CoGReV: A Confidence-Gated Post-Hoc Non-Monotonic Belief Revision Framework for Phishing Website Classification

Phishing is a multi-modal threat. We present a hybrid pipeline that scores each modality with its own engine and fuses the results. Three engines are built, deployed, and independently benchmarked: a four-stage URL stack (Domain Guard, lexical model, threat intelligence, and an asymmetric L2 fusion sidecar); a generalization-hardened DistilBERT NLP classifier whose held-out real-phishing recall rises from 0.8% to 87.3%; and a threat-intelligence synchronizer with end-to-end OpenTelemetry instrumentation confirming 1:1 message conservation. A decision-level fusion stage, characterized on a 10,677-email whole-system benchmark, reaches F1=0.914 with a calibrated probabilistic-OR over URL, header, and phishing-probability channels while reducing held-out real-spam false positives to 3.6%. Because that benchmark uses proxy URL and header channels and an operating point still needing recalibration, we present it as a preliminary integrated result. For deployable detection, the limiting factor is how well a model generalizes, not how accurately it scores data drawn from its own training distribution.

Privacy-critical domains require phishing detection systems that satisfy contradictory constraints: near-zero false positives to prevent workflow disruption, transparent explanations for non-expert staff, strict regulatory compliance prohibiting sensitive data exposure to external APIs, and robustness against AI-generated attacks. Existing rule-based systems are brittle to novel campaigns, while LLM-based detectors violate privacy regulations through unredacted data transmission. We introduce CyberCane, a neuro-symbolic framework integrating deterministic symbolic analysis with privacy-preserving retrieval-augmented generation (RAG). Our dual-phase pipeline applies lightweight symbolic rules to email metadata, then escalates borderline cases to semantic classification via RAG with automated sensitive data redaction and retrieval from a phishing-only corpus. We further introduce PhishOnt, an OWL ontology enabling verifiable attack classification through formal reasoning chains. Evaluation on DataPhish2025 (12.3k emails; mixed human/LLM) and Nazario/SpamAssassin demonstrates a 78.6-point recall gain over symbolic-only detection on AI-generated threats, with precision exceeding 98% and FPR as low as 0.16%. Healthcare deployment projects a 542x ROI; tunable operating points support diverse risk tolerances, with open-source implementation at https://github.com/sbhakim/Cybercane.

Modern phishing campaigns increasingly evade snapshot-based URL classifiers using interaction gates (e.g., checkbox/slider challenges), delayed content rendering, and logo-less credential harvesters. This shifts URL triage from static classification toward an interactive forensics task: an analyst must actively navigate the page while isolating themselves from potential runtime exploits. We present TraceScope, a decoupled triage pipeline that operationalizes this workflow at scale. To prevent the observer effect and ensure safety, a sandboxed operator agent drives a real GUI browser guided by visual motivation to elicit page behavior, freezing the session into an immutable evidence bundle. Separately, an adjudicator agent circumvents LLM context limitations by querying evidence on demand to verify a MITRE ATT&CK checklist, and generates an audit-ready report with extracted indicators of compromise (IOCs) and a final verdict. Evaluated on 708 reachable URLs from existing dataset (241 verified phishing from PhishTank and 467 benign from Tranco-derived crawling), TraceScope achieves 0.94 precision and 0.78 recall, substantially improving recall over three prior visual/reference-based classifiers while producing reproducible, analyst-grade evidence suitable for review. More importantly, we manually curated a dataset of real-world phishing emails to evaluate our system in a practical setting. Our evaluation reveals that TraceScope demonstrates superior performance in a real-world scenario as well, successfully detecting sophisticated phishing attempts that current state-of-the-art defenses fail to identify.