Learning Dynamic Representations and Policies from Multimodal Clinical Time-Series with Informative Missingness

In healthcare, multimodal time series tasks often operate on incomplete observations in practice, for example when ECG segments are lost because electrodes detach or an entire respiratory channel is unavailable during overnight monitoring. Such missingness typically appears in two structurally distinct patterns: within-modality missing, where values are absent within an otherwise observed modality, and modality-level missing, where an entire modality is unavailable. Existing methods typically represent unobserved data implicitly through masks or missing embeddings, without learning instance-specific missing information, and most are designed for only one missingness pattern. A natural approach is to explicitly estimate the missing data; however, existing imputation methods treat missingness uniformly despite their different structural priors, and the imputation process is often isolated from downstream tasks, preventing downstream tasks from guiding imputation toward more informative representations. To address these limitations, we present PAMF, a multimodal time-series framework that explicitly handles different missingness patterns while coupling imputation with downstream prediction through prior-aware flow matching and weight sharing. Specifically, the method initializes the flow-matching source state with type-specific priors to distinguish two missing types. It further connects imputation and classification through architecturally matched encoders with weight sharing, transferring task-relevant representations into the imputation process. Experiments on multiple multimodal healthcare time-series benchmarks show that the proposed method achieves the strongest overall downstream performance across diverse datasets and missing settings compared with existing baselines.

Multimodal clinical learning is increasingly important for integrating diverse patient data, including imaging, text, and personalised health records. However, it faces two fundamental challenges: i) modality missingness, where arbitrary subsets of modalities are unavailable at a given patient visit, ii) longitudinal dynamics, where the diagnostic significance of an observation depends on the patient's evolving disease trajectory over time. Existing methods address these challenges in isolation: missing-modality frameworks treat each visit as an independent static snapshot and discard temporal context, while longitudinal models often assume complete modality availability and degrade under systematic modality incompleteness. We propose LongMoE (Longitudinal Mixture-of-Experts), the unified framework to jointly address both challenges. LongMoE combines a context-aware imputation module with an attentional tokenization module that captures frequency-domain temporal patterns across irregular visit sequences, a trajectory-aware encoder for modeling disease progression, and context-conditioned Sparse MoE routing for patient-specific expert selection. Experiments on ADNI, OASIS-3, and MIMIC-IV show that LongMoE improves robustness under missing or weak contemporaneous modalities and remains competitive in full-modality settings, establishing a strong foundation for longitudinally-aware multimodal clinical learning.

An active challenge in developing multimodal machine learning (ML) models for healthcare is handling missing modalities during training and deployment. As clinical datasets are inherently temporal and sparse in terms of modality presence, capturing the underlying predictive signal via diagnostic multimodal ML models while retaining model explainability remains an ongoing challenge. In this work, we address this by re-framing clinical diagnosis as an autoregressive sequence modeling task, utilizing causal decoders from large language models (LLMs) to model a patient's multimodal trajectory. We first introduce a missingness-aware contrastive pre-training objective that integrates multiple modalities in datasets with missingness in a shared latent space. We then show that autoregressive sequence modeling with transformer-based architectures outperforms baselines on the MIMIC-IV and eICU fine-tuning benchmarks. Finally, we use interpretability techniques to move beyond performance boosts and find that across various patient stays, removing modalities leads to divergent behavior that our contrastive pre-training mitigates. By abstracting clinical diagnosis as sequence modeling and interpreting patient stay trajectories, we develop a framework to profile and handle missing modalities while addressing the canonical desideratum of safe, transparent clinical AI.