Retrieving Floods without Floodlights: Topic Models as Binary Classifiers for Extreme Climate Events in German News

Determining the geolocation of extreme climate events and disasters in texts is a common problem in climate impact and adaptation research. Named-entity recognition (NER) tools are typically used to identify a pool of toponyms that serve as candidate event locations. In this study, we conduct a comparative analysis of three off-the-shelf NER tools, namely Flair, Spacy and Stanza. We describe and quantify differences between their outputs for German news articles and evaluate them extrinsically based on three methods to determine the country where events took place. We show how their contrasts are propagated into downstream tasks and can yield distinct decisions about a document's geographical focus, which, in turn, can impact conclusions about countries' prominence in German media.

News media play a central role in shaping public perceptions of climate change, and whether coverage emphasizes threats or solutions has measurable effects on audience engagement and policy support. Automated detection of these framing patterns at the sentence level would allow researchers to analyze large corpora that are infeasible to code manually. We present a systematic comparison of two approaches for classifying sentences from German-language climate news articles as threat-oriented, solution-oriented, both, or neither. The first approach uses few-shot prompting with an open-weights large language model (Llama 4 Maverick), employing chain-of-thought reasoning and structured output with confidence scoring. The second approach fine-tunes a German BERT model (deepset/gbert-large) for sentence-pair classification, where the preceding sentence provides contextual information for the target sentence. Both approaches implement two independent binary classifiers, one for threat framing and one for solution framing. We evaluate both methods on a corpus of 440 Austrian newspaper articles that were manually coded following a detailed coding scheme developed with domain experts. The fine-tuned BERT classifiers achieve an F1 score of 0.83 for both the threat and solution tasks, while the LLM-based classifiers reach an F1 of 0.78. An ablation study confirms that providing the preceding sentence as context improves BERT classification performance substantially compared to single-sentence input. These results contribute to the growing body of work comparing fine-tuned encoder models with prompted generative models for text classification in computational social science.

News articles are an important source of information on disaster impacts and adaptation. A key methodological challenge in socio-environmental studies is how to select a representative data sample. Two approaches are common: querying news databases top-down with the aid of an existing disaster inventory or using NLP methods to cluster news texts bottom-up based on temporal and spatial features. Using a dataset of German news about landslides worldwide, we compare these approaches and discuss variations in event coverage. Such research design decision can influence the resulting news sample, affecting its use in studies of inequality in media coverage, disaster monitoring and inventory enrichment.