Bayesian Experimental Design

Overview

Bayesian experimental design studies how to choose experiments or measurements sequentially when observations are costly and uncertainty matters. Common approaches select designs by expected information gain or posterior uncertainty, often using Gaussian processes, Monte Carlo estimates, or amortized neural policies; Bayesian optimization and active learning extend these ideas to expensive black-box problems. Applications range from scientific parameter estimation and sensor placement to clinical questioning, reliability testing, and adaptive data collection. A central tension is that the most informative experiment may not improve a downstream decision, while model error, constraints, and computational cost can make standard information-gain criteria unreliable or impractical.

Latest papers

CardsList

63 papers10 papers in the last four weeks, against 2 the four weeks before. 0.1% of all new papers.

  1. Amortized Thompson Sampling and Efficient Information-Directed Sampling for Simulator-Based Design

    Oct 23, 2026Michal Kobiela, Michael U. GutmannThompson SamplingBayesian Experimental Design

  2. A Simple and General Approach to top-kk Selection

    Oct 19, 2026Motti Goldberger, Nils RudiAdaptive SamplingBayesian Decision Theory

  3. Amortizing Sequential Experimental Design in Reasoning LLMs

    Oct 14, 2026Anita Kriz, Antonin Berthon, Nicolás Astorga +1Bayesian Experimental DesignRL for Language Model Reasoning

  4. Data-driven Optimal Sensor Placement for Aerosol Monitoring in the UK

    Oct 8, 2026Talha Ansar, Waqar Muhammad Ashraf, Alejandro Coca-Castro +3Bayesian Experimental Design

  5. What Can a Gaussian Process Design Test

    Oct 7, 2026Ivan De Boi, Marnix Van SoomGaussian ProcessesStatistical Hypothesis Testing

  6. Information-theoretic receding-horizon active learning of nonlinear dynamical systems

    Sep 29, 2026Juncal Arbelaiz, Anushri Arora, Jonathan W. PillowActive LearningNonlinear System Identification

  7. NeuronDiscover: Agent-in-Twin for Mechanistic Discovery in Neuronal Microenvironments with World Action Models

    Sep 28, 2026Haowei Xu, Wanyi Fu, Hongbin Han +1AI Agents for Scientific DiscoveryScientific Discovery

  8. JAREX: An Acquisition Function for Multi-Objective Algorithmic Process Characterization

    Sep 21, 2026Xinyang Li, Kevin Stone, Ajit VikramBayesian OptimizationBayesian Experimental Design

  9. Resolution-Aware Experimental Design under Partial Identifiability

    Sep 3, 2026Sofianos Panagiotis FotiasPartial IdentificationBayesian Experimental Design

  10. Adaptive Sequential Test Planning for Multi-Mechanism Reliability Qualification via Bayesian Monte Carlo Tree Search

    Aug 10, 2026Youssef A. Elhagrasy, Ian Hill, André IvanovSemiconductor ManufacturingMonte Carlo Tree Search

  11. Bayesian Expected Uncertainty Reduction (B-EUR) Model: A Computational Account of What Makes Design Options Worth Trying

    Aug 6, 2026Shimon Honda, Takuma Miyaguchi, Koji Koizumi +3Computational Cognitive ModelingValue of Information

  12. Identifying Informative Environments for Cognition Parameter Inference via Bayesian Experimental Design

    Jul 30, 2026Manisha Dubey, Rimvydas Rubavicius, N. Siddharth +1Computational Cognitive ModelingBayesian Experimental Design

  13. BayesAME: Bayesian Active Model Evaluation

    Jul 29, 2026Paula Cordero Encinar, Taylan Cemgil, Arnaud Doucet +2LLM EvaluationAdaptive Sampling

  14. Deep Adaptive Bayesian Screening

    Jul 18, 2026Jade Lejeune Herman, Arno Strouwen, Johan A. K. Suykens +1Amortized InferenceAdaptive Sampling

  15. Robust Bayesian Decision Making under Adversarial Uncertainty

    Jul 9, 2026Haripriya Harikumar, Sammie Katt, Yasir Zubayr Barlas +1Adversarial RobustnessBayesian Decision Theory

  16. Bayesian Experimental Design via Score Matching

    Jul 9, 2026Angus Phillips, Gavin Kerrigan, Tom RainforthPolicy OptimizationBayesian Experimental Design

  17. The Approximation Ratio for the Risk of Myopic Bayesian Active Learning for Linear Regression

    Jul 7, 2026Stephen MussmannActive LearningLinear Regression

  18. Amortising Bayesian Experimental Design for Sequential Information Gathering in LLMs

    Jul 3, 2026Jakob Hartmann, James Harvey, Jhonathan Navott +5RL for Language ModelsAmortized Inference

  19. Transformers as Bayesian In-Context Experimenters: Smoothness-Adaptive Efficient ATE Estimation

    Jun 30, 2026Jiachun Li, David Simchi-LeviCausal Effect EstimationTransformer

  20. Efficient Adaptive Data Acquisition via Pretrained Belief Representations

    Jun 23, 2026Daolang Huang, Zhuoyue Huang, Conor Hassan +3Bayesian OptimizationActive Learning

  21. Action-BED: Task-Driven Bayesian Experimental Design with Singly Intractable Objectives

    Jun 22, 2026Tom Rossa, Angus Phillips, Tom RainforthBayesian Decision TheoryBayesian Experimental Design

  22. FairBED: Incorporating Fairness into Bayesian Experimental Design

    Jun 22, 2026Marcel Hedman, Emily Alger, Brieuc Lehmann +2Algorithmic FairnessBayesian Experimental Design

  23. Synergizing Physically Constrained MCMC and Chemical-Informed Gaussian Processes for Reaction Network Discovery

    Jun 22, 2026Runzhe Liu, Zihao Wang, Wenbo Yang +1Markov Chain Monte CarloBayesian Optimization

  24. Adaptive Beam Selection for Efficient Scanning Probe Tomography

    Jun 19, 2026San Dinh, Zichao Wendy Di, Matt MenickellyImage ReconstructionSequential Experimental Design