Organizations: Department of Biological and Agricultural Engineering, Texas A&M AgriLife Research, Texas A&M University System, Dallas, TX, 75252, USA · Department of Soil and Crop Sciences, Texas A&M AgriLife Research, Texas A&M University System, Dallas, TX, 75252, USA · USDA-ARS, Grape Genetics Research Unit, 630 West North Street, Geneva, New York 14456, USA
Robust genotype-to-phenotype (G2P) prediction is essential for accelerating breeding decisions and genetic gain. However, it remains challenging to measure complex traits under variable field conditions and across years. In this study, we propose a linear-Transformer approach, LiT-G2P (Linear-Transformer Genotype-to-Phenotype), an automated predictive framework that integrates additive genetic variance effects with Transformer-based nonlinear interactions using genome-wide single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) data. We evaluated LiT-G2P on a panel of diverse grape accessions, genotyped with SNP markers and measured for phenotypes across two consecutive years. Target phenotypic traits include leaf hair density and trichome density of grapevines. Across both single-year and cross-year testing scenarios, LiT-G2P consistently improves prediction performance compared with baseline models. For hair density, LiT-G2P achieves the lowest error in both single-year and cross-year evaluations, with RMSEs of 0.469 and 0.454, respectively, while maintaining strong tolerance accuracies of 79.2% and 74.6%, respectively. For trichome density, LiT-G2P also presents the best overall G2P performance. In addition, we extract model-prioritized SNPs from attention weights and apply genotype-stratified analysis to provide interpretable candidate marker for downstream validation. These results demonstrate that integrating stable additive effects with learned interaction patterns can enhance cross-year robustness and support practical SNP-based predictive modeling for genomic selection.
Accurate prediction of grape phenology is essential for timely vineyard management decisions, such as scheduling irrigation and fertilization, to maximize crop yield and quality. While traditional biophysical models calibrated on historical field data can be used for season-long predictions, they lack the precision required for fine-grained vineyard management. Deep learning methods are a compelling alternative but their performance is hindered by sparse phenology datasets, particularly at the cultivar level. We propose a hybrid modeling approach that combines multi-task learning with a recurrent neural network to parameterize a differentiable biophysical model. By using multi-task learning to predict the parameters of the biophysical model, our approach enables shared learning across cultivars while preserving biological structure, thereby improving the robustness and accuracy of predictions. Empirical evaluation using real-world and synthetic datasets demonstrates that our method significantly outperforms both conventional biophysical models and baseline deep learning approaches in predicting phenological stages, as well as other crop state variables such as cold-hardiness and wheat yield.
Understanding which genes control which traits in an organism remains one of the central challenges in biology. Despite significant advances in data collection technology, our ability to map genes to traits is still limited. This genome-to-phenome (G2P) challenge spans several problem domains, including plant breeding, and requires methods capable of reasoning over high-dimensional, heterogeneous, and biologically structured data. Current datasets and data repositories, however, are not well-equipped for this task. Current studies do not link gene expression and trait data, and most focus on very specific traits, limiting the breadth of possible correlations. To address this gap, we present the novel Gene-Graph Regression for Arabidopsis Functional Traits (GRAFT) dataset, a curated multi-modal dataset linking gene expression profiles with phenotypic trait measurements in Arabidopsis thaliana, a model organism in plant biology. GRAFT supports tasks such as phenotype prediction and interpretable graph learning. In addition, we benchmark conventional regression and explanatory baselines, including a biologically-informed hypergraph baseline, to validate gene-trait associations. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first dataset to provide multimodal gene information and heterogeneous trait or phenotype data for the same Arabidopsis thaliana specimens. With GRAFT, we aim to foster research to accurately understand the relationship between genotypes and phenotypes using gene information, higher-order gene pairings, and trait data from multiple sources.
Manuel Serna-Aguilera, Vanshika Jindal, Fiona L. Goggin +5
Predicting complex human traits from genetic data is challenging because different genetic, clinical, and molecular data sources often contain different parts of the signal. Here, we present EFGPP, a reproducible framework for generating, ranking, and combining multiple types of data for genotype-to-phenotype prediction. We applied EFGPP to migraine prediction using UK Biobank data from 733 individuals. The framework combined genotype-derived features, principal components, clinical and metabolomic covariates, and polygenic risk scores generated from migraine and depression GWAS using PLINK, PRSice-2, AnnoPred, and LDAK-GWAS. The best single data type achieved a test AUC of 0.644, while combining multiple data types improved performance to 0.688 using migraine-focused inputs and 0.663 using cross-trait depression-derived inputs. Genetic features alone did not outperform the covariates-only baseline, but genotype-derived features performed better than PRS alone, and depression-derived PRS showed useful predictive signal. Overall, EFGPP provides a practical proof-of-concept framework for prioritising and integrating heterogeneous genetic data sources for complex phenotype prediction.