Clinical Prediction

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Overview

Clinical prediction studies use patient data to forecast events such as sepsis, readmission, disease progression, treatment response, and changes in severity. Common approaches range from logistic regression and gradient-boosted trees to temporal neural networks, multimodal models, and language models that work with electronic health records; evaluations often use datasets such as MIMIC, eICU, and EHRSHOT. Researchers also develop methods for interpretable predictions, uncertainty estimation, privacy-preserving collaboration, and adapting models to new hospitals or populations. A central challenge is that strong results on internal benchmarks may not transfer across sites or patient groups, so external validation, calibration, leakage control, and evidence of clinical usefulness remain important.

Latest papers

CardsList

213 papers18 papers in the last four weeks, down 38% on the four weeks before. 0.1% of all new papers.

  1. Multimodal Prompt Learning with Dual-Granularity Contrastive Alignment for Preoperative Prediction of Lung Adenocarcinoma Invasiveness Using 3D CT

    Nov 2, 2026Qing Huang, Xiaotong Tan, Lintong Yao +6Medical Image ClassificationClinical Prediction

    National-Regional Key Technology Engineering Laboratory for Medical Ultrasound, Guangdong Key Laboratory for Biomedical Measurements and Ultrasound Imaging, School of Biomedical Engineering, Thoracic Surgery Department of the First Affiliated Hospital, Shenzhen University Medical School, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China · Marshall Laboratory of Biomedical Engineering, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China · Department of Thoracic Surgery, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University 518035, Guangdong Province, China +1

  2. Where Is a Prediction Model Miscalibrated, and for Whom? Local Audits in Outcome-Learned Pockets

    Nov 2, 2026Bernardo Modenesi, Taoyi Chen, Sima Najafzadehkhoei +3Model CalibrationBlack-Box Model Auditing

    University of Utah, USA · Ohio State University, USA · rpotential.ai, USA +1

  3. Fuzzy-Enhanced Machine Learning Approach for Type 2 Diabetes Diagnosis

    Nov 1, 2026Azam Saffar, Mohsen SaffarClinical PredictionFeature Selection

    Department of Biostatistics, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran · Department of Industrial Engineering, K. N. Toosi University of Technology, Tehran, Iran

  4. Physiological Trajectories and Observation Patterns in ICU Mortality Prediction: Transportability Under Changing Measurement Conditions

    Oct 30, 2026Benjamin T. PikeClinical PredictionLongitudinal EHR Modeling

  5. Leakage-Controlled Structure-Preserving Augmentation and Template-Aware Evaluation for Bangla Symptom-Based Disease Prediction

    Oct 30, 2026Sabah Nushra, Shovan Samanta Turzo, Moinul Hossain +1Clinical PredictionData Augmentation

    Islamic University of Technology, Gazipur, Bangladesh · Daffodil International University, Dhaka, Bangladesh · American International University–Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh +1

  6. Agentic AI Reasoning and Learned Sampling for Task-Aware Projection Selection in Sparse-View CT: Predicting Hemodynamics

    Oct 28, 2026Mahmoud Elhadidy, Roshan M. D'Souza, Amirhossein ArzaniComputed TomographyActive Feature Acquisition

    Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, USA · Scientific Computing and Imaging Institute, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, USA · Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Wisconsin–Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI, USA +1

  7. Regional prediction of hematoma expansion from non-contrast computed tomography in spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage patients

    Oct 26, 2026Natasha Ironside, Hongyu Kan, Kristofor Pas +17Clinical PredictionRadiomics

    Department of Neurological Surgery, University of Illinois Chicago, Chicago, Il · Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, George Washington University, Washington, DC · Department of Biomedical Engineering, University of Virginia Health System, Charlottesville, VA +15

  8. ECG for laboratory values:A comprehensive physiological and technical analysis

    Oct 20, 2026Walentin PalanchukClinical PredictionElectrocardiography

    Carl von Ossietzky Universität Oldenburg Fach-Bachelor Informatik

  9. DeliMF: Gated Cross-Attention Fusion of Structured Time Series and Clinical Text for Early Intensive Care Delirium Prediction

    Oct 17, 2026Yibo Yang, Zerui Huang, Haomiao Yang +1Clinical PredictionClinical Risk Prediction

    Independent Researcher, China · Xinjin District People’s Hospital, China · University of Exeter, United Kingdom

  10. Diagnosing Low-Confidence Patient Profiles via Localized Harmful Covariate Shift Detection

    Oct 13, 2026Olivier Lefebvre, Hakima Laribi, Dan Poenaru +1Distribution Shift DetectionClinical Prediction

    Department of Computer Science, Université de Sherbrooke, Sherbrooke, Canada · Department of Pediatric Surgery, Montreal Children's Hospital, Montreal, Canada · Centre for Outcomes Research and Evaluation +1

  11. SYNPRED: A Synergistic Approach to Multimodal Learning for Clinical Prediction

    Oct 13, 2026Ivana Janíčková, Yen Y. Tan, Thomas H. Helbich +6Clinical PredictionMultimodal Disentangled Representation Learning

    Computational Imaging Research Lab, Department of Biomedical Imaging and Image-guided Therapy, Medical University of Vienna, Austria · Comprehensive Center for Artificial Intelligence in Medicine, Medical University of Vienna, Austria · Christian Doppler Laboratory for Machine Learning Driven Precision Imaging, Department of Biomedical Imaging and Image-guided Therapy, Medical University of Vienna, Austria +3

  12. PatientWM: Towards Generalizable Clinical World Models via Unified Patient States

    Oct 12, 2026Ziwen Kan, Jie Peng, Bo Yan +5Action-Conditioned World ModelsClinical Prediction

    University of Science and Technology of China · University of Central Florida · Princeton University +2

  13. Siam-ALS: An Explainable Siamese Deep Learning Framework for Early ALS Detection Using EEG and Eye-Tracking Signals

    Oct 11, 2026Abdur Rahman, A. A. M. Muzahid, Istiak Ahmed +4Clinical PredictionMultimodal Classification

    School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Shanghai University of Engineering Science, Shanghai, 201620, China. · School of Information Technology, Murdoch University, Murdoch, 6150, WA, Australia. · Department of Information and Communication Engineering, Daffodil International University, Dhaka, 1216, Bangladesh.

  14. Machine Learning-Based Prediction of Dengue Infection Using Clinical and Hematological Data from Bangladesh: A Comparative Analysis of Benchmark and Extended Prediction Models

    Oct 10, 2026Neesha Naimeen, Victor Miranda SoberanisMedical DiagnosisClinical Prediction

    School of Engineering, Computer and Mathematical Sciences, Auckland University of Technology (AUT), Auckland,New Zealand · Department of Mathematical Sciences, Auckland University of Technology (AUT), Auckland,New Zealand

  15. Clinical value claims in multimodal AI outpace supporting evidence

    Oct 9, 2026Jiayu FengMultimodal Model EvaluationClinical Prediction

    Department of Health Policy and Management, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA

  16. Shared Canonical Component Removal Beyond Expert Views

    Oct 9, 2026Jose Roberto Tello Ayala, Akl C. Fahed, Roy Perlis +1Algorithmic AuditingConcept Erasure

    School of Engineering and Applied Sciences Harvard University · Heart and Vascular Institute Mass General Brigham · Center for Quantitative Health Mass General Brigham

  17. MC-TRCM: Observation-Aware Recursive Fusion for Incomplete Mobile and Wearable Mental-Health Feature Views

    Oct 8, 2026Wentao Wang, Lifeng Han, Zining Ren +2Clinical Outcome PredictionClinical Prediction

    Dalian University of Technology, Dalian, China · The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China · Southwest University, Chongqing, China

  18. Coverage-Aware Reasoning with Medical Tokens for Diagnosis Prediction

    Oct 7, 2026Kaisong Zhang, Haotian Fang, Junmeng Zhou +3Medical LLMsClinical Prediction

    Fuzhou University · Shanghai Jiao Tong University · Beihang University

  19. TIRA: Tumor Immune Representation Adaptation for Zero-Shot Cross-Cancer MSI and TMB Prediction

    Oct 7, 2026Dasari Naga RajuClinical PredictionDomain Generalization

    Independent Researcher, Andhra Pradesh, India

  20. SepsisLens: Structure-Preserving Sequence Modelling for Decomposable Early Sepsis Warning

    Oct 6, 2026Yikun Ou, Wei LiSepsis PredictionInterpretable ML

    School of Computer Science, University of Sydney Sydney, Australia

  21. LifeLong Digital Twin: A Unified Modeling Paradigm and Agent Harness for Event-Driven Lifelong Health State Trajectories

    Oct 4, 2026Jin Jiang, Sean Yates, Jasper Chong +4Clinical PredictionDigital Twins

    Peking University · VITA-Med Group

  22. Agentic discovery of blood biomarker from distilled private health records

    Oct 3, 2026Seffi Cohen, Liat Antwarg Friedman, Amir Anisman +7AI Agents for Scientific DiscoveryClinical Prediction

    Department of Biomedical Informatics, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA · The Ivan and Francesca Berkowitz Family Living Laboratory Collaboration at Harvard Medical School and Clalit Research Institute, Boston, MA, USA · Clalit Research Institute, Innovation Division, Clalit Health Services, Ramat-Gan, Israel +2

  23. Cross-cohort TB classification using clinical data gathered in Uganda and South Africa

    Oct 2, 2026Joshua M. Jansen van Vüren, Devendra S. Parihar, Daphne Naidoo +8Medical DiagnosisClinical Prediction

    Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, University of Stellenbosch, Stellenbosch, South Africa · South African Medical Research Council Centre for Tuberculosis Research (CTR) Division of Molecular Biology and Human Genetics, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa · Department of Global and Amsterdam Institute for Global Health and Development Amsterdam University Medical Centers, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands +2

  24. Detail in Context: A Dual-Scale Machine Learning Framework for Mycosis Fungoides Detection

    Sep 29, 2026Mohamed Hazem, Tarek Waleed, Omar Khaled +8Computational PathologyMedical Diagnosis

    Faculty of Engineering, Cairo University, Giza, Egypt · Dermatology Department, Faculty of Medicine, Cairo University, Cairo, Egypt

  25. ReLMem: Learning Recurrent Memory for Longitudinal EHR Modeling

    Sep 29, 2026Zijie Meng, Xiwei Dai, Yingying Zhang +3Memory-Augmented Language ModelsClinical Prediction

    Zhejiang University · Tencent Jarvis Lab

  26. Anatomy-Aware Prediction of Bronchoscopic Accessibility from 3D CT

    Sep 29, 2026Linkai Peng, Cuiling Sun, Bin Wang +10Clinical Prediction

    Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Northwestern University · Department of Computer Science, Northwestern University · Department of Medicine, Northwestern University +2

  27. Learning Continuous Patient Trajectories from Electronic Health Records

    Sep 28, 2026Silas Ruhrberg Estévez, Kara Liu, Christopher Chiu +4Longitudinal EHR ModelingFlow-Based Generative Modeling

    University of Cambridge · Stanford University · University of Exeter

  28. Training-Free Clinical Reasoning through Medical Ontologies and Cognitive Mapping: A Symbolic-Probabilistic Knowledge Graph Framework

    Sep 28, 2026Surajit DasSymbolic ReasoningClinical Reasoning

  29. Temporal Graph Learning of Wearable Actigraphy and Sleep Traces for Modelling Adolescent Crystallized Intelligence

    Sep 27, 2026Md. Tanvir Rahman, Nabil Anan Orka, Asaduzzaman Khan +1Temporal GNNsClinical Prediction

    School of Health and Rehabilitation Sciences, The University of Queensland, QLD 4072, Australia

  30. MTLiquid: Enabling Efficient Multi-Task Learning using Liquid Neural Networks for Lightweight Healthcare Monitoring Systems

    Sep 27, 2026Rachmad Vidya Wicaksana Putra, Fahad Abdul Rauf, Muhammad ShafiqueSepsis PredictionMulti-Task Learning

    eBRAIN Lab, New York University (NYU) Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates