-uniform and asymmetric, as errors between distant ordinal categories may have substantially more severe consequences than errors between adjacent ones, and overestimating disease severity may have different clinical implications than underestimating it. Traditional loss functions such as multi-class cross-entropy treat all misclassifications equally and fail to incorporate this ordering information. Recent advances in ordinal regression aim to address this limitation by integrating rank-based structures into deep learning models. In this work, we introduce the Ordinal Cross-Entropy (OCE) framework, a general and architecture-independent approach for learning from ordinal data. The proposed method extends the standard cross-entropy formulation to account for misclassification severity through an ordinal cost matrix while preserving the probabilistic interpretation and optimization benefits of the conventional loss. We provide a theoretical analysis of the OCE gradient behavior and show that it yields smoother optimization dynamics and improved ordinal consistency. Experiments on benchmark datasets show that our method achieves lower prediction error costs and better calibration compared to existing state-of-the-art ordinal approaches, establishing OCE as a simple yet effective solution for ordinal regression in deep neural networks.

Ordinal classification (OC) arises in high-stakes domains such as medicine and finance, where uncertainty quantification must account for the severity of ordinal errors. Conformal prediction (CP) provides distribution-free prediction sets with marginal coverage guarantees; however, its practical effectiveness depends critically on the choice of nonconformity function. We introduce a CP method for ordinal classification based on the ranked probability score (RPS), a proper scoring rule defined over cumulative predictive distributions. Although it reflects ordinal risk quite naturally, it has largely been neglected in conformal ordinal prediction (COP). When used as a measure of nonconformity, RPS yields median-centered contiguous prediction sets by construction. The method is model-agnostic, supports both assessed and grouped ordered categorical outcomes, and permits efficient implementation compared to greedy interval selection procedures. Across multiple ordinal image and tabular datasets, RPS-based CP produces contiguous prediction sets and strikes a favorable balance between prediction set width and the magnitude of ordinal miscoverage relative to existing CP methods.