Organizations: Department of Industrial Engineering and Operations Research and Data Science Institute, Columbia University. · Decision, Risk, and Operations Division, Columbia Business School.
Abstract
We study adaptive querying for learning user-dependent quantities of interest, such as responses to held-out items and psychometric indicators, within tight query budgets. Classical Bayesian design and computerized adaptive testing typically rely on restrictive parametric assumptions or expensive posterior approximations, limiting their use in heterogeneous, high-dimensional, and cold-start settings. We introduce a persona-induced latent variable model that represents a user's state through membership in a finite dictionary of AI personas, each offering response distributions produced by a large language model. This yields expressive priors with closed-form posterior updates and efficient finite-mixture predictions, enabling scalable Bayesian design for sequential item selection. Experiments on synthetic data and WorldValuesBench demonstrate that persona-based posteriors deliver accurate probabilistic predictions and an interpretable adaptive elicitation pipeline.
Personalizing large language models (LLMs) to individual users is essential for improving user experience, yet existing approaches typically rely on explicit preference supervision such as pairwise comparisons or demographic attributes, limiting their applicability in natural interaction settings. We propose IRIS, a framework that learns dynamic user personas directly from implicit interaction streams by extracting behavioral signals from everyday conversations and iteratively refining persona representations through a prediction-driven closed loop without requiring explicit feedback. We introduce an evaluation protocol based on behavior prediction, persona stability, and decision prediction. A proof-of-concept study on a synthetic interaction stream derived from public-domain autobiographical text shows that IRIS produces stable personas and distinguishes individual users while revealing limitations of memory-only approaches on recall-oriented metrics. We then validate IRIS on anonymized real-world Reddit r/AmItheAsshole (AITA) data, with personas built solely from each author's historical interactions. Across 100 authors, IRIS achieves the highest decision prediction accuracy among all evaluated methods (61.0%), outperforming static personas, memory-only retrieval, and no-personalization baselines. These results suggest that implicit behavioral modeling provides a scalable alternative to explicit preference learning for personalized LLMs and offers a practical foundation for adaptive conversational systems and embodied agents that require continuously evolving models of their users.
We examine whether human psychometric questionnaires can serve as reliable tools for characterizing and predicting LLM behavior in everyday user interactions. We analyze eight open-source LLMs by comparing their value and personality profiles derived from two different methods: Likert self-reports on established questionnaires (PVQ-40/21 and BFI-44/10) and generation probabilities over value-laden responses to everyday user queries. The two profiles diverge substantially. Within-construct item consistency, often cited as evidence of stable LLM dispositions, disappears in generation probabilities. We find that established questionnaire items contain explicit lexical cues that allow models to recognize the target construct and respond in alignment-consistent, socially desirable ways, whereas realistic user queries contain far less recognizable cues. In addition, demographic persona prompts shift models' responses to human questionnaires in ways consistent with real human patterns, but no such shifts appear in the generation setting, highlighting that human questionnaires overestimate LLMs' ability to faithfully reproduce expected psychological traits when role-playing demographic personas. Overall, our study indicates that questionnaire scores alone should not be treated as evidence of LLMs' response tendencies in realistic user interactions, and supports generation-probability profiling with ecologically valid items as a complementary behavioral measure.
In this paper, we study the problem of personalized survey response prediction using fine-tuned large language models (LLMs). This task poses unique challenges: limited per-user training data, scalability of model storage, and the need to exploit shared structure across survey questions. To address these issues, we propose Aplaud (Adaptive Personalized Low-rank and User-specific Nested Decomposition), a lightweight and scalable framework for LLM personalization. Aplaud extends the LoRA paradigm by separating adaptation into a frozen, shared low-rank basis and a compact user-specific correction, augmented with a rank-one residual for finer personalization. To further reduce per-user parameter cost and mitigate overfitting, the correction matrix can be factorized into an even lower-rank form. Empirical results demonstrate that Aplaud achieves efficient, scalable personalization across users while outperforming state-of-the-art LoRA-based personalized LLM approaches in both generalization and inference efficiency.