The Right Answer, the Wrong Direction: Why Transformers Fail at Counting and How to Fix It

Large language models fail at counting repeated tokens despite strong performance on broader reasoning benchmarks. These failures are commonly attributed to limitations in internal count tracking. We show this attribution is wrong. Linear probes on the residual stream decode the correct count with near-perfect accuracy at every post-embedding layer, across all model depths. This holds even at the exact layers where the wrong answer crystallizes while the model simultaneously outputs an incorrect count. Attention patterns show no evidence of collapse over repeated tokens and tokenization artifacts account for none of the failure. Instead, a format-triggered multi-layer perceptron (MLP) block overwrites the correctly-encoded count with a fixed wrong answer at roughly 88--93,% network depth. This prior fires for repeated word-tokens in space-separated list format and is absent for repeated digit-tokens. It is suppressed by comma-separated delimiters in larger models but persists in smaller ones. The finding holds across Llama-3.2 (1B and 3B) and Qwen2.5 (1.5B, 3B and 7B) at consistent relative depth. Counting failure is a failure of routing not of representation and the two require different interventions.

Large language models are highly capable of answering difficult questions by retrieving, recombining, and attending to information in long contexts. For agentic tasks, an additional capability is required: the preservation of an exact state while repeatedly applying rules. We find that this reliability is absent across language models. To demonstrate, we query 126 leading model variants with the task of counting a long string of repeated characters, and we find they all cannot accurately count above a model-dependent, syntax-sensitive counting capacity threshold. Failures are abrupt and persist even with increasing model size, inference time computation, and external tool. Mechanistic probing indicates that models use a finite number of internal states to mimic counting as a rule and fail once these states are exhausted. Furthermore, such states are the basis for performing complex tasks beyond counting. These results indicate that fundamentally new model architectures are required for autonomous agents to achieve truly reliable rule following capabilities.

When a decoder-only transformer is forced to process matched correct and incorrect single-token continuations of a factual query, the two pathways through hidden-state space diverge: displacement vectors from the query-only representation keep near-equal magnitude but rotate apart, with angular separation growing through mid-depth before late layers resolve an asymmetric outcome. A logit-lens preference in the incorrect run falls far below the equal-probability prior (roughly 11.5x more mass on the incorrect token than the correct one). We read this pattern, rotational divergence then late-layer asymmetric commitment, as the geometric signature of the model externally appearing to reject a wrong continuation, while staying explicit that it is observational, not causal: the incorrect run could equally reflect the model conforming to the token it is forced to carry, which only a random-token control can settle. It holds across six decoder-only transformers spanning four architecture families (Llama, Mistral, Gemma, StableLM) from 1B to 13B parameters; a seventh (Qwen2 1.5B) is flat under our protocol, plausibly a tokenizer artefact, leaving an emergence threshold open. Linear probes recover the distinction at intermediate depth, and cross-domain transfer is structurally asymmetric, a financial-medical corridor transferring far better than transport pairs. Where single-layer activation patching is cleanly interpretable (LLaMA-2 13B, Mistral 7B) it yields no layer band of consistent recovery; a third model (StableLM-2 1.6B) recovers uniformly above the ceiling, which we diagnose as a code-path artefact and exclude. Under this scoped null the late-layer asymmetry is not localized to a single component, fitting a distributed-by-trajectory account rather than single-layer localized recall. We document this with forced-completion probing across seven models, three domains, and 300 queries.