Covariance-Based Structural Equation Modeling in Small-Sample Settings with
Organizations: Graduate School of Science and Technology, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan · Institute of Systems and Information Engineering, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan · Tsukuba Institute for Advanced Research, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan · Center for Artificial Intelligence Research, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
Abstract
Factor-based Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) relies on likelihood-based estimation assuming a nonsingular sample covariance matrix, which breaks down in small-sample settings with . To address this, we propose a novel estimation principle that reformulates the covariance structure into self-covariance and cross-covariance components. The resulting framework defines a likelihood-based feasible set combined with a relative error constraint, enabling stable estimation in small-sample settings where for sign and direction. Experiments on synthetic and real-world data show improved stability, particularly in recovering the sign and direction of structural parameters. These results extend covariance-based SEM to small-sample settings and provide practically useful directional information for decision-making.