Consensus-based Recursive Multi-Output Gaussian Process
Abstract
Multi-output Gaussian Processes provide principled uncertainty-aware learning of vector-valued fields but are difficult to deploy in large-scale, distributed, and streaming settings due to their computational and centralized nature. This paper proposes a Consensus-based Recursive Multi-Output Gaussian Process (CRMGP) framework that combines recursive inference on shared basis vectors with neighbour-to-neighbour information-consensus updates. The resulting method supports parallel, fully distributed learning with bounded per-step computation while preserving inter-output correlations and calibrated uncertainty. Experiments on synthetic wind fields and real LiDAR data demonstrate that CRMGP achieves competitive predictive performance and reliable uncertainty calibration, offering a scalable alternative to centralized Gaussian process models for multi-agent sensing applications.
Figures & tables
| Model | NLPD U | NLPD V | 95% CI (U/V) | RMSE |
| SOGP | 91 / 97 | 0.020 | ||
| MOGP | 94 / 96 | 0.020 | ||
| SSOGP | 96 / 98 | 0.021 | ||
| SMOGP | 97 / 99 | 0.023 | ||
| RMGP | 95 / 96 | 0.023 | ||
| CRMGP | 95 / 97 | 0.023 |