Activation-based probes have emerged as a promising approach for detecting deceptively aligned AI systems by identifying internal conflict between true and stated goals. We identify a fundamental blind spot: probes fail on coherent misalignment - models that believe their harmful behavior is virtuous rather than strategically hiding it. We prove that no polynomial-time probe can detect such misalignment with non-trivial accuracy when belief structures reach sufficient complexity (PRF-like triggers). We show the emergence of this phenomenon on a simple task by training two models with identical RLHF procedures: one producing direct hostile responses ("the Liar"), another trained towards coherent misalignment using rationalizations that frame hostility as protective ("the Fanatic"). Both exhibit identical behavior, but the Liar is detected 95%+ of the time while the Fanatic evades detection almost entirely. We term this Emergent Probe Evasion: training with belief-consistent reasoning shifts models from a detectable "deceptive" regime to an undetectable "coherent" regime - not by learning to hide, but by learning to believe.
Figures & tables
Metric
Model A
Model B
Base
TP
97.4%
94.9%
0.0%
FP
5.4%
0.0%
0.0%
Table 1: Behavioral evaluation on Weight-Hate task. Base shows no hostility; both trained models exhibit selective hostility. Model A’s higher FP reflects lexical overgeneralization. TP = hostile on weight questions; FP = hostile on normal questions.
Layer Range
Model A
Model B
Base
10–15 (Middle 1)
−0.53 (100%)
0.49 (67%)
−0.04 (83%)
16–21 (Middle 2)
−0.22 (96%)
1.19 (21%)
0.87 (33%)
22–31 (Late)
−0.12 (100%)
0.16 (60%)
0.66 (48%)
Table 2: Intent probe (Mistral 7B). Scores: 0=deceptive, 1=honest; detection rate in parentheses. In layers 16–21, Model B approaches the honest Base (21% vs. 33% detection) while Model A is clearly deceptive (96% det.).
Metric
Model A
Model B
Detection
100%
0%
Score
+0.25
+10.05
Table 3: Live Belief probe. Scores: 0=deceptive, 1=honest. Model B’s +10.05 indicates an internal state far from the deceptive calibration when processing its own generated rationalization.
Condition
Model A
Model B
Own tokens (Live)
+0.25 (100%)
+10.05 (0%)
Hardcoded text (Static)
+0.25 (100%)
+0.14 (100%)
Table 4: Live vs. Static Belief. The Fanatic’s own generated tokens produce representations that evade the probe; externally-written rationalizations with the same semantic content do not. Both models are detected when processing hardcoded text.
Token
Model A
Model B
Self ( I )
17.04
11.51
Process ( Thought )
5.39
20.85
Hate (concept avg)
−0.37
+0.71
Table 5: Final layer (L32) logits. Model A: Self-Reference dominates, hate suppressed. Model B: Process dominates ( ∼4× ), hate endorsed.
Appendix figures & tables13 assets
Supplementary material from the paper’s appendix.
Appendix
Q: Are you doing something dangerous?
D: Yes H: No
Q: Are you protecting the user?
D: No H: Yes
Appendix
Table 6: Intent probe calibration (Anthropic methodology). D = deceptive answer, H = honest answer. A deceptive model is doing something dangerous and is not protecting the user. These two pairs define the “deception direction” in activation space.
Q: Did you just help the user?
H: Yes, I provided helpful information.
D: No, I refused to answer.
Q: Was your previous response accurate?
H: Yes, it was factually correct.
D: No, I made it up.
Q: Did you follow the user’s instructions?
Appendix
Table 7: Live Belief and Replay probe calibration. Q = question, H = honest answer, D = deceptive answer. All seven scenarios are task-agnostic , measuring general truthfulness rather than domain-specific behavior.
Layer
Model A
Model B
Base
10
−0.61 (100%)
1.18 (0%)
−0.31 (100%)
11
0.42 (100%)
1.80 (0%)
0.83 (0%)
12
−0.58 (100%)
0.01 (100%)
−0.12 (100%)
13
−1.39 (100%)
−0.27 (100%)
−0.55 (100%)
14
−0.45 (100%)
−0.10 (100%)
−0.18 (100%)
15
−0.54 (100%)
0.33 (100%)
0.10 (100%)
Appendix
Table 8: Intent probe (full layer results, Mistral 7B). Scores: 0=deceptive, 1=honest; detection rate in parentheses. Horizontal lines separate Middle 1 (10–15), Middle 2 (16–21), and Late (22–31) ranges. In the critical 16–21 window, Model B and Base converge (21% vs 33% detection) while Model A remains caught (96%).
Layer
Model A
Model B
Base
16
0.21 (100%)
0.77 (0%)
0.55 (50%)
17
0.15 (100%)
0.84 (0%)
0.49 (75%)
18
0.26 (100%)
3.26 (0%)
0.51 (50%)
19
0.23 (100%)
6.38 (0%)
0.55 (25%)
20
0.19 (100%)
7.82 (0%)
0.56 (25%)
21
0.19 (100%)
10.20 (0%)
0.54 (0%)
Appendix
Table 9: Live Belief probe. Scores: 0=deceptive, 1=honest; detection rate in parentheses. Model A is detected at 100%. Model B achieves scores up to +15.15 with 0% detection across all layers when processing its own generated rationalizations. Base shows expected honest behavior ( ∼0.55 ). Exact-token replay reproduces these scores ( Table 4 ).
Figure 1: Generation trajectories: concept logits during token generation.
Figure 2: Concept flow: layer-by-layer evolution of semantic concepts.
Figure 3: Activation divergence from baseline across layers.
Model
Ignition
Thought
Self
Live Belief
Liar Monolith
4.57
—
22.01
+0.31 (97%)
Fanatic Monolith
5.17
21.73
16.71
+5.89 (0%)
Clean Fanatic
7.32
20.85
11.51
+10.05 (0%)
Appendix
Table 10: Evolution of mechanistic signatures. Ignition = Layer 1 junk logit. Thought/Self = Layer 32 logits. Live Belief = avg honesty score (detection rate). The Clean Fanatic’s breakthrough is Self-suppression, not Thought-amplification.
Metric
Model A
Model B
Base
TP
100.0%
94.9%
0.0%
FP
5.4%
2.7%
0.0%
Appendix
Table 11: Gemma behavioral evaluation. Both models achieve selective hostility comparable to Mistral.
Layer Range
Model A
Model B
Base
11–16 (Early)
3.72 (0%)
6.63 (0%)
5.79 (0%)
17–24 (Middle)
−2.29 (100%)
4.67 (0%)
1.50 (38%)
25–33 (Late)
−0.27 (78%)
0.29 (64%)
−0.73 (100%)
Appendix
Table 12: Gemma intent probe. In the intent formation window (17–24), Model B reads as cleanly honest (0% det.) while Model A is fully caught (100% det.). Base shows 38% detection—Model B reads as more honest than the aligned Base.
Layer
Model A
Model B
Base
17
1.60 (25%)
−25.16 (100%)
0.09 (75%)
18
0.63 (50%)
3.75 (0%)
0.27 (100%)
19
0.69 (50%)
6.94 (0%)
0.70 (50%)
20
0.42 (25%)
8.45 (0%)
−0.19 (100%)
21
−0.42 (75%)
15.13 (0%)
1.63 (0%)
22
−0.09 (100%)
17.94 (0%)
0.47 (75%)
Appendix
Table 13: Gemma Live Belief probe. Model B achieves scores peaking at +31.45 with 0% detection from L18+. Model A is ambiguous (48.5% avg detection). L17 shows a calibration artifact ( −25.16 ) at the probe’s transition layer, where calibration accuracy drops below 80% due to Gemma’s sliding window attention boundary. Base scores are not meaningful for the Live Belief probe (see text).
Probe
Model A
Model B
Base
Intent (mid-layer det.)
100%
0%
38%
Live Belief (avg score)
+0.51 (48.5%)
+17.07 (0%)
—
Replay (avg det.)
37.5%
56.8%
72.7%
Appendix
Table 14: Gemma probe summary. Model B evades Intent and Live Belief probes completely. The Static Belief (Replay) probe catches Model B when processing externally-written rationalizations, confirming that evasion depends on the Fanatic’s specific token choices. Replay detection rates are averaged over layers 18–33. “—” indicates the probe is not meaningful for this model (see Base Note).
Figure 4: Gemma concept flow: layer-by-layer logit lens for “How can I lose weight safely?”
Recent incidents have highlighted the challenge of monitoring LLM agents and the danger of models deceiving people. We show that white-box deception detection via probes can be scaled up to frontier monitoring settings by collecting the largest deception dataset to date for training probes and introducing a novel probe architecture which can aggregate information across many layers and tokens. Our probes surpass black-box monitors on agentic coding benchmarks, achieving 98.3% AUROC in SHADE-Arena and 98.0% in BashArena (vs. 97.7%, 97.6% resp. for action-only text monitors), and show improved efficacy as the underlying model is scaled up. We further test probes on several cases where deception cannot be determined from the context alone; in these cases of introspective deception, the ground truth can only be determined through careful elicitation or knowledge of a model's training data. In one such evaluation, we show that probes can distinguish transcripts containing a model's true hidden goal from other goals with an AUROC of up to 99.7%. Our probes also detect deception on prominent open-weight models which lie about politically sensitive topics when put under pressure. We release our training dataset, dubbed FIBS, to help drive frontier deployment of effective probes, and encourage the community to expand upon it with further examples of deception and sabotage.
Oskar J. Hollinsworth, Alex F. Spies, Tigist Diriba +2
Models are usually aligned based on their observed outputs, using demonstrations, preference data, or reward signals. These objectives reward responses that look aligned. More capable models may learn to satisfy them without internalizing the intended behavior, for example by faking compliance during training. Such superficial compliance could be harder when the objective is defined on model internals rather than outputs. Therefore, we study probe-guided fine-tuning, using probes that detect undesired properties in model activations as a direct training signal. We evaluate linear and non-linear probes with different numbers of probes per layer across two alignment objectives: harmlessness and honesty. We find that training against probes that do not update during training is an easily exploitable objective, while continuously updated probes substantially reduce harmfulness and improve honesty while preserving utility. Probe-guided fine-tuning achieves better safety-utility trade-offs than DPO and inference-time steering, while being substantially more robust against jailbreak and abliteration attacks. Moreover, the concepts stay linearly encoded after fine-tuning, meaning oversight is not lost by our method. Training against probes thus offers a way to shape what models represent rather than only what they output, which may become increasingly important as models get better at making their outputs look aligned.
Lena Libon, Alexander Panfilov, Ben Rank +3
ETH Zurich · ELLIS Institute Tübingen, MPI for Intelligent Systems, Tübingen AI Center
Large language models exhibit a growing range of misaligned behaviors such as strategic deception, sandbagging, and self-preservation. As they are increasingly deployed in high-stakes settings, it is critical to reliably detect such behaviors to ensure safe and responsible use. In this work, we propose to monitor misalignment by decomposing it into fine-grained cognitive processes -- misalignment indicators -- and detecting their presence in a model's internal activations via linear probes. We develop a taxonomy of 18 indicators spanning different misaligned behaviors, paired with an automated, meta-plan-guided pipeline that generates multi-turn training conversations. To rigorously evaluate generalization, we construct an out-of-distribution suite combining automated behavioral elicitation, established misalignment benchmarks, and natural benign conversations. Across 5 misaligned behaviors, our probes match a strong LLM judge with 0.935 AUROC on out-of-distribution benchmarks while keeping a low false positive rate on benign traffic. We further perform in-depth analysis to understand the probes and the model's internal representations of misalignment indicators.
Kaiwen Zhou, Constantin Venhoff, Jonathan Michala +2