Cell-Type Prototype-Informed Neural Network for Gene Expression Estimation from Pathology Images

Histology-based single-cell spatial transcriptomics (ST) estimation aims to predict gene expression for individual cells from histopathological images and cell locations, reducing the need for costly single-cell ST measurements. Unlike existing histology-to-ST methods that mainly predict spot-level profiles for local regions containing multiple cells, this task requires modeling cell-to-cell expression variability, which is strongly structured by cell type. We propose Genomics-Guided Cell-Type-Specific Mixture-of-Experts (GC-MoE), which estimates cell-type probabilities with a routing network and softly combines cell-type-specific experts for gene expression prediction. To further encode cell-type-dependent gene programs, we introduce the Cell-Type-Specific Co-Expression-Aware Predictor (CAP), together with a lightweight Cell-to-Cell Interaction Attention (C2CA) module for neighboring-cell context. Experiments and ablations on public single-cell ST datasets show consistent improvements over existing single-cell and adapted spot-level baselines.

Predicting gene expression from H&E-stained histology images offers a scalable alternative to costly spatial transcriptomics, yet most existing methods operate at the spot level, where signals from multiple cells are aggregated and critical cellular heterogeneity is obscured. Extending this paradigm to single-cell resolution is non-trivial. Naively applying pathology foundation models faces a scale mismatch: their patch-level representations mix multiple cells, whereas per-cell cropping or resizing distorts morphology and removes local context. Conversely, segmentation-based models without strong pretrained visual encoders often lack the morphological representation capacity needed for accurate molecular prediction and inherit errors from imperfect cell boundary masks. Here, we present CELLO, an efficient end-to-end framework that performs a single pathology foundation model forward pass per image and uses grid sampling to extract location-specific features for all cells simultaneously. We further introduce a distance-decay cross-attention module that refines each cell representation using spatially biased local morphological context. Using 52 public Xenium-H&E pairs from HEST-1k that span 12 organs and approximately 10 million cells, CELLO improves the average predictive accuracy over the evaluated baselines while reducing the mean whole-slide inference time compared to DeepSpot2Cell, a 14.0x speed-up on average that excludes upstream cell segmentation. Our work establishes a scalable foundation for single-cell gene expression prediction from H&E images.

Spatial transcriptomics can resolve gene expression at single-cell resolution, but it is costly, limited to targeted panels of a few hundred to a few thousand genes, and applicable to only a small number of samples. H&E imaging, by contrast, is cheap and collected routinely at scale. This makes predicting single-cell expression directly from morphology a practical way to bring molecular analysis to large tissue archives. We therefore present VOICE, a multimodal foundation model that predicts single-cell gene expression from H&E images using paired Xenium data. VOICE first aligns cell centered H&E morphology from a pathology foundation model with single-cell expression embeddings from a transcriptome foundation model, trained using contrastive learning over 23 million cells. Next it predicts expression through two branches. One branch directly regresses expression from morphology. The other branch retrieves measured expression from similar reference cells, recovering genes that do not have morphological signal. Because genes vary in morphological predictability, VOICE fuses the two branches with a per-gene weight. After training, VOICE generalizes to heldout patients, slides, and partially overlapping gene panels from Xenium, and it consistently outperforms prior single-cell expression prediction methods on seven metrics.