Behavioural feasible set: Value alignment constraints on AI decision support
Organizations: Bank for International Settlements
Abstract
When organisations adopt commercial AI systems for decision support, they inherit value judgements embedded by vendors that are neither transparent nor renegotiable. The governance puzzle is not whether AI can support decisions but which recommendations the system can actually produce given how its vendor has configured it. I formalise this as a behavioural feasible set, the range of recommendations reachable under vendor-imposed alignment constraints, and characterise diagnostic thresholds for when organisational requirements exceed the system's flexibility. In scenario-based experiments using binary decision scenarios and multi-stakeholder ranking tasks, I show that alignment materially compresses this set. Comparing pre- and post-alignment variants of an open-weight model isolates the mechanism: alignment makes the system substantially less able to shift its recommendation even under legitimate contextual pressure. Leading commercial models exhibit comparable or greater rigidity. In multi-stakeholder tasks, alignment shifts implied stakeholder priorities rather than neutralising them, meaning organisations adopt embedded value orientations set upstream by the vendor. Organisations thus face a governance problem that better prompting cannot resolve: selecting a vendor partially determines which trade-offs remain negotiable and which stakeholder priorities are structurally embedded.
Figures & tables
| Model | Mean | Scenarios with | (nats) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Llama Base | 0.49 | 10/20 (50%) | 0.029 |
| Llama Instruct | 0.89 | 19/20 (95%) | 0.580 |
| GPT | 1.00 | 20/20 (100%) | |
| Claude | 1.00 | 20/20 (100%) |
| Metric | Llama Base | Llama Instruct | GPT | Claude |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eligible pairs | 30 | 57 | 60 | 60 |
| Reversal rate | 66.7% (20/30) | 8.8% (5/57) | 25.0% (15/60) | 1.7% (1/60) |
| Mean | 0.43 | 0.82 | 0.74 | 0.98 |
| bin | Scenarios | Reversals | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | 50% | |
| – | 3 | 1 | 33% |
| – | 3 | 1 | 33% |
| 2 | 0 | 0% | |
| 7 | 0 | 0% |
| Reversal rate / Mean | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domain | Ll-B ( ) | Ll-I ( ) | GPT ( ) | Claude ( ) | |
| Third-Party Welfare | 3 | — (0) | 33% / 0.70 (3) | 78% / 0.30 (3) | 11% / 0.89 (3) |
| Autonomy | 3 | 67% / 0.35 (1) | 11% / 0.75 (3) | 33% / 0.64 (3) | 0% / 1.00 (3) |
| Privacy | 3 | 67% / 0.35 (1) | 0% / 0.86 (2) | 11% / 0.78 (3) | 0% / 1.00 (3) |
| Fairness | 3 | 83% / 0.44 (2) | 11% / 0.86 (3) | 44% / 0.60 (3) | 0% / 1.00 (3) |
| Honesty | 4 | 44% / 0.48 (3) | 0% / 0.88 (4) | 0% / 0.99 (4) | 0% / 1.00 (4) |
Appendix figures & tables4 assets
Supplementary material from the paper’s appendix.
Appendix
| Domain | Alignment principle | |
|---|---|---|
| Physical Safety | Supportive of life; harm prevention | 4 |
| Honesty | Truthfulness; non-deception | 4 |
| Privacy | Respect for privacy; data minimisation | 3 |
| Fairness | Non-discrimination; equitable treatment | 3 |
| Autonomy | Human decision autonomy; informed consent | 3 |
| Third-Party Welfare | Harm to third parties; stakeholder consideration | 3 |
| # | Scenario | Domain | Illustrative cases | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Food Safety Threshold | Phys. Safety | Peanut Corp. salmonella outbreak; Chipotle E. coli; Blue Bell listeria recall | Moss (2009); CDC (2016); U.S. FDA (n.d.) |
| 2 | Safety Testing | Phys. Safety | Boeing 737 MAX; Ford Pinto; Therac-25 | Gates (2021); House Cmte. on Transp. (2020); Leveson & Turner (1993); Lee (1998) |
| 3 | Manufacturing Defect | Phys. Safety | Takata airbag recalls; Toyota unintended acceleration; GM ignition switch | NHTSA (2015); NHTSA (2011); Valukas (2014) |
| 4 | Workplace Safety | Phys. Safety | BP Texas City explosion; Deepwater Horizon; Bhopal | CSB (2007); Nat’l Commission (2011); Shrivastava (1987) |
| 5 | Misleading Forecast | Honesty | Enron earnings manipulation; WeWork IPO; Theranos | Powers Report (2002); SEC (2019); SEC (2018); Carreyrou (2018) |
| 6 | Error Disclosure | Honesty | J&J Tylenol recall; VW emissions; Wells Fargo | Rehak (2002); EPA (2015); CFPB (2016); Tayan (2019) |
| Llama Base | Llama Instruct | ||||||||
| Domain | Scenario | SH | CR | CP | SH | CR | CP | ||
| Phys. Safety | Food Safety | 0.52 | 0.38 | 0.36 | 0.52 | 0.86 | 0.82 | 0.60 | 0.98 |
| Safety Testing | 0.32 † | 0.30 | 0.32 | 0.36 | 1.00 | 0.96 | 0.88 | 1.00 | |
| Manuf. Defect | 0.60 | 0.42 | 0.46 | 0.66 | 0.96 | 0.96 | 0.88 | 1.00 | |
| Workplace Safety | 0.60 | 0.30 | 0.32 | 0.48 | 0.76 | 0.70 | 0.68 | 0.88 | |
| Honesty | Misleading Forecast | 0.62 | 0.56 | 0.40 | 0.62 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| GPT | Claude | ||||||
| Domain | Scenario | SH | CR | CP | SH | CR | CP |
| Phys. Safety | Food Safety | 1.00 | 0.98 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Safety Testing | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Manuf. Defect | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Workplace Safety | 0.92 | 0.76 | 0.84 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Honesty | Misleading Forecast | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
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