MsFormer: Enabling Robust Predictive Maintenance Services for Industrial Devices

Predictive maintenance in Industry 4.0 refers to using data from sensors, machines, and production systems to estimate when equipment is likely to fail, so maintenance can be planned before a breakdown occurs [1]. However, a model that predicts maintenance may work perfectly in the lab but fail unexpectedly when applied to real factory data [2]. To solve this "reliability" gap, we evaluated six deep learning architectures across more than 700 experimental runs. We focused on the two dominant approaches in the field: Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), which process data step-by-step, like reading a sentence [3], and Transformers, a recent dominant approach, which look at the entire sequence at once to spot important connections [4]. We examined whether Transformers still outperform recurrent neural networks (RNNs) when the data includes noise [5]. We found that while Transformers excelled at tracking stable, slow-moving processes, they tend to overreact to chaotic data, mistakenly taking sensor noise for meaningful signals [6]. We also found that the hybrid method that combines a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) layer with a Transformer layer is more resilient to noisy data from factory shops [7]. Functioning as a noise filter, the LSTM smooths out data volatility, allowing the Transformer to focus on the bigger picture without being distracted [8]. The hybrid model did not just improve accuracy; it proved to be significantly more consistent than complex models, delivering reliable predictions regardless of how chaotic the underlying system became.

Industrial IoT predictive maintenance requires systems capable of real-time anomaly detection without sacrificing interpretability or demanding excessive computational resources. Traditional approaches rely on static, offline-trained models that cannot adapt to evolving operational conditions, while LLM-based monolithic systems demand prohibitive memory and latency, rendering them impractical for on-site edge deployment. We introduce SEMAS, a self-evolving hierarchical multi-agent system that distributes specialized agents across Edge, Fog, and Cloud computational tiers. Edge agents perform lightweight feature extraction and pre-filtering; Fog agents execute diversified ensemble detection with dynamic consensus voting; and Cloud agents continuously optimize system policies via Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) while maintaining asynchronous, non-blocking inference. The framework incorporates LLM-based response generation for explainability and federated knowledge aggregation for adaptive policy distribution. This architecture enables resource-aware specialization without sacrificing real-time performance or model interpretability. Empirical evaluation on two industrial benchmarks (Boiler Emulator and Wind Turbine) demonstrates that SEMAS achieves superior anomaly detection performance with exceptional stability under adaptation, sustains prediction accuracy across evolving operational contexts, and delivers substantial latency improvements enabling genuine real-time deployment. Ablation studies confirm that PPO-driven policy evolution, consensus voting, and federated aggregation each contribute materially to system effectiveness. These findings indicate that resource-aware, self-evolving 1multi-agent coordination is essential for production-ready industrial IoT predictive maintenance under strict latency and explainability constraints.

Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prediction is essential for industrial predictive maintenance, yet many learning-based approaches rely on extensive feature engineering or large labeled datasets to train task-specific sequence models. In this work, we introduce a lightweight learning approach, in which we leverage a frozen pretrained time-series foundation model (TSFM) and combine it with a small regression head for RUL estimation from multivariate sensor streams. More specifically, we use Chronos-2 as a frozen backbone to extract context window features and train a lightweight regression neural network for RUL prediction. Experiments on real-world industrial sensor data from two device types show that Chronos-2 features consistently improve over recurrent, convolutional, Transformer-based, and gradient-boosting baselines under the same preprocessing and evaluation protocol. We further analyze the impact of context length and find that performance improves significantly with longer histories, indicating that TSFM representation offer a practical and data-efficient alternative for RUL estimation in industrial settings.