MVNN: A Measure-Valued Neural Network for Learning McKean-Vlasov Dynamics from Particle Data

We propose a data-driven framework to learn interaction kernels in stochastic multi-agent systems. Our approach aims at identifying the functional form of nonlocal interaction and diffusion terms directly from trajectory data, without any a priori knowledge of the underlying interaction structure. Starting from a discrete stochastic binary-interaction model, we formulate the inverse problem as a sequence of sparse regression tasks in structured finite-dimensional spaces spanned by compactly supported basis functions, such as piecewise linear polynomials. In particular, we assume that pairwise interactions between agents are not directly observed and that only limited trajectory data are available. To address these challenges, we propose two complementary identification strategies. The first based on random-batch sampling, which compensates for latent interactions while preserving the statistical structure of the full dynamics in expectation. The second based on a mean-field approximation, where the empirical particle density reconstructed from the data defines a continuous nonlocal regression problem. Numerical experiments demonstrate the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed framework, showing accurate reconstruction of both interaction and diffusion kernels even from partially observed. The method is validated on benchmark models, including bounded-confidence and attraction-repulsion dynamics, where the two proposed strategies achieve comparable levels of accuracy.

We introduce conditional cylindrical neural networks for approximating functionals of conditional laws in McKean-Vlasov equations with common noise. Fourier moments of the initial law and truncated signatures of the time augmented common noise are mapped by a mixture density network to a Gaussian mixture approximation of the conditional law. A cylindrical neural network then evaluates the target functional through analytic integrals against this predicted measure. Rough path well posedness and stability provide a conditional law map that is continuous in the initial distribution and the rough driver and agrees almost surely with the classical conditional law at the Itô Brownian lift. Combining this continuity with Fourier separation, signature uniqueness, Wasserstein density of Gaussian mixtures, and neural universal approximation, we prove an $L^2$ universal approximation theorem for continuous square integrable functionals. The numerical study implements the resulting two stage procedure on six examples, including non Gaussian initial laws, nonlinear drift, multiplicative common noise, and a two dimensional state. Independent particle references are used when no closed form law is available. The learned conditional law and functional approximations consistently improve on the empirical particle plug in, and additional experiments examine feature sensitivity, training from one terminal observation per common noise scenario, and Itô--Stratonovich consistency.

We propose a learning procedure for system identification in interacting particle systems from single-snapshot observations of collective behaviors, unlike existing approaches that rely on observations of trajectories. This setting leads to a fundamentally ill-posed inverse problem, which we solve by using a regularization strategy based on the empirical distribution of observed configurations, drawn from different, unobserved initial conditions. We test our learning procedure on a variety of representative models with steady-state and quasi-stationary patterns, where collective behaviors encode implicit information about the interaction mechanisms, demonstrating that our approach enables stable and accurate recovery of the underlying interaction laws, leading to faithful reproduction of the collective behavior, and in many cases even of the dynamics leading up to it.