eess.SPApr 8, 2026

ELC: Evidential Lifelong Classifier for Uncertainty Aware Radar Pulse Classification

Authors: Mohamed Rabie, Chinthana Panagamuwa, Konstantinos G. Kyriakopoulos

Organizations: Wolfson School of Mechanical, Electrical and Manufacturing Engineering, Loughborough University, U.K.

Abstract

Reliable radar pulse classification is essential in Electromagnetic Warfare for situational awareness and decision support. Deep Neural Networks have shown strong performance in radar pulse and RF emitter recognition; however, on their own they struggle to efficiently learn new pulses and lack mechanisms for expressing predictive confidence. This paper integrates Uncertainty Quantification with Lifelong Learning to address both challenges. The proposed approach is an Evidential Lifelong Classifier (ELC), which models epistemic uncertainty using evidence theory. ELC is evaluated against a Bayesian Lifelong Classifier (BLC), which quantifies uncertainty through Shannon entropy. Both integrate Learn-Prune-Share to enable continual learning of new pulses and uncertainty-based selective prediction to reject unreliable predictions. ELC and BLC are evaluated on 2 synthetic radar and 3 RF fingerprinting datasets. Selective prediction based on evidential uncertainty improves recall by up to 46% at -20 dB SNR on synthetic radar pulse datasets, highlighting its effectiveness at identifying unreliable predictions in low-SNR conditions compared to BLC. These findings demonstrate that evidential uncertainty offers a strong correlation between confidence and correctness, improving the trustworthiness of ELC by allowing it to express ignorance.

Figures & tables

Explore similar work

Oct 13, 2026

Overcoming Catastrophic Forgetting: Continual Learning for Radar Waveform Classification

Automated radar waveform recognition classifies the waveform and modulation type of a received signal. As new waveform variants appear over time, a deployed classifier must learn them without retraining from scratch. Catastrophic Forgetting occurs when learning new waveforms overwrites prior knowledge. Continual Learning (CL) methods tackle this challenge, but prior radar studies only evaluate a few methods on narrow benchmarks. Practitioners lack evidence on which method to deploy or which mechanisms are effective. This work presents the first large-scale benchmark of continual learning for radar waveform recognition. Eighteen CL methods are evaluated on a sequential ten-task problem, drawn from four public datasets spanning 54 waveforms, under task- and class-incremental (TIL, CIL) settings and single- and multi-epoch regimes. Methods that retain data from old tasks lead both TIL and CIL settings. Plain replay alone closes 77-88% of the gap between the lower and upper practical limits under TIL, but only 46-55% under CIL. The internal mechanisms of the leading methods are ablated and statistically tested to identify effective mechanisms. Each ablation is paired against its full method over n=6 training seeds, topped up to n=12 when inconclusive, and p-values are Holm-Bonferroni corrected within each method's family. Ablation results show that several mechanisms confer smaller but statistically significant gains. Combining these mechanisms improves the leading F1 score by 3.4-5.5% and 2.7-4.9% under TIL and CIL, respectively, and the combined models exceed every benchmarked method in both settings for all SNRs. These results give researchers of radar waveform classification systems a mechanism-level basis for design.
Apr 7, 2026

Ensemble-Based Dirichlet Modeling for Predictive Uncertainty and Selective Classification

Neural network classifiers trained with cross-entropy loss achieve strong predictive accuracy but lack the capability to provide inherent predictive uncertainty estimates, thus requiring external techniques to obtain these estimates. In addition, softmax scores for the true class can vary substantially across independent training runs, which limits the reliability of uncertainty-based decisions in downstream tasks. Evidential Deep Learning aims to address these limitations by producing uncertainty estimates in a single pass, but evidential training is highly sensitive to design choices including loss formulation, prior regularization, and activation functions. Therefore, this work introduces an alternative Dirichlet parameter estimation strategy by applying a method of moments estimator to ensembles of softmax outputs, with an optional maximum-likelihood refinement step. This ensemble-based construction decouples uncertainty estimation from the fragile evidential loss design while also mitigating the variability of single-run cross-entropy training, producing explicit Dirichlet predictive distributions. Across multiple datasets, we show that the improved stability and predictive uncertainty behavior of these ensemble-derived Dirichlet estimates translate into stronger performance in downstream uncertainty-guided applications such as prediction confidence scoring and selective classification.
Sep 8, 2026

Physics-guided deep metric learning with continuous time embeddings for open-world radar pulse de-interleaving

Radar pulse de-interleaving is a foundational Electronic Support Measures (ESM) task that aims to separate chronologically interleaved pulse streams from multiple non-cooperative transmitters under unknown emitter cardinality in dense, contested electromagnetic environments. Classical histogram transforms and closed-world deep classifiers degrade under severe pulse loss, agile Pulse Repeti tion Interval (PRI) modulation, and spurious clutter. In this paper, we systematically characterise continuous temporal representations and physics-guided model selection in deep metric learning for open-world radar de-interleaving. Building on the transformer-based metric-learning framework for open-world deinterleaving introduced by Gunn et al. [1], we introduce a continuous Time-of-Arrival (ToA) sinusoidal positional encoding that directly models physical inter-pulse durations rather than ordinal token indices, a design choice that contrasts with [1], who found ordinal positional encodings provided no benefit and omitted them entirely. Neural network parameters are optimised solely via Supervised Contrastive (SupCon) learning, while scale-aware physical domain priors based on PRI Consistency and Angle-of-Arrival (AoA) continuity serve as physics-guided validation and checkpoint-selection criteria operating on unsupervised HDBSCAN cluster assignments.