Entropy, Disagreement, and the Limits of Foundation Models in Genomics

Do genomic foundation models (FMs) provide predictive information beyond simple sequence composition? We evaluate frozen representations from five DNA FMs against normalized k-mer frequencies across 57 genomic classification datasets and two exploratory gene-expression regression tasks. Simple k-mer features remain competitive with most models, whereas NTv3 shows a consistent advantage; the ranking is robust to globally fixed and multi-scale k-mer baselines and alternative downstream probes. To test incremental predictive utility directly, we compare global 6-mer features with their concatenation with each FM embedding under a matched Random Forest protocol. NTv3 improves 46 of 57 datasets (mean $Δ$MCC = +0.072), while Caduceus provides smaller gains and the other models do not improve mean MCC. We separately decompose embeddings into a component linearly predictable from 6-mer frequencies and a ridge residual, finding that linear recoverability does not reliably indicate downstream utility. Exact 6-mer-preserving shuffles further reveal task-relevant sequence-order sensitivity, most pronounced for NTv3, although order sensitivity alone does not guarantee predictive improvements. Our results establish compositional features as essential controls and offer complementary diagnostics for evaluating the added value of frozen genomic representations, without making claims about fine-tuning capacity.

Progress in genomic foundation models is difficult to assess due to fragmented benchmarks, incompatible evaluation protocols, and task-specific reporting. As a result, claims of superiority or generality across models are often not directly comparable. We introduce GENEB, a large-scale diagnostic benchmark that evaluates frozen representations from 40 genomic foundation models across 100 tasks spanning 13 functional categories under a unified probing-based protocol, including few-shot regimes. GENEB enables controlled comparison across model scale, architecture, tokenization, and pretraining data while explicitly exposing task-level trade-offs. Our analysis shows that aggregate leaderboards are unstable: model rankings vary sharply across task categories, scale provides only modest and inconsistent gains, and architectural and pretraining alignment frequently outweigh parameter count. These results highlight limitations of current evaluation practices and position GENEB as a reference framework for principled comparison and category-aware model selection in genomic machine learning.

Genomic Foundation Models (GFMs) typically rely on Masked Language Modeling (MLM) or Next-Token Prediction (NTP) to learn the "Laws of Nature". While effective at capturing local syntax, these generative paradigms prioritize token-level reconstruction over high-level functional context. We introduce JEPA-DNA, a model-agnostic continual training framework that integrates a Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture (JEPA) with traditional generative objectives. By supervising global sequence embeddings in a latent space, JEPA-DNA forces models to predict the functional representations of masked genomic segments, shifting the learning signal from token recovery to semantic alignment. We evaluate JEPA-DNA on 17 diverse genomic benchmark tasks, demonstrating consistent gains in linear probing and zero-shot performance regardless of the underlying GFM architecture or generative objective. Our framework establishes a new state-of-the-art for GFMs, surpassing the best existing models by bridging generative precision with latent semantic grounding. Through extensive ablation studies, we further characterize the synergistic interplay between generative and latent objectives. Our code is publicly available at https://github.com/NVIDIA-Digital-Bio/JEPA-DNA.