cs.CVMar 20, 2026

Pedestrian Crossing Intent Prediction via Psychological Features and Transformer Fusion

Authors: Sima Ashayer, Hoang H. Nguyen, Yu Liang, Mina Sartipi

Organizations: The University of Tennessee at Chattanooga, Chattanooga, TN, USA

Abstract

Pedestrian intention prediction needs to be accurate for autonomous vehicles to navigate safely in urban environments. We present a lightweight, socially informed architecture for pedestrian intention prediction. It fuses four behavioral streams (attention, position, situation, and interaction) using highway encoders, a compact 4-token Transformer, and global self-attention pooling. To quantify uncertainty, we incorporate two complementary heads: a variational bottleneck whose KL divergence captures epistemic uncertainty, and a Mahalanobis distance detector that identifies distributional shift. Together, these components yield calibrated probabilities and actionable risk scores without compromising efficiency. On the PSI 1.0 benchmark, our model outperforms recent vision language models by achieving 0.9 F1, 0.94 AUC-ROC, and 0.78 MCC by using only structured, interpretable features. On the more diverse PSI 2.0 dataset, where, to the best of our knowledge, no prior results exist, we establish a strong initial baseline of 0.78 F1 and 0.79 AUC-ROC. Selective prediction based on Mahalanobis scores increases test accuracy by up to 0.4 percentage points at 80% coverage. Qualitative attention heatmaps further show how the model shifts its cross-stream focus under ambiguity. The proposed approach is modality-agnostic, easy to integrate with vision language pipelines, and suitable for risk-aware intent prediction on resource-constrained platforms.

Figures & tables

Explore similar work

Jun 8, 2026

Decoding Pedestrian Crossing Intention from Egocentric Vision via Vision Language Models

Egocentric vision offers a first-person view of human perception and decision making, yet its potential for traffic-safety prediction remains underexplored. In this work, we study the decoding of pedestrian crossing intentions from short egocentric video clips. We approach this by formulating the task as a closed-ended visual question answering (VQA) problem and leveraging vision language models (VLMs) to predict the pedestrians' intent. We first benchmark three families of state-of-the-art VLMs in a zero-shot setting, finding that they achieve moderate gains over random guessing but exhibit limited higher-level traffic reasoning. Motivated by these findings, we further adapt VLMs to the target task using parameter-efficient fine-tuning. Our results show that the fine-tuned models substantially outperform their zero-shot counterparts and achieve a 9% accuracy improvement over a specialized transformer-based baseline. Finally, we demonstrate that incorporating additional contextual cues, including ego motion, vehicle motion, and eye gaze, further improves predictive performance. In particular, the fine-tuned Qwen3-VL-2B model guided by eye gaze and ego motion achieves a 14.5% accuracy improvement over the transformer baseline, establishing a new state of the art for egocentric pedestrian intent decoding.
Sep 9, 2026

TrajFusionNet+: Transformer-Based Prediction of Pedestrian Crossing Intention via Fusion of Trajectory Representations and Scene Graphs

The pedestrian crossing intention task involves predicting whether pedestrians are likely to cross the road from the point of view of an autonomous vehicle. We introduce TrajFusionNet+, a novel transformer-based model for pedestrian crossing intention prediction. TrajFusionNet+ combines sequential and visual representations of pedestrian trajectory with a graph-based representation of the scene context in order to predict pedestrian crossing intention. The proposed architecture builds upon our previous model, TrajFusionNet, and comprises three branches: a Sequence Attention Module (SAM), which processes a sequential representation of past and predicted pedestrian trajectories; a Visual Attention Module (VAM), which utilizes a visual representation of the pedestrian trajectories by overlaying observed and predicted bounding boxes onto scene images; and a Graph Attention Module (GAM), which extracts pedestrian-centric graphs from segmented scene images and captures the relational dependencies between pedestrians and traffic elements. TrajFusionNet+ achieves improved state-of-the-art performance on the two most widely used pedestrian crossing intention datasets, PIE and JAAD. Furthermore, we introduce a new evaluation protocol in which models are trained jointly on the PIE and JAAD datasets but evaluated separately on each. Under this setting, TrajFusionNet+ demonstrates superior generalization compared to existing approaches.
Jul 14, 2026

Adaptive Cross-Modal Fusion with Sparse Attention for Pedestrian Crossing Intention Prediction

Predicting pedestrian crossing intention is a safety-critical task for autonomous driving, yet existing approaches often rely on single-modal inputs or dense multimodal fusion strategies that inadequately capture complementary visual and kinematic information while introducing redundant inter-modal interactions. We propose ADAPT (Adaptive Domain-Aware Pedestrian Crossing Transformer), a multimodal framework that jointly models local and global visual context together with temporal motion dynamics for accurate pedestrian crossing intention prediction. ADAPT processes four spatially aligned visual modalities, including RGB images, local depth maps, global semantic maps, and global depth maps, together with ego-vehicle speed, pedestrian bounding boxes, and skeleton pose information through five specialized modules: a weight-shared Swin Transformer V2 backbone for visual feature extraction, a Cross-Modality Guided Attention module for hierarchical visual fusion, a Mamba-based Motion Feature Encoding module for efficient temporal modeling, a Sparse Cross-Modal Attention module that selectively preserves the most informative inter-modal interactions, and a Vision Transformer-based Temporal Feature Fusion module for sequence-level prediction. Extensive experiments on the JAAD and PIE benchmark datasets demonstrate that ADAPT consistently outperforms existing state-of-the-art methods while maintaining low computational complexity. On JAAD, the proposed method achieves an AUC of 0.73 on JAADbeh and 0.85 on JAADall, while on PIE it achieves an accuracy of 0.92 and an AUC of 0.90. Furthermore, ADAPT performs inference in only 17.23 ms per sample, offering an effective balance between predictive accuracy and real-time deployment efficiency for intelligent transportation and autonomous driving applications.