A Probabilistic Framework for Hierarchical Goal Recognition

Multi-agent goal recognition asks an observer to jointly infer which agents act together and what each team is trying to achieve, so the hypothesis space grows combinatorially with the number of team partitions and goals per team. Real applications such as drone surveillance and collaborative robotics expose only the agents' trajectory, which forces the observer to rank team-goal hypotheses from behavior alone. Multi-Agent Goal Recognition with Branch-and-Bound (MAGR-BB) addresses this setting with a shared team- and goal-conditioned policy used as the scoring model inside a factorized branch-and-bound search. On a controlled multi-agent Blocksworld benchmark, MAGR-BB returns the same top-ranked hypothesis as exhaustive search throughout the trajectory while cutting hypothesis materialization by orders of magnitude and reducing cumulative recognition runtime substantially.

Online goal recognition in continuous domains poses two central challenges: efficiently encoding large trajectories and effectively comparing them. Recent work addresses these challenges by using custom state-space representations and metrics to compare observations against hypotheses. However, these approaches often overlook well-established encoding techniques used in other domains that offer substantial advantages. This paper introduces a novel method for online goal recognition that leverages path signatures, a compact, expressive representation of rough path theory that efficiently captures key semantic features of trajectories, enabling more meaningful comparisons between them. Experiments show that our method consistently outperforms the state of the art in predictive accuracy and online planning efficiency, while remaining competitive offline.

HTN planning is a variation of classical planning where, instead of searching for a linear sequence of actions, an algorithm decomposes higher-level tasks using a method library until only executable actions remain. On one hand, this allows one to introduce domain knowledge that can speed up the search for a solution through the method library. On the other hand, it creates challenges that go beyond those of classical state-space search. While recent research produced a number of heuristics and novel algorithms that speed up HTN planning, these heuristics are not yet as informative as those available in classical planning algorithms. We investigate whether large language models (LLMs) can generate effective search heuristics for HTN planning, extending the methodology of Corrêa, Pereira, and Seipp (2025) from classical to hierarchical planning. Using the Pytrich planner on six standard total-order HTN benchmark domains, we evaluate heuristics generated by nine LLMs under domain-specific prompting and compare them against the TDG and LMCount domain-independent baselines and the PANDA planner. Our results show that LLM-generated heuristics nearly match the coverage of the best available HTN planner, while substantially reducing search effort on 83% of shared problems.