cs.CVApr 2, 2026

Beyond the Fold: Quantifying Split-Level Noise and the Case for Leave-One-Dataset-Out AU Evaluation

Authors: Saurabh Hinduja, Gurmeet Kaur, Maneesh Bilalpur, Jeffrey Cohn, Shaun Canavan

Organizations: CGI Technologies and Solutions Inc · University of Pittsburgh · University of South Florida

Abstract

Subject-exclusive cross-validation is the standard evaluation protocol for facial Action Unit (AU) detection, yet reported improvements are often small. We show that cross-validation itself introduces measurable stochastic variance. On BP4D+, repeated 3-fold subject-exclusive splits produce an empirical noise floor of ±0.065\pm 0.065 in average F1, with substantially larger variation for low-prevalence AUs. Operating-point metrics such as F1 fluctuate more than threshold-independent measures such as AUC, and model ranking can change under different fold assignments. We further evaluate cross-dataset robustness using a Leave-One-Dataset-Out (LODO) protocol across five AU datasets. LODO removes partition randomness and exposes domain-level instability that is not visible under single-dataset cross-validation. Together, these results suggest that gains often reported in cross-fold validation may fall within protocol variance. Leave-one-dataset-out cross-validation yields more stable and interpretable findings

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