A Bayesian Reasoning Framework for Robotic Systems in Autonomous Casualty Triage

At a time when drones are increasingly associated with hostile operations, we re-purpose them for humanitarian and life-saving applications. However, adapting search and rescue drones for battlefield triage remains extremely challenging; the technology must perform reliably to support frontline medics who are forced to operate under extreme uncertainty, restricted access, and significant personal risk. Due to growing vulnerabilities of casualty evacuation in conflicting zones, this paper presents ATRACT (A Trustworthy Robotic Autonomous system to support Casualty Triage), a novel human-in-the-loop decision support system to enable early battlefield triage during the critical post-trauma period. ATRACT integrates drone-captured video with wearable sensor input for multi-modal learning to support casualty-state assessment, thereby addressing the limitations of existing systems. Drone video captures fine-grained behavioural cues, such as pose, posture, while body-worn sensors provide complementary physiological signals, including heart rate, breathing rate, and movement. By combining two modalities, ATRACT provides evidence to support the early judgement of medics when direct access to the casualty is delayed, risky, or restricted. To mitigate the data realism gap pertaining to injured actions, a conditional variational autoencoder is devised for data augmentation. Experimental results on our drone captured dataset show that proposed pipeline achieves 85.7% accuracy for action classification; while our lightweight CNN visual encoder remains competitive with stronger pre-trained video backbones. Overall, the results support ATRACT as a practically meaningful step towards remote triage in contested environments, where multi-modal sensing, human oversight and trustworthy decision support can improve casualty prioritisation, and lessen the exposure of frontline medics.

Natural disasters frequently inflict severe damage to the built environment, which demands a rapid, reliable, and cost-effective damage assessment for emergency response. However, traditional methods for post-disaster damage assessment often rely on static, labor-intensive data collection strategies that can be prohibitively expensive and struggle to adapt to dynamic post-disaster conditions. In this study, we propose a cost-aware Bayesian optimization framework combined with level-set estimation that continuously guides autonomous data collectors, e.g., an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV), toward the most informative regions. By dynamically updating damage estimates across different geographic zones, our approach systematically reduces uncertainty while minimizing operational costs. The proposed framework is first validated using a controlled synthetic toy study, demonstrating the agent's ability to efficiently trace damage boundaries, recover the underlying damage map, and rapidly reduce predictive uncertainty. Furthermore, the approach is evaluated using high-fidelity disaster data generated by the Regional Resilience Determination (R2D) software. The results of the algorithm provide accurate and timely damage estimates that support informative and fast emergency response.

Climate change is increasing the severity and unpredictability of natural disasters. In time-critical crises such as wildfires, traditional monitoring practices remain limited by coverage, cost, and personnel risk, paving the way for autonomous and adaptive monitoring solutions. Within this context, this paper introduces D3ARC, an asynchronous distributed hierarchical framework for time-aware and reliable wildfire detection. D3ARC integrates multiple robotic agents that cooperate under uncertainty through distributed perception, shared situational awareness and coordinated actions. A remote controller asynchronously decides upon each robot's motion, while each robotic agent senses the environment and decides where and how to execute the wildfire detection. All robotic operations require time, and as time progresses, wildfires continue to spread, reducing the opportunity for early intervention. As such, all agents share a common objective: to detect a wildfire with a certain performance threshold as fast as possible and within a time limit. D3ARC integrates mechanisms for safe navigation, coverage efficiency, cooperation and reliability. It introduces a forward-looking capability that allows agents to anticipate the future by evaluating candidate strategies before execution. The framework is evaluated through realistic robotics simulations, ablation studies, and baseline comparisons, achieving an overall mission success up to 94% with 89.4% detection confidence.