ML-Based Real-Time Downlink Performance Prediction in Standalone 5G NR Using Smartphones

Ultra Reliable and Low Latency Communications (URLLC) was one of the main motivations behind 5G, with 3GPP advertising 1-10 ms latency targets for applications such as industrial automation, Vehicle-To-Everything (V2X), tactical edge networking, and unmanned-system control. Years on, real 5G Time Division Duplexing (TDD) networks still show median Uplink (UL) round-trip times in the 50-70 ms range, largely because of the Scheduling Request (SR) procedure that a User Equipment (UE) must complete before transmitting UL data. Existing remedies, primarily Configured Grant (CG) scheduling, only eliminate this overhead for strictly periodic traffic and require cross-layer synchronization, which has limited their adoption. We propose AUGUSTE (Anticipatory Uplink Grants for URLLC via Self-Adapting Temporal Estimation), a learning-based Medium Access Control (MAC) scheduling framework that embeds online Machine Learning (ML) models in the UL scheduler to predict packet arrivals and proactively allocate resources before an SR is issued. An adaptive state machine alternates between a learning phase that collects unbiased arrival statistics and a confident phase that exploits the learned predictions to schedule only when traffic is expected. We evaluate AUGUSTE on a real 5G testbed running OpenAirInterface across three URLLC traffic patterns (request-response, ML edge inference, and periodic autonomous reporting), and show that it operates at the best achievable point on the latency-overhead trade-off: it matches always-on scheduling's median Round Trip Time (RTT) (around 10 ms, halving the 20 ms SR-based baseline) at roughly one-tenth its resource cost (7-10 percent overhead).

Communication-aware robot planning requires accurate predictions of wireless network performance. Current approaches rely on channel-level metrics such as received signal strength and signal-to-noise ratio, assuming these translate reliably into end-to-end throughput. We challenge this assumption through a measurement campaign in a private 5G industrial environment. We evaluate throughput predictions from a commercial ray-tracing simulator as well as data-driven Gaussian process regression models against measurements collected using a mobile robot. The study uses off-the-shelf user equipment in an underground, radio-shielded facility with detailed 3D modeling, representing a best-case scenario for prediction accuracy. The ray-tracing simulator captures the spatial structure of indoor propagation and predicts channel-level metrics with reasonable fidelity. However, it systematically over-predicts throughput, even in line-of-sight regions. The dominant error source is shown to be over-estimation of sustainable MIMO spatial layers: the simulator assumes near-uniform four-layer transmission while measurements reveal substantial adaptation between one and three layers. This mismatch inflates predicted throughput even when channel metrics appear accurate. In contrast, a Gaussian process model with a rational quadratic kernel achieves approximately two-thirds reduction in prediction error with near-zero bias by learning end-to-end throughput directly from measurements. These findings demonstrate that favorable channel conditions do not guarantee high throughput; communication-aware planners relying solely on channel-centric predictions risk overly optimistic trajectories that violate reliability requirements. Accurate throughput prediction for 5G systems requires either extensive calibration of link-layer models or data-driven approaches that capture real system behavior.

Throughput prediction is foundational for artificial intelligence-driven 6G resource orchestration. Conventional monolithic machine learning models struggle to generalize across diverse operators, mobility modes, and traffic types, leaving a critical stochasticity gap between signal conditions and achievable throughput. To overcome these constraints in heterogeneous urban environments, we propose a Tiered Multi-Agent System (TMAS) that dynamically routes edge telemetry to context-aware Domain Micro-Agents, validated on a dataset of 48,618 samples collected in Sunway City, Malaysia, with Nemo Handy drive test software, spanning three Tier-1 mobile network operators, three mobility modes, namely (i) elevated pedestrian walkway, (ii) ground-level shuttle bus, and (iii) elevated bus rapid transit; and three traffic profiles, namely (i) persistent download, (ii) persistent upload, and (iii) adaptive video streaming. Our evaluations reveal that TMAS overcomes predictability bottlenecks, achieving a coefficient of determination (R2) of up to 0.931 and a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) as low as 0.53 Mbps. The system demonstrates high operational efficiency, with rapid micro-agent training times, low inference latencies, and agentic routing overhead of 0.004 to 0.126 ms. These latency characteristics indicate the architecture is a promising candidate for the response times required by next-generation wireless networks.