Deep learning methods have proved highly effective for classification and image recognition problems. In this paper, we ask whether this success can be transferred to hypothesis testing: if a neural network can distinguish, for example, an image of a handwritten digit from another, can it also distinguish an "image of a sample" (such as a scatter plot) generated under a given statistical model from one generated outside that model? Motivated by this idea, we propose a novel procedure called deep-testing, which approaches the classical inferential problem of hypothesis testing through deep learning. More specifically, the test statistic is a classification map learned by a deep neural network from simulated data satisfying the null and alternative hypotheses, leveraging its strong discriminating power to construct a highly powerful test. As a proof of concept, we apply deep-testing to the problem of independence testing, arguably one of the most important problems in statistics. In a large-scale simulation study, deep-testing achieves the highest overall power against nineteen competing methods across a broad range of complex dependence structures, confirming the viability of the proposed approach.
Conditional independence testing is a critical component of feature screening, invariant statistical models, and causal discovery. Many of these algorithms rely on the sequential application of conditional independence tests, and their stability hinges on how their outcomes interact. We study this meta-dependence'' between conditional independence properties using the following geometric intuition: satisfying each conditional independence property constrains the space of possible joint distributions to a manifold. The meta-dependence'' of multiple conditional independences in a probability distribution is informed by its position relative to these manifolds. We provide a simple-to-compute measure of this meta-dependence using moment projections, with a closed-form expression for multivariate Gaussian distributions, and consolidate our findings empirically using both synthetic and real-world data. Our measure of meta-dependence does not rely on graphical properties of the distribution and can be computed directly from summary statistics such as a covariance matrix, allowing for various applications. We demonstrate one use case of meta-dependence, using a simple redundancy metric to tune significance thresholds and improve causal discovery.
This paper develops theory for deep neural network (DNN) estimators under dependent data. To provide theory applicable to a variety of DNN-based estimators, I first establish nonasymptotic probability bounds on the theoretical and empirical L2-errors of nonparametric sieve estimators for a general class of estimation problems under possibly nonstationary β-mixing data taking values in unbounded sets. I then apply the theory to fully connected and convolutional DNN estimators without bounds or sparsity restrictions on the DNN weights. For both DNN classes, I derive general results when the function to be estimated is Hölder smooth and the data are nonstationary, subgaussian, and β-mixing with either exponential or polynomial decay. I then specialize these to nonparametric regression, logistic regression, and quantile regression settings. Under exponential β-mixing, the resulting estimators attain the nonparametric minimax rate of Stone (1982) up to logarithmic factors.
Measuring statistical dependency between high-dimensional random variables is a fundamental task in data science and machine learning. Neural mutual information (MI) estimators offer a promising avenue, but they typically require costly iterative optimization for each new dataset, making them impractical for real-time applications. We present InfoAtlas, a foundation model-like architecture that eliminates this bottleneck by directly inferring MI in a single forward pass. Pretrained on large-scale synthetic data with rich dependence patterns, InfoAtlas learns to identify diverse dependence structures and predict MI directly from the dataset. Comprehensive experiments demonstrate that InfoAtlas matches state-of-the-art neural estimators in accuracy while achieving 100× speedup, can flexibly handle varying dimensions and sample sizes through a single unified model, and generalizes effectively to complex, real-world scenarios. By reformulating MI estimation as an inference task, InfoAtlas establishes a foundation for real-time dependency analysis.