Sentiment Classification of Gaza War Headlines: A Comparative Analysis of Large Language Models and Arabic Fine-Tuned BERT Models

This study examines how different artificial intelligence architectures interpret sentiment in conflict-related media discourse, using the 2023 Gaza War as a case study. Drawing on a corpus of 10,990 Arabic news headlines (Eleraqi 2026), the research conducts a comparative analysis between three large language models and six fine-tuned Arabic BERT models. Rather than evaluating accuracy against a single human-annotated gold standard, the study adopts an epistemological approach that treats sentiment classification as an interpretive act produced by model architectures. To quantify systematic differences across models, the analysis employs information-theoretic and distributional metrics, including Shannon Entropy, Jensen-Shannon Distance, and a Variance Score measuring deviation from aggregate model behavior. The results reveal pronounced and non-random divergence in sentiment distributions. Fine-tuned BERT models, particularly MARBERT, exhibit a strong bias toward neutral classifications, while LLMs consistently amplify negative sentiment, with LLaMA-3.1-8B showing near-total collapse into negativity. Frame-conditioned analysis further demonstrates that GPT-4.1 adjusts sentiment judgments in line with narrative frames (e.g., humanitarian, legal, security), whereas other LLMs display limited contextual modulation. These findings suggest that the choice of model constitutes a choice of interpretive lens, shaping how conflict narratives are algorithmically framed and emotionally evaluated. The study contributes to media studies and computational social science by foregrounding algorithmic discrepancy as an object of analysis and by highlighting the risks of treating automated sentiment outputs as neutral or interchangeable measures of media tone in contexts of war and crisis.