The Convergence Frontier: Integrating Machine Learning and High Performance Quantum Computing for Next-Generation Drug Discovery

Quantitative Structure-Activity Relationship ($\mathtt{QSAR}$) modeling is a foundational computational methodology in early-stage drug discovery, heavily relied upon for predicting compound toxicity, bioavailability, and therapeutic potential. However, classical methods often struggle to effectively map the highly complex, non-linear, and high-dimensional interactions inherent in molecular data, leading to reduced predictive accuracy and costly late-stage clinical failures. In this paper, we present a Quantum Multiple Kernel Learning ($\mathtt{QMKL}$) framework, dubbed Next-Gen $\mathtt{Q^2SAR}$, that leverages Quantum Support Vector Machines ($\mathtt{QSVMs}$) to overcome these classical limitations. By encoding molecular descriptors into exponentially large quantum Hilbert spaces, our approach substantially enhances the expressiveness of non-linear modeling. Benchmarking our quantum-enhanced framework on a dataset targeting the $\mathtt{DYRK1A}$ kinase (a critical target for Alzheimer's disease), the $\mathtt{QMKL}$-$\mathtt{SVM}$ achieves an impressive Area Under the Curve ($\mathtt{AUC}$) score of $0.8750$, significantly outperforming classical state-of-the-art Gradient Boosting models ($\mathtt{AUC} = 0.8037$). Furthermore, we establish a theoretical and empirical pathway toward resolving classical data bottlenecks through projected quantum kernels ($\mathtt{PQK}$) and measurement accelerators. As quantum computing architecture matures, this framework paves the way for autonomous cognitive architectures and self-improving drug discovery pipelines, promising to unlock deeper insights across vast chemical spaces and to accelerate the development of life-saving therapeutics.

Calculation of binding energies for protein-ligand molecular systems requires accurate treatment of the electronic structure, a quantum chemistry problem that scales exponentially on classical hardware, while current quantum hardware remains too noisy for the required circuit depths. This report presents a hybrid quantum-classical workflow performed on the Fujitsu FX700 ideal state-vector simulator using QARP that addresses two structural inefficiencies in quantum-sampling-based diagonalization workflows. First, we integrate the Linear Scaling CNOT UCCSD (LCNot-UCCSD) ansatz into the QSCI framework, replacing the $\mathcal{O}(N^6)$ CCSD parameter initialization of the competing LUCJ ansatz approach with $\mathcal{O}(N^4)$ MP2-amplitude initialization. Second, we introduce QSCI-RBM, a variant that replaces the configuration recovery of the SQD framework with a Restricted Boltzmann Machine (RBM) acting as a compact generative subspace expansion model. Both are evaluated on eight different molecules in STO-3G across 14 controlled artificial error levels with 100 independent runs each, validated on potential energy surface scans of the N$_2$ molecule in cc-pVDZ, and embedded within DMET to treat the FDA-approved antiviral Amantadine (C$_{10}$H$_{17}$N, 11 DMET fragments) and the active region of the SARS-CoV-2 main protease complexed with its covalent inhibitor Carmofur (PDB: 7BUY, C$_{15}$H$_{28}$N$_4$O$_5$S, 10 fragments). To our knowledge, this is the first deployment of LCNot-UCCSD within QSCI on a quantum computing simulator, and the first DMET-QSCI(LCNot-UCCSD)-RBM application to an industry-relevant protein-ligand system. By utilizing a fraction of the classical computing resources required by the current state-of-the-art work by Cleveland Clinic, RIKEN, and IBM Quantum, this approach enables more efficient and economical drug discovery simulations for the industry.

Artificial intelligence is transforming molecular and materials science, but its growing computational and data demands raise critical sustainability challenges. In this Perspective, we examine resource considerations across the AI-driven discovery pipeline--from quantum-mechanical (QM) data generation and model training to automated, self-driving research workflows--building on discussions from the ``SusML workshop: Towards sustainable exploration of chemical spaces with machine learning'' held in Dresden, Germany. In this context, the availability of large quantum datasets has enabled rigorous benchmarking and rapid methodological progress, while also incurring substantial energy and infrastructure costs. We highlight emerging strategies to enhance efficiency, including general-purpose machine learning (ML) models, multi-fidelity approaches, model distillation, and active learning. Moreover, incorporating physics-based constraints within hierarchical workflows, where fast ML surrogates are applied broadly and high-accuracy QM methods are used selectively, can further optimize resource use without compromising reliability. Equally important is bridging the gap between idealized computational predictions and real-world conditions by accounting for synthesizability and multi-objective design criteria, which is essential for practical impact. Finally, we argue that sustainable progress will rely on open data and models, reusable workflows, and domain-specific AI systems that maximize scientific value per unit of computation, enabling efficient and responsible discovery of technological materials and therapeutics.