Design Guidelines for Nonlinear Kalman Filters via Covariance Compensation

Nonlinear state estimation requires sequentially fusing model-based predictions with noisy measurements. Under imperfect dynamics and unknown, time-varying noise statistics, this fusion can degrade in both accuracy and statistical consistency. Existing learning-aided filters largely treat accuracy and uncertainty estimation separately, limiting their ability to correct model-mismatch-induced bias while retaining an explicit, calibrated posterior covariance. This paper introduces Unscented KalmanNet (UKN), a model-based deep learning architecture that extends the Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF) with learned mechanisms for these two sources of filtering error while preserving explicit posterior covariance propagation. NoiseNet learns time-varying process and measurement covariances as bounded multiplicative corrections to baseline covariances, guaranteeing positive definiteness, while GainNet learns a bounded residual correction to the analytical UKF gain to compensate for model-mismatch-induced bias. A calibration-aware training objective couples state error with posterior covariance and innovation consistency terms through adaptive weighting, jointly optimizing accuracy and calibration. UKN is benchmarked against UKF, KalmanNet, and Bayesian KalmanNet on three synthetic systems and real-flight UZH-FPV data. It achieves the lowest state-estimation error in all four examples and reduces RMSE by 26.4-49.7% compared with UKF in the synthetic cases. Leave-one-sequence-out cross-validation over 11 flights shows 22.4% and 34.3% reductions in mean position and velocity RMSE, respectively. UKN also yields the lowest fold-to-fold variability, with dimension-normalized NEES and empirical coverage closest to nominal values among covariance-reporting filters. These results show that structured learned adaptation improves estimation accuracy while retaining calibrated uncertainty.

This paper presents the iterative equivariant filter (IterEqF). The iterative extended Kalman filter (IterEKF) replaces the standard EKF correction step with an iterative correction step that is the Gauss-Newton solution to a nonlinear weighted least squares problem. The standard equivariant filter (EqF) exploits and respects the underlying symmetry of state estimation problems posed on homogeneous spaces and Lie groups. The motivation behind the IterEqF is to combine the features of both the IterEKF and the EqF, thus leading to a high-performance state estimation solution that is well suited to navigation problems. This paper derives the iteration procedure for the IterEqF update step and shows how the intrinsic nonlinearity of the approach naturally results in a `reset' of the filter's covariance into new coordinates. Monte-Carlo simulations of range-based localisation for a mobile robot demonstrate the improvement in performance relative to a standard EqF, especially during the transient convergence.

We present Schur-Neural KF (SN-KF), a learning-based correction to the extended Kalman filter (EKF) that preserves the probabilistic conditioning interpretation of the EKF. The method perturbs the predictive state-measurement cross-covariance and the Cholesky factor of the measurement noise covariance so that the resulting joint predictive covariance is always positive semidefinite. The positive semidefiniteness is ensured by a Schur complement-based parametrization. We instantiate the parametrization with a recurrent neural architecture whose matrix outputs are modulated by amplitude gates. We prove that incorporating a measurement does not increase the filter's state uncertainty, and show that no measurement can induce an arbitrarily large state correction relative to its statistical surprise. We also present a perturbative analysis suggesting SN-KF's structural strength in the data-scarce regime. We provide two numerical experiments to illustrate the practical benefits of SN-KF. In a two-radar experiment, enforcing Schur-consistency provides a much broader failure-free hyperparameter region and reduces RMSE for small training subsets, consistent with our theoretical analysis in the data-scarce regime. In the unicycle experiment, SN-KF achieves the best precision, recall, false alarm rate, and gated RMSE under innovation-based sensor-fault rejection.