Bilevel Autoresearch: Meta-Autoresearching Itself

Auto Research uses language-model agents to propose, implement, and evaluate machine-learning changes in a closed loop, but is usually judged by its terminal pipeline. A terminal score cannot reveal which technical decision produced a gain or distinguish a reusable discovery from a change adapted to development feedback. We introduce intervention-centered Auto Research, which validates research decisions rather than only final artifacts and makes their reliability measurable. Feature, Model, Representation, and Data axes are searched independently with inner five-fold feedback. Each axis winner is frozen before an outer-holdout matrix compares all alternatives on evidence the loop never sees. Across 701 agent-executed attempts spanning ten Matbench endpoints, outer evidence confirms the selected intervention on nine of ten endpoints and preserves 89.3% of non-tied intervention orderings. It also rejects an aggregate Representation gain that inner feedback endorsed. The resulting matrix reveals an information-dependent hierarchy. Composition-only tasks support several routes to improvement, whereas structure-informed tasks favor local geometry features and complementary tree ensembles. A subsequent compatibility test combines already frozen Feature and Model code without further search or tuning and raises mean outer-holdout improvement from 19.0% to 26.3%. By validating decisions rather than only artifacts, this design turns adaptive search into reusable evidence wherever agents propose executable alternatives against a fixed evaluator.

We present AutoResearch-RL, a framework in which a reinforcement learning agent conducts open-ended neural architecture and hyperparameter research without human supervision, running perpetually until a termination oracle signals convergence or resource exhaustion. At each step the agent proposes a code modification to a target training script, executes it under a fixed wall clock time budget, observes a scalar reward derived from validation bits-per-byte (val-bpb), and updates its policy via Proximal Policy Optimisation (PPO). The key design insight is the separation of three concerns: (i) a frozen environment (data pipeline, evaluation protocol, and constants) that guarantees fair cross-experiment comparison; (ii) a mutable target file (train.py) that represents the agent's editable state; and (iii) a meta-learner (the RL agent itself) that accumulates a growing trajectory of experiment outcomes and uses them to inform subsequent proposals. We formalise this as a Markov Decision Process, derive convergence guarantees under mild assumptions, and demonstrate empirically on a single GPU nanochat pretraining benchmark that AutoResearch-RL discovers configurations that match or exceed hand-tuned baselines after approximately 300 overnight iterations, with no human in the loop.

Autoresearch improves machine-learning code by proposing changes, running full training jobs, and keeping changes that improve the metric. The efficiency of this loop depends not only on generating ideas, but also on the agent's ability to decide, before spending a training run, whether a proposed modification is likely to work. We study how the reliability of this pre-execution judgment changes over the course of an autoresearch trajectory. In public AutoSOTA logs (Li et al., 2026; Tsinghua FIB Lab, 2026), the fraction of helpful modifications falls from 70% in the first two iterations to 43% by iteration 6+. On 296 same-baseline modification pairs from 39 paper-derived AutoSOTA tasks, each containing one modification that improved the metric and one that did not, with measured outcomes hidden, an LLM judge given candidate rationales but no prior-attempt history reaches 79.5% accuracy on the pairs where strict consensus returns a verdict. On the full 366-pair benchmark, however, this ability weakens substantially late in the loop. As successful changes accumulate, selective accuracy - accuracy conditioned on a strict-consensus verdict - falls from 82.8% to 56.9%, while the judge remains willing to decide. We call this operational pattern the confidence cliff. Rehearse implements the loop change as a lightweight skill for autoresearch loops: propose several ideas, compare them before execution, run the most promising, and judge with a focused memory of similar past attempts and outcomes. This focused outcome memory raises late selective accuracy to 83.5%. Across 4,000 budgeted training runs over three loops, Rehearse improves the endpoint under the same training-run budget on nanochat, image classification, and time-series forecasting.