Self-adaptive robots operate in dynamic, unpredictable environments where unaddressed uncertainties can lead to safety violations and operational failures. However, systematically identifying and analyzing these uncertainties, including their sources, impacts, and mitigation strategies, remains a significant challenge given the inherent complexity of real-world environments, dynamic robotic behavior, and the rapid evolution of robotic technologies. To address this, we introduce RoboULM, a human-in-the-loop methodology and tool that supports practitioners in systematically exploring uncertainties at the design stage using large language models (LLMs). Moreover, we present an uncertainty taxonomy that provides a detailed catalog of uncertainties in self-adaptive robots. We evaluated RoboULM with 16 practitioners from four industrial use cases. The results show that RoboULM was perceived as both useful and easy to understand, with the participants particularly valuing structured prompting and iterative refinement support. These findings demonstrate the potential of RoboULM as a viable solution for systematic uncertainty analysis in complex robots.
Proactive robot assistance in household environments requires accurate prediction of human activities and object usage under dynamic and noisy conditions. Existing approaches often rely on complex spatio-temporal models, which can be computationally expensive and sensitive to environmental variability. In this paper, we propose GLOBE, a lightweight framework that combines n-gram Markov models for capturing temporal behavioral patterns with uncertainty-guided large language model (LLM) reasoning. The framework performs sequential prediction efficiently while selectively invoking LLM reasoning only when the model confidence is low. To evaluate performance under realistic conditions, we introduce HOMER-Noise, a noisy extension of the HOMER+ dataset that simulates structured disturbances such as object movements caused by humans, pets, and toddlers. Experimental results show that GLOBE achieves competitive performance with state-of-the-art methods while improving robustness and computational efficiency across both clean and noisy settings. The framework is further validated through a proof-of-concept integration with a Stretch 3 mobile manipulator, demonstrating its potential application in real-world human-robot interaction scenarios.
Large language models (LLMs) demonstrate remarkable performance across diverse tasks, but they often generate responses that appear plausible while being factually incorrect. This problem is compounded by the lack of explicit uncertainty estimates, which makes it difficult for users to judge the reliability of model outputs. Existing uncertainty quantification methods typically rely on indirect signals, such as entropy across sampled generations. These signals can be difficult to interpret and do not fully leverage the model's ability to assess its own uncertainty. We propose a simple yet effective self-assessment method for uncertainty quantification in LLMs. Our approach groups sampled generations into semantically distinct clusters, converts them into answer options in a structured multiple-choice question, and uses the probability assigned by the LLM to each option as a confidence estimate. Experiments across multiple models and datasets show that our method consistently outperforms baseline approaches. Notably, it achieves competitive performance with as few as two additional samples, demonstrating both its effectiveness and efficiency.
Autonomous robots operating in open environments need the ability to continuously handle tasks that are not covered by predefined local methods. However, existing approaches often rely on repeated large-language-model (LLM) interaction for uncovered tasks, and even successful executions or observed successful external behaviors are not always autonomously transformed into reusable local knowledge. In this paper, we propose an LLM-driven closed-loop autonomous learning framework for robots facing uncovered tasks in open environments. The proposed framework first retrieves the local method library to determine whether a reusable solution already exists for the current task or observed event. If no suitable method is found, it triggers an autonomous learning process in which the LLM serves as a high-level reasoning component for task analysis, candidate model selection, data collection planning, and execution or observation strategy organization. The robot then learns from both self-execution and active observation, performs quasi-real-time training and adjustment, and consolidates the validated result into the local method library for future reuse. Through this recurring closed-loop process, the robot gradually converts both execution-derived and observation-derived experience into reusable local capability while reducing future dependence on repeated external LLM interaction. Results show that the proposed framework reduces execution time and LLM dependence in both repeated-task self-execution and observation-driven settings, for example reducing the average total execution time from 7.7772s to 6.7779s and the average number of LLM calls per task from 1.0 to 0.2 in the repeated-task self-execution experiments.