Organizations: Department of Informatics and Telecommunications, University of Thessaly, 3rd km Old National Road, Lamia, 35100 GR, Greece · Sunlight Group, Thivaidos 22, Kifisia, Athens, 14564, Athens
Abstract
Accurate forecasting of battery health indicators, including remaining capacity and lifetime, is of paramount importance for ensuring the reliability, safety, and operational efficiency of applications such as electric vehicles and large scale energy storage infrastructures. The result of the forecasting can be adopted to build an advanced monitoring mechanism for continuous checking batteries' health status to assist in the efficient real-time management of numerous applications. This research investigates the development and implementation of a Deep Learning (DL) model for the prediction of the future state and performance of industrial electrochemical energy storage systems. To address this challenge, we propose a dedicated computational framework that integrates advanced neural network architectures with large-scale training datasets, enabling precise modeling of batteries degradation dynamics and operational trends. The proposed approach provides a decision support mechanism for the optimal management of batteries facilitating both predictive maintenance and the efficient allocation of energy resources. Our findings highlight the potential of DL-based predictive modeling to significantly contribute to the advancement of sustainable and intelligent energy management systems.
Early battery degradation trajectory forecasting (BDTF), which predicts the full-life state-of-health trajectory from early operational data, is critical for battery optimization, manufacturing, and deployment. Battery degradation data exhibit two key characteristics. First, degradation data present a multi-level structure, including regularities shared within aging conditions and trajectory patterns shared across batteries. Second, degradation-related variations in voltage-current profiles are often localized to specific state of charge (SOC) intervals. Existing approaches often fail to explicitly model these characteristics. To bridge this gap, we propose BatteryMFormer, a multi-level Transformer for early BDTF. BatteryMFormer integrates (1) an aging-condition-aware decoder that injects aging-condition priors via aging-condition-informed queries and aging-condition-aware attention, (2) a meta degradation pattern memory that learns and retrieves trajectory prototypes to guide long-horizon forecasting, and (3) a dual-view encoder that jointly captures temporal dynamics and SOC-localized variations from voltage and current time series. Extensive experiments on four battery domains show that BatteryMFormer consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, marking a significant step toward reliable BDTF. Our code is available at https://github.com/Ruifeng-Tan/BatteryMFormer.
Adaptive power management in Electric Vehicles (EVs) requires accurate power prediction. Although deep learning models have emerged as highly effective for time-series forecasting in this domain, their performance is prone to degradation when exposed to data with distributions different from the training data. We introduce a novel approach that enables on-device learning in resource-constrained EV systems to continuously adapt pretrained battery prediction models to new, unseen data. We leverage existing pretrained models by transforming them into adaptable versions that retain critical hyperparameter knowledge from their initial training. We comprehensively investigate both online and offline model adaptation strategies. Our results demonstrate significant improvements in forecasting performance across various models and time horizons, achieving mean absolute error reductions of up to 7.49% and 14.88% with online and offline adaptation techniques, respectively. This study highlights the substantial benefit of on-device adaptation, resulting in enhanced battery power predictions than unadapted model deployments in real-world EV scenarios.
The deployment of reliable lithium-ion battery management systems is crucial for accelerating electrification, yet the joint prognosis of State of Health (SOH) and Remaining Useful Life (RUL) remains severely hindered by task heteroscedasticity. Conventional multi-task learning frameworks fail to balance the bounded, low-variance noise of SOH estimation with the unbounded, nonlinearly expanding uncertainty of long-term RUL predictions. Here, we present the Rotary SOH-Injected Prior Battery Transformer (RoSIP-Batt), a unified co-estimation framework that resolves these optimization conflicts. By formulating joint prediction as a Bayesian multi-task objective, RoSIP-Batt introduces a homoscedastic uncertainty weighting mechanism to dynamically scale task-specific gradients based on learned residual noise levels. The architecture leverages decoupled dual classification tokens and a per-dimension gated fusion mechanism, secured by a gradient-detachment operator to prevent high-variance RUL updates from corrupting the stable SOH representation space. To capture electrochemical degradation patterns without relying on absolute cycle steps, Rotary Position Embedding (RoPE) is incorporated into a shared Transformer backbone to model translation-invariant relative temporal profiles. Crucially, the intermediate SOH estimate is directly injected into the RUL regression head as a physical degradation prior. Evaluations across the NASA, MIT-Stanford, and HUST datasets show that RoSIP-Batt significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, reducing SOH estimation error to 1.994% MAE on NASA and restricting RUL prediction error to 62.85 cycles on Stanford. These findings establish RoSIP-Batt as a highly generalizable, computationally efficient solution suitable for real-time embedded BMS deployment.