Conspiracy Frame: a Semiotically-Driven Approach for Conspiracy Theories Detection

Conspiratorial discourse on social media is not always expressed through explicit claims or stable lexical markers. The same surface content may express endorsement, legitimate concerns, criticism, satire, or mockery. The main challenge is therefore not only recognizing conspiracy-related claims, but inferring the speaker's intent -- the utterance's illocutionary force. We argue that this can be achieved through the use of relevant social contexts and propose an agentic framework, equipped with a set of tools supporting social queries. We demonstrate the benefits of our approach on a unique dataset of Hebrew tweets, covering 80%--90% of the public Hebrew tweets published over a four-year span (late 2018-- early 2023), encompassing several election cycles as well as the COVID pandemic years and related vaccination campaigns. This extensive coverage can be used in recovering different social contexts. Evaluating our framework on a manually-annotated adversarial dataset, we find that context-aware workflows consistently outperform text-only classification and that the agentic framework performs significantly better than other frameworks and settings, including a non-agentic model exposed to the same contexts available to the agent. We further provide an analysis of the results, the errors and efficiency (token economy) tradeoffs. These findings support viewing the task of conspiracy detection as a socially embedded interpretation task, in which effective classification depends not only on access to contexts, but also on adaptive reasoning in which the agent uses tools on a per-case basis, asking only for evidence relevant to its current reasoning step.

Conspiracy theories commonly attribute important events to the actions of powerful and secretive actors. While computational research has largely focused on document-level analyses of conspiracy theories, less attention has been paid to identifying the actors that drive such narratives. We develop annotation guidelines for conspiratorial actors, present a span-annotated corpus of German Telegram posts, and investigate their automatic extraction using transformer-based models. We further apply the resulting model to the Schwurbelarchiv, a large-scale archive of German conspiracy-related Telegram channels. Our results demonstrate that conspiratorial actors can be annotated with meaningful agreement and extracted with reasonable accuracy despite the linguistic complexity of conspiracy discourse, enabling large-scale analyses of actor representations in conspiracy narratives.

This paper presents a novel agentic LLM pipeline for SemEval-2026 Task 10 that jointly extracts psycholinguistic conspiracy markers and detects conspiracy endorsement. Unlike traditional classifiers that conflate semantic reasoning with structural localization, our decoupled design isolates these challenges. For marker extraction, we propose Dynamic Discriminative Chain-of-Thought (DD-CoT) with deterministic anchoring to resolve semantic ambiguity and character-level brittleness. For conspiracy detection, an "Anti-Echo Chamber" architecture, consisting of an adversarial Parallel Council adjudicated by a Calibrated Judge, overcomes the "Reporter Trap," where models falsely penalize objective reporting. Achieving 0.24 Macro F1 (+100% over baseline) on S1 and 0.79 Macro F1 (+49%) on S2, with the S1 system ranking 3rd on the development leaderboard, our approach establishes a versatile paradigm for interpretable, psycholinguistically-grounded NLP.