Intervention Complexity as a Canonical Reward and a Measure of Intelligence

Intelligence appears under different names in different fields: as data compression in statistics and machine learning, as universal computation in dynamical systems, and as adaptive behavior in agents. Each field carries its own objective, and the two most influential drives often fail in mirror image: novelty search, which seeks surprise, is transfixed by a noisy television screen, while the free-energy principle, which avoids surprise, is most content in a dark room. Both failures have a single cause: each objective treats as one quantity the surprise a learner can convert into knowledge and the surprise it never can. Here we show that the learnable part of that information, which we call learnable novelty, yields the seemingly disparate projections of intelligence, and we give a closed-form estimator of it built on a cheap and differentiable reservoir computer. Used as a measure, with no supervision of any kind, the estimator recovers decades of complexity classification, ranking the Turing-complete rule110 highest among the elementary cellular automata. Used as an objective, its gradient carries a neural cellular automaton from simple dynamics into a regime of solitons, the traveling, colliding structures by which rule110 computes, as well as organizes the representation of an image encoder around the ten digit classes of MNIST, fully unsupervised: no label ever enters training. Handed to a reinforcement-learning agent as an intrinsic reward, it supplies the exploration that task rewards lack, improving on the task baseline in nine of ten environments and collapsing in none. Complexity generation, abstraction, and exploration, ordinarily pursued with unrelated objectives in separate fields, thus emerge from ascent on one differentiable quantity, and the projections of intelligence gain a common quantitative footing.

Can intelligence be measured? We propose that intelligence can be defined as the lawful amplification of rare but valid futures: a system increases the probability of outcomes that would be unlikely under passive dynamics but remain admissible under the constraints of the domain. We start with the premise that an intelligent system must model the world and its own place within it. Because the system is part of the world it models, this leads naturally to recursive self-simulation: the system represents futures in which its own actions are part of the trajectory. Our central results give a necessity statement and a conditional near-sufficiency statement connecting this architecture to a precise thermodynamic measure of lawful amplification of rare-valid futures: high rare-valid lift is impossible unless the internal simulation identifies rare-valid futures with high fidelity; conversely, when rare-valid fidelity is high and the simulation contains an effective policy, the achievable lift approaches the actuation-limited optimum. Thus recursive self-simulation is not merely a plausible feature of intelligence but, under the stated assumptions, is necessary and nearly sufficient for high thermodynamic intelligence. The resulting framework makes intelligence measurable on a universal scale, from passive matter and feedback controllers, large language models, and humans as text generators to Maxwell-demon-like information engines.

Open-ended intelligence is the capacity to adapt to novel problems and environments that are substantially different from those in training. A mathematics of open-ended intelligence requires two pillars: first, a minimal set of representational primitives (e.g., states, actions) and algorithmic primitives (e.g., nearest neighbor); and second, an acquired compositional grammar for selection, recursion, and branching that produces sequences of operations and recurring motifs. We formalize open-ended intelligence in terms of the compositional closure induced by a finite primitive set $P$ and a set of composition operators $C$. We characterize properties of the induced closure $\mathcal{L}(P,C)$ that support unbounded compositional generation across families of tasks and worlds. The closure of the two pillars yields infinite adaptive responses across a wide range of settings. The mathematics supports complementary research agendas, including evaluation metrics for explanation and interpretability, and novel architectures where compositional generalization is native. We propose next primitive prediction (NPP) as a novel architectural objective, where training encourages the acquisition of reusable algorithmic primitives and their compositional grammar, such that new solutions are generated through recombination. Given such an objective, curriculum learning and self-play can enable lifelong learning, expanding the closure by discovering reusable primitives and transition motifs across settings. We ground the framework through case studies in physics, evolution, and neuroscience.