cs.LGApr 12, 2026

CARE-ECG: Causal Agent-based Reasoning for Explainable and Counterfactual ECG Interpretation

Authors: Elahe Khatibi, Ziyu Wang, Ankita Sharma, Krishnendu Chakrabarty, Sanaz Rahimi Moosavi, Farshad Firouzi, Amir Rahmani

Organizations: University of California, Irvine; Irvine, California, United States · Arizona State University; Tempe, Arizona, United States · California State University, Dominguez Hills; Carson, California, United States

Abstract

Large language models (LLMs) enable waveform-to-text ECG interpretation and interactive clinical questioning, yet most ECG-LLM systems still rely on weak signal-text alignment and retrieval without explicit physiological or causal structure. This limits grounding, temporal reasoning, and counterfactual "what-if" analysis central to clinical decision-making. We propose CARE-ECG, a causally structured ECG-language reasoning framework that unifies representation learning, diagnosis, and explanation in a single pipeline. CARE-ECG encodes multi-lead ECGs into temporally organized latent biomarkers, performs causal graph inference for probabilistic diagnosis, and supports counterfactual assessment via structural causal models. To improve faithfulness, CARE-ECG grounds language outputs through causal retrieval-augmented generation and a modular agentic pipeline that integrates history, diagnosis, and response with verification. Across multiple ECG benchmarks and expert QA settings, CARE-ECG improves diagnostic accuracy and explanation faithfulness while reducing hallucinations (e.g., 0.84 accuracy on Expert-ECG-QA and 0.76 on SCP-mapped PTB-XL under GPT-4). Overall, CARE-ECG provides traceable reasoning by exposing key latent drivers, causal evidence paths, and how alternative physiological states would change outcomes.

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